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OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Kelley Joiner Jr. /South Florida

Kelley Joiner Jr.

RB · South Florida · Sr · #8

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

ALUMNUSSouth Florida 2023 alumnus

RB · SOUTH FLORIDA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Kelley Joiner Jr.

  • 4
  • #8
  • 5-9 | 195 lb
  • Groveland, FL

CFB Zeitgeist RB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#3730

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

—

CONSENSUS

All-American

—

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 0 · Not on team

R00 · Walk-on

Walk-on. Earning a roster spot is the starting line.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2021–2023
4802021
44.02022
1562023

-68%

Sharp dropoff (-68%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
—
No recruit profile
CFB
College
South Florida
2021–2023
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey8
Measurements5-9 | 195 lb
HometownGroveland, FL
Primary teamSouth Florida

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3730Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3993Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Kelley Joiner Jr.

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Kelley Joiner Jr.

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Kelley Joiner Jr.'s story is about how role and output meet each other. For South Florida, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3730 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Development arc 36 return yds

2023 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2023 season snapshot | final

2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 312 156 rush | 156 rec | #371/735 (50th pct)
Rush TD 1 39 carries | #323/739 (56th pct)
Yards/carry 4.0 Per-rush efficiency | #489/735 (34th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2023 Season · Final

2023 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
39 53rd
YDS
156 50th
YPC
4.0 34th
TD
1 56th

Receiving

REC
12 68th
YDS
156 84th
YPR
13.0 91st
TD
2 97th

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021South Florida2-10HC: Jeff Scott · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2022South Florida1-11HC: Jeff Scott · Run-leaning
2023South Florida7-6HC: Alex Golesh · Run-leaning, fast tempo
SeasonTeam
2023South Florida391564.01--
2022South Florida12443.70--
2021South Florida784806.22--
Career3 loaded seasons1296805.33--
SeasonTeam
2023South Florida1215613.02--
2022South Florida7456.40--
2021South Florida8627.80--
Career3 loaded seasons272639.72--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 12 156 rec yds | #180/552 (68th pct)
Usage -- Role share still loading
Rushing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 156 #371/735 50th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 1 #323/739 56th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.0 #489/735 34th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 12 #180/552 68th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 156 #88/548 84th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 39 #349/739 53rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 18 #425/733 42nd pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 62 #27/540 95th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 13.0 #51/548 91st pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #20/552 97th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return yards 36 #117/200 42nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick return avg 18.0 #104/199 48th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Kick returns 2 #109/206 48th pct Volumevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

Status—Awaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback—
awaiting
CPOE—
awaiting
Success rate—
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)—
awaiting
aDOT—
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy—
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack—
awaiting
3rd-down EPA—
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate—
awaiting
Play-action EPA—
awaiting
Scramble EPA—
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate—
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Alex Golesh

Pass share

44.8%

404 pass / 498 run

Plays / game

69.4

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.8%

291 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2023

2 coaches
2021
Jeff Scott
South Florida
2022
Jeff Scott
South Florida
2023
Alex Golesh
South Florida
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Jeff Scott → Alex Golesh. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownGroveland, FL
Height5'9"
Weight195 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey8

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 South Florida RB4 #3730 #3993 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 South Florida RB4 #1457 #1790 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic
2022 South Florida RB4 #3921 #4567 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | American Athletic
2021 South Florida RB4 #1762 #2386 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2024 South Florida American Athletic RB 4 No. 8 | 5-9 | 195 lb | Groveland, FL
2023 South Florida American Athletic RB 4 No. 8 | 5-9 | 195 lb | Groveland, FL
2022 South Florida American Athletic RB 4 No. 8 | 5-9 | 195 lb | Groveland, FL
2021 South Florida American Athletic RB 4 No. 8 | 5-9 | 195 lb | Groveland, FL