CFB Zeitgeist Score
26
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 23rd percentile.
Bailey Stockton
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
233 REC YDS · 21 REC · 0 REC TD
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Florida
2025Georgia Tech
2026Florida
WR · GEORGIA TECH · ACC
Bailey Stockton
- 2
- #7
- 5-11 | 185 lb
- Bogart, GA
Heisman Heat
#3357
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 1 · 2-deepR04 · Rotational
Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Georgia Tech
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds
#9 in market ▼ from #8 · 6 books
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8428 | No. 1622 recruit | HighSchool | Georgia Tech |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Georgia Tech -> Florida | 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Georgia Tech
Composite
0.8428
#1622 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Bailey Stockton
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
100
Grounded Optimism
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=1
- National · n=4
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Bailey Stockton
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Yards per reception
11.1
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #349 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 34th
Why it matters
#349 of 531 All FBS WRs at 11.1 yards per reception (21 catches).
Vs cohort
This player 11.1 (34th)
MODERATE · n=21 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving yards (total)#466 / 531
- Receiving TDs#476 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 1 at Colorado — 48 ypr
Result W 27-20
The week the volume broke through — put up 48 yds at Colorado.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 10g
233Rec yards
21Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
23.3Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
302.9Rec yards
27Receptions
0Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 233): needs 155.7/game over remaining 3.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 233): needs 255.7/game over remaining 3.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 21): needs 13/game over remaining 3.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 21): needs 19.7/game over remaining 3.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 2.7/game over remaining 3.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 3.3/game over remaining 3.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Bailey Stockton's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Georgia Tech, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
21 64th
YDS
233 61st
YPR
11.1 43rd
TD
0 45th
Rushing
CAR
1 35th
YDS
5 35th
YPC
5.0 57th
TD
0 81st
Returns
PR YDS
58 57th
PR AVG
9.7 66th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 10 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 27-20@ Colorado | 4 | 48 | 12.0 | 0 | 23 | Season-high 48 yds |
| Wk 2 | W 59-12vs Gardner-Webb | 2 | 43 | 21.5 | 0 | 24 | |
| Wk 3 | W 24-21vs Clemson | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 4 | W 45-24vs Temple | 3 | 27 | 9.0 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 5 | W 30-29@ Wake Forest | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Wk 7 | W 35-20vs Virginia Tech | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 8 | W 27-18@ Duke | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 9 | W 41-16vs Syracuse | 4 | 48 | 12.0 | 0 | 33 | |
| Wk 13 | L 28-42vs Pittsburgh | 2 | 31 | 15.5 | 0 | 25 | |
| Wk 14 | L 9-16vs Georgia | 2 | 10 | 5.0 | 0 | 6 | |
| Total | 21 | 233 | 10.3 | 0 | 33 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2025Georgia Tech9-4HC: Brent Key · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Georgia Tech | 21 | 233 | 11.1 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 21 | 233 | 11.1 | 0 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Georgia Tech | 1 | 5 | -- | 58 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 1 | 5 | -- | 58 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 21 | #402/1110 | 64th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 233 | #429/1107 | 61st pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #615/1111 | 45th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 11.1 | #635/1106 | 43rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt return yards | 58 | #97/224 | 57th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 10.2% | #478/1137 | 58th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 5 | #261/346 | 25th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 5 | #259/397 | 35th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.0 | #170/393 | 57th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 1 | #264/407 | 35th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #81/411 | 81st pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 33 | #568/1105 | 49th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt return avg | 9.7 | #76/222 | 66th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt returns | 6 | #113/237 | 53rd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 10.7% | #197/1137 | 83rd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 7.6% | #259/1137 | 77th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 7.1% | #442/1137 | 61st pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 4.7% | #519/1137 | 54th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 2.7% | #734/1137 | 36th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 1.9% | #898/1137 | 21st pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.4% | #312/1137 | 73rd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/302 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 10 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 2.0 | 23.9 | 11.8 | 0.0 |
| Road3g | 2.3 | 22.0 | 7.3 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins8g | 2.1 | 24.0 | 10.4 | 0.0 |
| Losses2g | 2.0 | 20.5 | 10.2 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 1.8 | 21.3 | 10.5 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+4g | 2.5 | 26.2 | 10.1 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
26Below cohort
Elite: fumbles lost (80th). Concern: rec tds (6th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Bailey StocktonGeorgia TechJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 62% simMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 59% simLewis BondBoston College· 57% sim
Fumbles lost
Rush TDs
Rush yards
Yards / catch
Receptions
Rec yards
Long catch
Rec TDs
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Possession Receiver
Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Tyler Brown’s 2025 season.
Tyler Brown
89%match
#2
JP Coulter
86%
#3
Jacquon Gibson
83%
#4
Zion Steptoe
82%
#5
DuWayne Johnson
82%
Matches Tyler on
Class year
Reception volume
Yards / reception
Differs from Tyler on
EPA / play (adj) (higher)
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Tyler Brown’s path through Clemson.
Tyler Brown
99%match
#2
Elijah Steward
98%
#3
Derick Eugene
98%
#4
Trey Goodman
92%
#5
Jacquon Gibson
All-MAC
92%
Matches Tyler on
Height
Weight
Yards per reception
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Errol Rogers Jr.'s sophomore season at Louisiana (2021).
Errol Rogers Jr.
83%match
#2
Lavon Brown
80%
#3
Parker Kingston
All-Big 12
80%
#4
Cataurus Hicks
80%
#5
Tommy Maher
79%
Matches Errol on
Total EPA (college ability)
Reception volume
Weight
Differs from Errol on
Class year (lower)
EPA / play (adj) (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Brent Key
Pass share
46.1%
391 pass / 457 run
Plays / game
65.2
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
5.0%
221 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
Brent Key
Georgia Tech
Played his entire career under Brent Key.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownBogart, GA
Height5'11"
Weight185 lb
Class2
PositionWR
Jersey7
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamGeorgia Tech
ConferenceACC
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Georgia Tech | WR2 | #3357 | #3337 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | ACC |
| 2023 | Georgia Tech | WR2 | #3958 | #3870 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | ACC |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Georgia Tech | ACC | WR | 2 | No. 7 | 5-11 | 185 lb | Bogart, GA |
| 2024 | Georgia Tech | ACC | WR | 2 | No. 7 | 5-11 | 185 lb | Bogart, GA |
| 2023 | Georgia Tech | ACC | WR | 2 | No. 7 | 5-11 | 185 lb | Bogart, GA |