Florida

2-0Coaches #25

SEC · Jon Sumrall, year 1 (2-0) · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium · 88,548 · 89,579 avg in 2026

The nationCoaches #25
The model#21 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #15 (+18.6) · FPI #15
The marketFlorida by 2.5at Auburn · our model 65% Florida · a number, not a pick

LastW 52–3 vs Campbell · Sat Sep 12 · Aaron Philo 242 pass yds, 2 TD, 13 rush yds

Nextat Auburn · Sat Sep 19 · 7 pm ET · Jordan-Hare Stadium · Florida by 2.5 · series 39-44-2 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Key stats — 2026 — FBS rank
Points/game
59.0
Pts allowed/game
12.0
Total yards/gm#11 / 138 · 92nd pct
569.0
Rush yards/gmT-#22 / 138 · 84th pct
247.5
Pass yards/gm#25 / 138 · 82nd pct
321.5
Yards allowed/gm#58 / 138 · 58th pct
303.0
Rush yds allowed/gmT-#43 / 138 · 69th pct
91.0
SacksT-#60 / 138 · 50th pct
4
InterceptionsT-#29 / 115 · 61st pct
2
3rd-down convT-#58 / 138 · 58th pct
44.4%
All 82 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team
1138569.0/gm8.82/play#11 / 138 · 92nd pct#7 / 69 · 91st pct#5 / 16 · 72nd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
606303.0/gm3.96/play#58 / 138 · 58th pct#43 / 69 · 38th pct#12 / 16 · 28th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush yards
Team
495247.5/gm3.84/playT-#22 / 138 · 84th pctT-#14 / 69 · 80th pct#5 / 16 · 72nd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
18291.0/gm1.19/playT-#43 / 138 · 69th pct#34 / 69 · 51st pct#11 / 16 · 34th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush carries
Team
7135.5/gmT-#79 / 138 · 42nd pctT-#41 / 69 · 41st pct#12 / 16 · 28th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
6231.0/gmT-#37 / 138 · 73rd pctT-#28 / 69 · 59th pct#8 / 16 · 53rd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush TDs
Team
84.0/gmT-#9 / 138 · 91st pctT-#6 / 69 · 88th pctT-#1 / 16 · 88th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#53 / 138 · 50th pctT-#34 / 69 · 36th pctT-#9 / 16 · 31st pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Net pass yards
Team
643321.5/gm4.98/play#25 / 138 · 82nd pct#15 / 69 · 79th pct#5 / 16 · 72nd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
424212.0/gm2.77/playT-#76 / 138 · 45th pct#47 / 69 · 33rd pct#12 / 16 · 28th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass attempts
Team
5829.0/gmT-#71 / 138 · 48th pctT-#41 / 69 · 41st pctT-#11 / 16 · 31st pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
9145.5/gm#133 / 138 · 4th pct#69 / 69 · 1st pct#16 / 16 · 3rd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Completions
Team
4422.0/gmT-#46 / 138 · 65th pctT-#24 / 69 · 62nd pct#7 / 16 · 59th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
5527.5/gmT-#129 / 138 · 7th pct#66 / 69 · 5th pct#16 / 16 · 3rd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass TDs
Team
63.0/gmT-#17 / 138 · 83rd pctT-#14 / 69 · 74th pctT-#4 / 16 · 72nd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#13 / 138 · 80th pctT-#11 / 69 · 72nd pctT-#2 / 16 · 72nd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Passer rating
Team
196.2196.2#8 / 115 · 93rd pct#8 / 59 · 87th pct#2 / 14 · 89th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Opp
98.898.8#14 / 91 · 85th pct#10 / 41 · 77th pct#4 / 11 · 68th pct#2 / 13 · 92nd pct
Interceptions thrown
Team
21.0/gmT-#23 / 138 · 74th pctT-#8 / 69 · 78th pctT-#3 / 16 · 72nd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#77 / 138 · 33rd pctT-#40 / 69 · 29th pctT-#6 / 16 · 38th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Sacks (def)
Team
42.0/gmT-#60 / 138 · 50th pctT-#36 / 69 · 40th pctT-#11 / 16 · 25th pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
10.5/gmT-#9 / 138 · 86th pctT-#6 / 69 · 83rd pctT-#2 / 16 · 81st pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
Tackles for loss
Team
147.0/gmT-#29 / 138 · 73rd pctT-#18 / 69 · 68th pctT-#6 / 16 · 59th pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
63.0/gmT-#20 / 138 · 83rd pctT-#15 / 69 · 78th pct#3 / 16 · 84th pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
First downs
Team
5427.0/gmT-#25 / 138 · 82nd pctT-#16 / 69 · 77th pctT-#5 / 16 · 69th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
3618.0/gmT-#68 / 138 · 50th pctT-#46 / 69 · 33rd pct#12 / 16 · 28th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down conv
Team
84.0/gmT-#104 / 138 · 21st pctT-#57 / 69 · 14th pct#14 / 16 · 16th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
168.0/gmT-#126 / 138 · 8th pctT-#67 / 69 · 3rd pct#16 / 16 · 3rd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down att
Team
189.0/gmT-#130 / 138 · 4th pctT-#65 / 69 · 5th pctT-#15 / 16 · 6th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
4020.0/gm#132 / 138 · 5th pct#69 / 69 · 1st pct#16 / 16 · 3rd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down conv
Team
31.5/gmT-#23 / 138 · 74th pctT-#12 / 69 · 72nd pctT-#4 / 16 · 62nd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
52.5/gmT-#133 / 138 · 3rd pctT-#68 / 69 · 1st pct#16 / 16 · 3rd pct#4 / 13 · 77th pct
4th-down att
Team
42.0/gmT-#47 / 138 · 60th pctT-#24 / 69 · 59th pctT-#6 / 16 · 59th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
84.0/gmT-#131 / 138 · 3rd pctT-#68 / 69 · 1st pctT-#15 / 16 · 6th pct#2 / 13 · 92nd pct
Time of possession
Team
60:0130:00/gm#84 / 138 · 39th pct#43 / 69 · 38th pct#11 / 16 · 34th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
59:5930:00/gm#75 / 138 · 46th pct#43 / 69 · 38th pct#11 / 16 · 34th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct

FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs

Player stats — 2026 season
Quarterbacks
Player#GCmp/AttPctYdsY/ATDINTRateZPRQBRAdj ANY/ASack%
+0.66 EPA/play12232 / 4276.2517
#40 FBS
12.35
#22 FBS
1214.171.6
9212 / 16751267.911149.36.3
Running Backs
Player#GCarYdsAvgTDLongStuff%10+%
+0.69 EPA/play13228296
#4 FBS
10.65
#3 FBS
75
Receivers
Player#GRecYdsAvgTDLong
+0.81 EPA/play129160
#57 FBS
17.82
#24 FBS
49
+0.95 EPA/play628151
#67 FBS
18.9140
+1.12 EPA/play327618.7124

2026 stat leaders · Florida

through 2 games

Jadan Baugh leads Florida with 296 rushing yards through 2 games.

1. Jadan Baugh RB 296 rushing yards
2. Myles Graham LB 17 tackles
3. Vernell Brown III WR 160 receiving yards
4. Aaron Philo QB 517 passing yards
5. Dallas Wilson WR 151 receiving yards
How They Play · 2025

Florida fields a limited methodical, ball-control offense behind a solid defense.

Offense
38th pct EPA/play
Tempo
51st pct success, 3rd explosiveness
Defense
46th pct EPA allowed

Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.

The Savant Card · Florida · 2025

Florida reads strongest in rushing epa allowed (top 41%) and rushing epa (top 48%); the crux lives in explosive plays, where Florida sits at the 3rd percentile.

offense · strengths lead

EPA / play +0.14
38th
Success Rate +0.42
51st
Explosive Plays +1.11
3rd
Rushing EPA +0.12
53rd

defense · higher bar = harder to play against

EPA Allowed +0.15
46th
Success Rate Allowed +0.41
49th
Explosive Plays Allowed +1.28
41st
Passing EPA Allowed +0.29
33rd

hidden math · special situations

Passing EPA +0.20
30th
Rushing EPA Allowed +0.06
59th
Elite · 90+Strong · 70+Average · 40-70Concern · 10-40Bottom · <10
Sources · CFBD tier-2 advanced stats · per-game production · 12 games this season · percentiles vs. up to 136 FBS peers

Home-field advantage · Florida · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Florida is worth +5.6 points more at home than on the road.

Top third of FBS, 75th percentile of 133 programs

71% at home, 43% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (30–12 home, 15–20 away). Interval ±3.8.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Florida has beaten the number by +1.7 more at home than away over 67 games — inside the ±6.7 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Ben Hill Griffin Stadium seats 88,548 and has averaged 101% full (89,181, 27 games reported). Visitors cover a median 518 miles to get here since 2018 — 44th-longest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. 20% of the 2026 roster (28 of 140 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 52 home games since 2018.

Home30–12Away15–20Edge+5.6 ±3.8Visitor trip518 mi

More in this tab

RatingsWhere the public rating systems put this team.

Model Consensus

Where the Models Rank Florida

CFB Zeitgeist

#21

+7.0

SP+

#15

+18.6

FPI

#15

+16.2

Elo

#34

1669

The national models put Florida between 15th and 34th nationally — CFB Zeitgeist agrees, slotting them 21st.

National rank of 138 FBS teams · 2026 season. SP+/FPI/SRS published; Elo & CFB Zeitgeist ranked by rating.

Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · Florida

Reads like

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

ConditionsThe weather and altitude visitors have to deal with.
Venue texture

77°F average kickoff temp; 16% of games had measurable precipitation; 6 mph average wind.

Based on 76 home games with weather data.

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