cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Evan Pryor /Cincinnati

Evan Pryor

RB · Cincinnati · Sr · #6

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

522 RUSH YDS · 3 RUSH TD · 76 CARRIES

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Cincinnati → Florida for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Florida

2025Cincinnati
2026Florida

RB · CINCINNATI · BIG 12

Evan Pryor

  • 4
  • #6
  • 5-9 | 195 lb
  • Cornelius, NC

CFB Zeitgeist Score

56

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 96th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#125

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2021–2025
98.02021
49.02023
4182024
5222025

+433%

Up 433% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#83 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey6
Measurements5-9 | 195 lb
HometownCornelius, NC
Primary teamCincinnati

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 83 recruit
Composite rating 0.9628 HighSchool
Signed with Ohio State 2021
Origin Hough Cornelius, NC, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 4-star | 0.9628 No. 83 recruit | HighSchool | Ohio State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Florida 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 6, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Cincinnati -> Florida 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate
2024 Ohio State -> Cincinnati 3-star | 0.8800 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#125Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#154Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Ohio State

Composite

0.9628

#83 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Evan Pryor

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 2 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The BYU Cougars prepare for a high-stakes clash against the Cincinnati Bearcats,"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Evan Pryor

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
522Rush yards
76Carries
3Rush TDs
Per game
52.2Rush yards
8Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
678.6Rush yards
99Carries
4Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 522): needs 76/game over remaining 3.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 522): needs 159.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 522): needs 326/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 2.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 4/game over remaining 3.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 5.7/game over remaining 3.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Evan Pryor's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Cincinnati, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #125 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 14.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 83 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 629 522 rush | 107 rec | #152/735 (79th pct)
Rush TD 3 76 carries | #204/739 (73rd pct)
Yards/carry 6.9 Per-rush efficiency | #60/735 (92nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Efficient runner against FBS RB peers.

Efficient runner

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
76 71st
YDS
522 79th
YPC
6.9 92nd
TD
3 73rd

Receiving

REC
10 61st
YDS
107 72nd
YPR
10.7 82nd
TD
1 89th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 17-20vs Nebraska5295.8013
Wk 2W 34-20vs Bowling Green6335.5013
Wk 3W 70-0vs Northwestern State6386.3020
Wk 5W 37-34@ Kansas69015.0046
Wk 6W 38-30vs Iowa State1011111.1230Season-high 111 yds
Wk 7W 20-11vs UCF11484.4015
Wk 8W 49-17@ Oklahoma State9637.0032
Wk 9W 41-20vs Baylor13665.1112
Wk 13L 14-26vs BYU7365.1028
Wk 14L 23-45@ TCU382.707
Total765226.8346
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Ohio State10-2HC: Ryan Day · Balanced, fast tempo
2023Ohio State11-2HC: Ryan Day · Balanced
2024Cincinnati5-7HC: Scott Satterfield · Balanced
2025Cincinnati7-6HC: Scott Satterfield · Balanced, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Cincinnati765226.93--
2024Cincinnati564187.56--
2023Ohio State19492.60--
2021Ohio State21984.71--
Career4 loaded seasons1721,0876.310--
SeasonTeam
2025Cincinnati1010710.71--
2024Cincinnati1518112.11--
2023Ohio State122.00--
2021Ohio State284.00--
Career4 loaded seasons2829810.62--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 10 107 rec yds | #217/552 (61st pct)
Usage 14.7% 25.2% rush share | #186/738 (75th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.21 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #52/362 (86th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 522 #152/735 79th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 3 #204/739 73rd pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 6.9 #60/735 92nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 10 #217/552 61st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 107 #157/548 72nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.21 #52/362 86th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 73 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 14.7% #186/738 75th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 76 #219/739 71st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 46 #191/733 74th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 26 #157/540 71st pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 10.7 #98/548 82nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #60/552 89th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 25.2% #177/738 76th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 19.0% #160/738 78th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 16.7% #197/738 73rd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 11.2% #166/738 78th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 10.8% #311/738 58th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 9.6% #223/738 70th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 5.2% #144/738 81st pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #78/256 70th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home7g51.66.20.4
Road3g53.78.20.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins7g64.17.80.4
Losses3g24.34.50.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-76g58.28.00.3
Weeks 8+4g43.25.00.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

56Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / carry (95th).

