Notre Dame 35-13 Navy (Oct 31, 2026) Final Score

Team pages: Notre Dame · Navy

No. 5 Notre Dame7-135

Navy2-613Final

Sat, Oct 31 · Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Mass. (neutral site) · Crowd 61,293

No. 5 Notre Dame beat Navy 35-13.

We had Notre Dame favored. It won.

Next: Notre Dame vs Miami, Sat Nov 7 · 7:30 PM ET · Notre Dame favored by 5.5

Next: Navy vs Temple, Sat Nov 7 · 3:30 PM ET · Navy favored by 7.5

We’ve been screaming to run the ball and wow look what happens when we do

A Notre Dame fan

How it swung

The turning point: James 52-yd TD run, Notre Dame goes ahead 14-13 (Q2, 0:55). Notre Dame went from 75% to 93% to win.

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Notre Dame a 97% chance, and the closing betting line (Notre Dame was a 30.5-point favorite) put it at 99%.

Favored the whole way: Notre Dame never fell below 74%.

Navy never had better than a 26% chance.

FinalNotre Dame 35-13 NavyNotre Dame wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.

The two plays that swung it

1Q2 1:52Gutierrez 2-yd TD run, Navy goes ahead 13-7Notre Dame 91% → 76% (−15)
2Q2 0:55James 52-yd TD run, Notre Dame goes ahead 14-13Notre Dame 75% → 93% (+18)

The two plays that swung it

1Q2 1:52Gutierrez 2-yd TD run, Navy goes ahead 13-7Navy 9% → 24% (+15)
2Q2 0:55James 52-yd TD run, Notre Dame goes ahead 14-13Navy 25% → 7% (−18)

Replay booth called down to get a commercial break cause that was clear as day out of bounds.

Q2 7:42 · r/CFB game thread

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

Q2 7:42Fans criticize ESPN for calling a fake review to extend a commercial breakNetwork called that review lolr/CFB game thread
Q2 2:43Navy's 22-minute first-half possession frustrates fans who call Notre Dame patheticHow long can Notre Dame keep up with this Looney Tunes Offense?r/CFB game threadIs notre dame overrated? We are all thinking it nowr/CFB game thread

Notre Dame’s chance to win after every play.

How to read this chart

Starts from the pregame line (Notre Dame -30.5), at 95% for Notre Dame (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Navy or Notre Dame flair (43 and 843); both sides share one scale, regulation only.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Notre Dame’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

Every drive

Notre Dame scored on 5 of its 8 drives; Navy on 3 of its 8.

Notre Dame’s drives are teal, Navy’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

From Navy’s side

Navy’s best moment: Gutierrez 2-yd TD run, Navy goes ahead 13-7 (Q2 1:52). It lifted Navy’s win chance by 15 points.

When fans got loud

Busy

The loudest stretch came in the second quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was busy; the crowd was busy.

Box score

Notre Dame 35, Navy 13

Navy covered +30.5 by 8.5. The total, 48, stayed under 54.5.

Team totals	Notre Dame	Navy
Total yards	426	245
Passing	20 of 30, 222 yds	5 of 9, 33 yds
Rushing	29 for 204 yds	48 for 212 yds
First downs	25	15
Third down	3 of 8	4 of 12
Fourth down	2 of 3	2 of 3
Turnovers	0	0
Penalties	2 for 25 yds	8 for 86 yds
Time of possession	27:20	32:40

Notre Dame leaders

Passing C.J. Carr 19 of 29, 210 yds, 2 TD
Rushing Nolan James Jr. 9 for 107 yds, 2 TD; Jonaz Walton 12 for 51 yds, 1 TD
Receiving Jerome Bettis Jr. 6 for 78 yds, 1 TD; Jordan Faison 4 for 46 yds

Navy leaders

Passing Jackson Gutierrez 4 of 7, 25 yds
Rushing Jackson Gutierrez 28 for 110 yds, 1 TD; Michael Barrow 11 for 65 yds
Receiving Luke Hutchison 1 for 17 yds; Jackson Gutierrez 1 for 8 yds

No rain through the game

52° at kickoff · no rain recorded

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

Second quarter, 0:55 left1:26 p.m.

