Western Kentucky at Georgia

Away
Western Kentucky
0-1 L2 · Cold
Home
Georgia #2
1-0 W2 · Warming
Sat, Sep 12 · 4:45 PM · Sanford Stadium

How they got here

Last three games · 2025 season

Western Kentucky · 9-4

Picked #41 in the preseason · now #68.

1-2 in its last three, capped by a 11-point win over Southern Miss as a 3-point underdog.

W 27–16 @ Southern Miss #148 of 668

won by 11 as a 3-point underdog

L 34–37 @ Jacksonville State #95 of 668

lost by 3 as a 1.5-point favorite

L 10–13 @ LSUTop 25 #34 of 668

lost by 3 as a 25.5-point underdog

W 42–26 vs Middle Tennessee #197 of 668

won by 16 as a 13.5-point favorite

W 35–16 vs New Mexico State #205 of 668

won by 19 as a 7.5-point favorite

W 28–27 @ Louisiana Tech #129 of 668

won by 1 as a 4.5-point underdog

L 6–25 vs Florida International #122 of 668

lost by 19 as a 10-point favorite

W 27–24 @ Delaware #113 of 668

won by 3 as a 2.5-point underdog

W 27–22 @ Missouri State #135 of 668

won by 5 as a 3.5-point favorite

W 31–16 vs Nevada #152 of 668

won by 15 as a 7.5-point favorite

L 21–45 @ Toledo #51 of 668

lost by 24 as a 7.5-point underdog

W 55–6 vs North Alabama #199 of 668

won by 49 as a 27.5-point favorite

W 41–24 vs Sam Houston #131 of 668

won by 17 as a 9.5-point favorite

Last three games · 2025 season

Georgia · 12-2

Picked #3 in the preseason · now #4 — about right.

2-1 in its last three, 2 over ranked or top-40 competition.

L 34–39 vs Ole MissTop 25 #7 of 668

lost by 5 as a 6-point favorite

W 28–7 @ AlabamaTop 25 #12 of 668

won by 21 as a 1.5-point favorite

W 16–9 @ Georgia TechTop 25 #47 of 668

won by 7 as a 16.5-point favorite

W 35–3 vs Charlotte #239 of 668

won by 32 as a 42.5-point favorite

W 35–10 vs TexasTop 25 #25 of 668

won by 25 as a 4-point favorite

W 41–21 @ Mississippi State #68 of 668

won by 20 as a 9.5-point favorite

W 24–20 @ FloridaTop 25 #32 of 668

won by 4 as a 7-point favorite

W 43–35 vs Ole MissTop 25 #21 of 668

won by 8 as a 7.5-point favorite

W 20–10 @ AuburnTop 25 #35 of 668

won by 10 as a 4.5-point favorite

W 35–14 vs Kentucky #85 of 668

won by 21 as a 20-point favorite

L 21–24 vs AlabamaTop 25 #6 of 668

lost by 3 as a 2-point favorite

W 44–41 @ TennesseeTop 25 #15 of 668

won by 3 as a 3.5-point favorite

W 28–6 vs Austin Peay #104 of 668

won by 22 as a 46.5-point favorite

W 45–7 vs Marshall #37 of 668

won by 38 as a 38.5-point favorite

What’s at stake

Make the CFP field

Western Kentucky · 0%0% → 2% if win0% → 1% if loss
Georgia · 74%74% → 74% if win74% → 59% if loss

Georgia projected #2 seed

Win the conference

Western Kentucky · 9%9% → 16% if win9% → 15% if loss
Georgia · 22%22% → 23% if win22% → 20% if loss

Win it all

Western Kentucky · 0%0% → 0% if win0% → 0% if loss
Georgia · 12%12% → 11% if win12% → 9% if loss

CFP odds as of September 13, 2026

The series

Georgia leads the series 2-0

2 meetings since 2006 · Georgia has won the last 2

  • 2026Georgia 70–20
  • 2006Georgia 48–12

Best players

Western Kentucky

Georgia

The line, and the room

Western Kentucky fans are feeling better about their season (98th percentile) than Georgia fans are (39th) — even with Georgia favored here.

evenModel 94% · Market 100%Georgia fans · 39thWestern Kentucky fans · 98thWestern KentuckyGeorgia

Home −40.5 · O/U 55.5

Conditions

77°F · 7 mph wind · Heavy Rain

Georgia is worth +3.8 points (±3.9) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 45th percentile.

95% at home, 88% on the road against FBS opponents (41–2 home, 28–4 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -1.2 at home vs. away over 65 games — inside the ±7.1 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 272 miles to get here.

Western Kentucky 20 – Georgia 70

Georgia 70: 78%Western Kentucky 20: 22%

Called it — picked Georgia to win.

Recent games

Georgia

  • Wk 1Wvs Tennessee State63-3

Western Kentucky

  • Wk 1Lat Nevada14-49

Trajectory

19.818.71-2.40Wk 0Wk 1Wk 2Western KentuckyGeorgia

Georgia handled Western Kentucky 70-20, matching the pregame favorite.