Yards / carry#14 / 349 · 96th pct
6.9rush
Rec yards#145 / 338 · 57th pct
107rece
Rush yards#152 / 349 · 57th pct
522rush
Long run#166 / 349 · 51st pct
46rush
Fumbles lost#55 / 201 · 49th pct
1fumb
Receptions#198 / 338 · 39th pct
10rece
Rush TDs#200 / 349 · 38th pct
3rush
Carries#219 / 349 · 37th pct
76rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.21High (p75–p90) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Evan PryorCincinnatiJeremiah CobbAuburn· 74% simKamari MoultonIowa· 71% simJevon JacksonUAB· 70% sim
Yards / carry
96
Pryor
71
Cobb
62
Moulton
68
Jackson
Rec yards
57
Pryor
47
Cobb
53
Moulton
61
Jackson
Rush yards
57
Pryor
88
Cobb
84
Moulton
85
Jackson
Long run
51
Pryor
51
Cobb
33
Moulton
70
Jackson
Fumbles lost
49
Pryor
Receptions
39
Pryor
45
Cobb
63
Moulton
75
Jackson
Rush TDs
38
Pryor
62
Cobb
62
Moulton
62
Jackson
Carries
37
Pryor
88
Cobb
86
Moulton
85
Jackson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Speed Merchant

Cuts upfield fast. Designed to find the crease, not run through the line.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Kelley Joiner Jr.’s 2021 season.

Kelley Joiner Jr.

74%match

South Florida · 2021

#2

T.J. Pledger

Utah · 2021

69%
#3

Ismail Mahdi

Arizona · 2025

67%
#4

Malachi Hosley

Georgia Tech · 2025

64%
#5

RJ Harvey

UCF · 2022

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 28
64%

Matches Kelley on

Receiving share
Yards / carry
Class year

Differs from Kelley on

Yards / reception (higher)
Rush TD rate (higher)

Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Maquel Haywood’s path through App State.

Maquel Haywood

91%match

App State · 2024

#2

Jai'Den Thomas

UNLV · 2025

All-Mountain West
90%
#3

Calvin Turner

Hawai'i · 2020

All-Mountain West
86%
#4

Tre Stewart

Jacksonville State · 2024

All-Conference USA
86%
#5

Kelley Joiner Jr.

South Florida · 2024

85%

Matches Maquel on

Weight
Yards per carry
Height

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to OJ Arnold's senior season at Georgia Southern (2025).

OJ Arnold

63%match

Georgia Southern · 2025

All-Sun Belt
#2

Ryan Montgomery

Cincinnati · 2023

63%
#3

Malik Jackson

Jacksonville State · 2023

62%
#4

Austin Jones

USC · 2023

60%
#5

Wayne Knight

James Madison · 2025

All-Sun Belt
60%

Matches OJ on

Yards / carry
Receiving share
Yards / reception

Differs from OJ on

Total rush EPA (college ability) (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Scott Satterfield

Pass share

47.8%

363 pass / 396 run

Plays / game

58.4

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

2.6%

266 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Luke Fickell
Cincinnati
2023
Scott Satterfield
Cincinnati
era →
2024
Scott Satterfield
Cincinnati
2025
Scott Satterfield
Cincinnati

Coaching transition mid-career: Luke Fickell → Scott Satterfield. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownCornelius, NC
Height5'9"
Weight195 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey6

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Cincinnati RB4 #125 #154 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Ohio State RB4 #1096 #706 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten
2022 Ohio State RB4 #1367 #852 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten
2021 Ohio State RB4 #746 #503 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Cincinnati Big 12 RB 4 No. 6 | 5-9 | 195 lb | Cornelius, NC
2024 Cincinnati Big 12 RB 4 No. 6 | 5-9 | 195 lb | Cornelius, NC
2023 Ohio State Big Ten RB 4 No. 6 | 5-9 | 195 lb | Cornelius, NC
2022 Ohio State Big Ten RB 4 No. 6 | 5-9 | 195 lb | Cornelius, NC
2021 Ohio State Big Ten RB 4 No. 6 | 5-9 | 195 lb | Cornelius, NC