cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Ken Seals /TCU

Ken Seals

QB · TCU · Sr · #9

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

282 PASS YDS · 1 PASS TD · -2 RUSH YDS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to TCU for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to TCU for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Quarterback · TCU

Returning around him

  • 61% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 3 TCU players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -2 net (12 in / 14 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

TCU · Last season: 9-4 (AP #24) · Talent rank #32 · 2026 recruiting class #24

QB · TCU · BIG 12

Ken Seals

  • 4
  • #9
  • 6-3 | 220 lb
  • Azle, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

41

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by completion % at the 97th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#506

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2021–2025
1,1812021
1,2182023
97.02024
2822025

-76%

Sharp dropoff (-76%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#502 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class4
Jersey9
Measurements6-3 | 220 lb
HometownAzle, TX
Primary teamTCU

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 502 recruit
Composite rating 0.8815 HighSchool
Signed with Vanderbilt 2020
Origin Weatherford Weatherford, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8815 No. 502 recruit | HighSchool | Vanderbilt

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination TCU 2024
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Nov 29, 2023
Season Move Context
2024 Vanderbilt -> TCU 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#506Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#503Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Vanderbilt

Composite

0.8815

#502 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Ken Seals

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "Frogs Add Postseason Recognition; Seals and McAlister Honored &nbsp;&nbsp; TCU A"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Ken Seals

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 3g
282Pass yards
1Pass TDs
2INT
Per game
94Pass yards
0Pass TDs
1INT
Projected (13g)
1,222Pass yards
4Pass TDs
9INT

To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 282): needs 271.8/game over remaining 10.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 282): needs 371.8/game over remaining 10.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.4/game over remaining 10.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.9/game over remaining 10.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 1): needs 3.4/game over remaining 10.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Ken Seals's story is about how role and output meet each other. For TCU, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #506 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 26.6% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 282 1 TD | 2 INT | #211/382 (45th pct)
Completion rate 71.7% 33/46 completions | #56/383 (86th pct)
Yards/attempt 6.1 Explosiveness through the air | #254/382 (34th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Highly efficient | Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Highly efficientPocket-leaning

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
33 49th
ATT
46 49th
CMP%
71.7% 86th
Y/A
6.1 34th

Passing Production

YDS
282 45th
TD
1 44th
INT
2 52nd

Rushing

CAR
9 35th
YDS
-2 16th
YPC
-0.2 16th
TD
1 63rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 3 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1W 48-14@ North Carolina0/10000.00.1Season-high 258 yds
Wk 3W 42-21vs Abilene Christian4/524014.85.3
BowlW 30-27vs USC29/40258116.565.0
Total33/46282123.823.5
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Vanderbilt2-10HC: Clark Lea · Balanced
2023Vanderbilt2-10HC: Clark Lea · Balanced, slow tempo
2024TCU9-4HC: Sonny Dykes · Pass-leaning
2025TCU9-4HC: Sonny Dykes · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025TCU334671.7%2826.112121.7----
2024TCU101376.9%977.510165.0----
2023Vanderbilt10617959.2%1,2186.8114132.2----
2021Vanderbilt12722456.7%1,1815.358101.2----
Career4 loaded seasons27646259.7%2,7786.01814117.0----
SeasonTeam
2025TCU9-2-0.21--
2024TCU4123.00--
2023Vanderbilt39391.02--
2021Vanderbilt38-28-0.71--
Career4 loaded seasons90210.24--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact -2 1 rush TD | #342/408 (16th pct)
Usage 26.6% 43.8% pass share | 5.5% rush share | #194/428 (55th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.22 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #130/200 (36th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 282 #211/382 45th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 1 #228/407 44th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 33 #196/383 49th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 71.7% #56/383 86th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 6.1 #254/382 34th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards -2 #342/408 16th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.22 #130/200 36th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 201 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 26.6% #194/428 55th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 46 #208/407 49th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 2 #195/407 52nd pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 9 #267/408 35th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 8 #324/391 17th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 1 #151/408 63rd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry -0.2 #341/407 16th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 43.8% #195/428 55th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 40.4% #182/428 58th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 39.5% #182/428 58th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 25.0% #183/428 57th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 22.7% #204/428 53rd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 21.3% #195/428 55th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 5.5% #264/428 39th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/258 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 3 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home2g1410.55.71.0
Road1g0.00.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins3g94.00.33.80.7

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-73g94.00.33.80.7

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

41Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: completion % (97th). Strength: interceptions (92nd). Concern: pass yards (0th).

Completion %#6 / 183 · 97th pct
71.7%pass
Interceptions#8 / 183 · 92nd pct
2pass
Fumbles lost#1 / 174 · 91st pct
0fumb
Rush TDs#123 / 183 · 26th pct
1rush
Rush yards#146 / 183 · 21st pct
-2rush
Yards / att#150 / 183 · 16th pct
6.1pass
Pass TDs#180 / 183 · 1st pct
1pass
Pass yards#184 / 183 · 0th pct
282pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Ken SealsTCUDrake LindseyMinnesota· 59% simNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 59% simJalen KitnaUAB· 55% sim
Completion %
97
Seals
56
Lindsey
41
Vattiato
79
Kitna
Interceptions
92
Seals
56
Lindsey
44
Vattiato
10
Kitna
Fumbles lost
91
Seals
91
Lindsey
66
Vattiato
91
Kitna
Rush TDs
26
Seals
59
Lindsey
39
Vattiato
9
Kitna
Rush yards
21
Seals
1
Lindsey
27
Vattiato
8
Kitna
Yards / att
16
Seals
16
Lindsey
13
Vattiato
57
Kitna
Pass TDs
1
Seals
72
Lindsey
64
Vattiato
55
Kitna
Pass yards
0
Seals
61
Lindsey
57
Vattiato
64
Kitna

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Sonny Dykes

Pass share

51.9%

460 pass / 426 run

Plays / game

68.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.6%

340 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Gary Patterson
TCU
2023
Sonny Dykes
TCU
era →
2024
Sonny Dykes
TCU
2025
Sonny Dykes
TCU

Coaching transition mid-career: Gary Patterson → Sonny Dykes. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownAzle, TX
Height6'3"
Weight220 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey9

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 TCU QB4 #506 #503 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Vanderbilt QB4 #519 #822 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC
2022 Vanderbilt QB4 #1626 #1760 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC
2021 Vanderbilt QB4 #976 #1334 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 TCU Big 12 QB 4 No. 9 | 6-3 | 220 lb | Azle, TX
2024 TCU Big 12 QB 4 No. 9 | 6-3 | 220 lb | Azle, TX
2023 Vanderbilt SEC QB 4 No. 9 | 6-3 | 220 lb | Azle, TX
2022 Vanderbilt SEC QB 4 No. 9 | 6-3 | 220 lb | Azle, TX
2021 Vanderbilt SEC QB 4 No. 9 | 6-3 | 220 lb | Azle, TX