Notre Dame 14, Navy 13 · Navy 7% to win

no rain · 53°

James 52-yd TD run, Notre Dame goes ahead 14-13

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Notre Dame · 6-1

Rated 1st in our preseason ratings, 2nd now.

2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

L 24-28 @ BYUTop 25 No. 11 of 668 teams

lost by 4 as a 10.5-point favorite

W 58-7 vs Stanford No. 140 of 668 teams

won by 51 as a 40.5-point favorite

W 37-26 @ North Carolina No. 88 of 668 teams

won by 11 as a 21-point favorite

W 49-10 @ Purdue No. 113 of 668 teams

won by 39 as a 27.5-point favorite

W 27-10 vs Michigan State No. 132 of 668 teams

won by 17 as a 28.5-point favorite

W 52-0 vs Rice No. 147 of 668 teams

won by 52 as a 44.5-point favorite

W 41-13 vs WisconsinTop 25 No. 77 of 668 teams

won by 28 as a 21-point favorite

Last three games

Navy · 2-5

Rated 72nd in our preseason ratings, 76th now.

1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

L 39-49 vs North Texas No. 54 of 668 teams

lost by 10 as a 3-point underdog

L 34-38 @ UTSA No. 33 of 668 teams

lost by 4 as a 5.5-point underdog

W 34-26 vs Tulsa No. 111 of 668 teams

won by 8 as a 3-point favorite

L 9-14 @ Air Force No. 83 of 668 teams

lost by 5 as a 2.5-point underdog

L 20-24 @ UAB No. 64 of 668 teams

lost by 4 as a 6.5-point favorite

L 30-38 @ Florida Atlantic No. 110 of 668 teams

lost by 8 as a 4.5-point favorite

W 42-15 vs Towson No. 173 of 668 teams

won by 27 as a 31.5-point favorite

Week by week

Navy

Wk 4Lat UAB20-24
Wk 5Lat Air Force9-14
Wk 6Wvs Tulsa34-26
Wk 7Lat UTSA34-38
Wk 8Lvs North Texas39-49

Notre Dame

Wk 3Wvs Michigan State27-10
Wk 4Wat Purdue49-10
Wk 5Wat North Carolina37-26
Wk 6Wvs Stanford58-7
Wk 7Lat BYU24-28

Power rating by week

Notre Dame is rated 15.3 points ahead as of week 8. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Notre Dame’s EPA/play against Navy, 86 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

Notre Dame’s EPA/play against Navy’s defense
Notre Dame offense, 98th percentile · Navy defense, 12th
Notre Dame’s passing EPA against Navy’s defense
Notre Dame offense, 93rd percentile · Navy defense, 16th
Notre Dame’s explosive plays against Navy’s defense
Notre Dame offense, 25th percentile · Navy defense, 5th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

Notre DameNavy

EPA/play, offense

EPA/play, defense

Success rate, offense

Success rate, defense

Explosive-play rate, offense

Explosive-play rate, defense

Rush EPA, offense

Rush EPA, defense

Pass EPA, offense

Pass EPA, defense

The series

Notre Dame leads the series 84-13-1

98 meetings since 1927 · Notre Dame has won the last 8

2025Notre Dame 49-10
2024 · neutral siteNotre Dame 51-14
2023 · neutral siteNotre Dame 42-3
2022 · neutral siteNotre Dame 35-32
2021Notre Dame 34-6

Each line is Navy’s chance to win through that meeting.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Notre Dame fans are feeling it less than most fanbases this week (18th percentile among FBS fanbases), and the other side is no happier.

Notre Dame favored by 30.5 · Total 54.5

How games like this usually go

Notre Dame by 30.5, and it went to form

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 430 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 2 points toward Notre Dame.

The total rose 1 point.

The books’ cut: 3.1%, the margin built into the odds

Last meeting in our History pages

Notre Dame 51, Navy 14Oct 26, 2024

Our History pages cover 2 of their meetings since 2015.

No. 5 Notre Dame beats Navy 35-13