cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jaray Bledsoe /Mississippi State

Jaray Bledsoe

DL · Mississippi State · Jr · #92

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

28 TACKLES · 1.5 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Mississippi State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Mississippi State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive line · Mississippi State

Returning around him

  • 42% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 2 Mississippi State players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -13 net (27 in / 40 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Mississippi State · Last season: 5-8 · Talent rank #24 · 2026 recruiting class #28

DL · MISSISSIPPI STATE · SEC

Jaray Bledsoe

  • 3
  • #92
  • 6-4 | 315 lb
  • Marlin, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

56

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 74th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3500

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#174 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class3
Jersey92
Measurements6-4 | 315 lb
HometownMarlin, TX
Primary teamMississippi State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 174 recruit
Composite rating 0.9307 HighSchool
Signed with Texas 2022
Origin Marlin Marlin, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 4-star | 0.9307 No. 174 recruit | HighSchool | Texas

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Mississippi State 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 22, 2024
Season Move Context
2025 Texas -> Mississippi State 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3500Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3145Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Texas

Composite

0.9307

#174 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jaray Bledsoe

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jaray Bledsoe

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
28Tackles
5.5Tackles for loss
1.5Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.5Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
30Tackles
6.0Tackles for loss
1.6Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 28): needs 52/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 28): needs 72/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 1.5): needs 4.5/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 1.5): needs 8.5/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jaray Bledsoe is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Mississippi State's defense, with 1.5 sacks, 5.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #3500 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 174 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 28 8 solo | #1469/4942 (70th pct)
TFL 5.5 Backfield disruption | #477/4972 (90th pct)
Sacks 1.5 Pass-rush finish | #724/4972 (85th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
28 70th
SOLO
8 50th
TFL
5.5 90th
SACK
1.5 85th
QBH
2 66th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 34-17@ Southern Miss400.50.00
Wk 2W 24-20vs Arizona State220.00.00
Wk 4W 38-10vs Northern Illinois100.50.00
Wk 5L 34-41vs Tennessee211.00.00
Wk 6L 9-31@ Texas A&M400.50.00
Wk 8L 21-23@ Florida211.00.00
Wk 9L 38-45vs Texas211.51.50
Wk 10W 38-35@ Arkansas200.50.00
Wk 11L 21-41vs Georgia510.00.00Season-high 5 tackles
Wk 12L 27-49@ Missouri100.00.00
Wk 14L 19-38vs Ole Miss100.00.00
BowlL 29-43vs Wake Forest220.00.00
Total2885.51.50
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Texas8-5HC: Steve Sarkisian · Run-leaning
2023Texas12-2HC: Steve Sarkisian · Balanced
2024Texas13-3HC: Steve Sarkisian · Balanced, fast tempo
2025Mississippi State5-8HC: Jeff Lebby · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Mississippi State2885.51.5------
2024Texas210.00.0------
2023Texas421.00.0------
2022Texas1--0.00.0------
Career4 loaded seasons35116.51.5------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 2 Quarterback hurries | #647/1878 (66th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 28 #1469/4942 70th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 5.5 #477/4972 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.5 #724/4972 85th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 2 #647/1878 66th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 8 #2283/4584 50th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g2.10.40.20.0
Road5g2.60.50.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins4g2.20.40.00.0
Losses8g2.40.50.20.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g2.50.40.00.0
Weeks 8+6g2.20.50.20.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

56Solid starter
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles for loss (82nd). Concern: passes defended (17th).

Tackles for loss#477 / 2975 · 83rd pct
5.5defe
Sacks#707 / 2975 · 74th pct
1.5defe
QB hurries#634 / 2975 · 72nd pct
2defe
Tackles#1469 / 2975 · 49th pct
28defe
Solo tackles#2282 / 2975 · 21st pct
8defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Jaray BledsoeMississippi StateMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 63% simMicah DaveyUTEP· 62% simEthan WesloskiNorth Texas· 61% sim
Tackles for loss
83
Bledsoe
87
Parker
91
Davey
95
Wesloski
Sacks
74
Bledsoe
80
Parker
63
Davey
74
Wesloski
QB hurries
72
Bledsoe
88
Parker
82
Davey
95
Wesloski
Tackles
49
Bledsoe
98
Parker
99
Davey
99
Wesloski
Solo tackles
21
Bledsoe
96
Parker
99
Davey
99
Wesloski
Passes defended
18
Bledsoe
18
Parker
18
Davey
18
Wesloski

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Nose Anchor

Two-gap space-eater who occupies blockers and frees the linebackers.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Fabien Lovett Sr.’s 2023 season.

Fabien Lovett Sr.

92%match

Florida State · 2023

#2

Jordan Jefferson

LSU · 2023

91%
#3

Brandon Cleveland

NC State · 2025

NFL Rd 7
88%
#4

Bryson Eason

Tennessee · 2023

85%
#5

Lee Hunter

UCF · 2024

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 17
85%

Matches Fabien on

Weight
Height
Sack rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Keanu Tanuvasa's senior season at BYU (2025).

Keanu Tanuvasa

77%match

BYU · 2025

#2

Bear Alexander

Oregon · 2025

All-Big Ten
65%
#3

Derrick Harmon

Oregon · 2024

All-Big TenNFL Rd 1 · Pk 21
64%
#4

Daniel Lyons

Florida State · 2025

64%
#5

Caden Haws

BYU · 2023

63%

Matches Keanu on

Class year
Height
TFL rate

Differs from Keanu on

Sack rate (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jeff Lebby

Pass share

41.8%

390 pass / 543 run

Plays / game

71.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

12.7%

308 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

3 coaches
2022
Mike Leach
Mississippi State
2023
Greg Knox
Mississippi State
era →
2024
Jeff Lebby
Mississippi State
era →
2025
Jeff Lebby
Mississippi State

Played under 3 different head coaches: Mike Leach, Greg Knox, and Jeff Lebby. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMarlin, TX
Height6'4"
Weight315 lb
Class3
PositionDL
Jersey92

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Texas DL3 #3500 #3145 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Texas DL3 #4643 #4398 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 Texas DL3 #9554 #9022 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Mississippi State SEC DL 3 No. 92 | 6-4 | 315 lb | Marlin, TX
2024 Texas SEC DL 3 No. 92 | 6-4 | 315 lb | Marlin, TX
2023 Texas Big 12 DL 3 No. 92 | 6-4 | 315 lb | Marlin, TX
2022 Texas Big 12 DL 3 No. 92 | 6-4 | 315 lb | Marlin, TX