Tennessee at Georgia Tech
Fan take
How they got here
Last three games · 2025 season
Tennessee · 8-5
Picked #30 in the preseason · now #43 — worse than expected.
1-2 in its last three, one over ranked or top-40 competition.
L 28–30 @ IllinoisTop 25 #43 of 668
lost by 2 as a 3-point favorite
L 24–45 vs VanderbiltTop 25 #13 of 668
lost by 21 as a 2.5-point favorite
W 31–11 @ FloridaTop 25 #56 of 668
won by 20 as a 3.5-point favorite
W 42–9 vs New Mexico State #207 of 668
won by 33 as a 41.5-point favorite
L 27–33 vs OklahomaTop 25 #21 of 668
lost by 6 as a 3-point favorite
W 56–34 @ Kentucky #85 of 668
won by 22 as a 7.5-point favorite
L 20–37 @ AlabamaTop 25 #4 of 668
lost by 17 as a 8.5-point underdog
W 34–31 vs Arkansas #55 of 668
won by 3 as a 10.5-point favorite
W 41–34 @ Mississippi State #68 of 668
won by 7 as a 7.5-point favorite
W 56–24 vs UAB #122 of 668
won by 32 as a 38.5-point favorite
L 41–44 vs GeorgiaTop 25 #4 of 668
lost by 3 as a 3.5-point underdog
W 72–17 vs East Tennessee State #137 of 668
won by 55 as a 40.5-point favorite
W 45–26 vs Syracuse #79 of 668
won by 19 as a 13.5-point favorite
Last three games · 2025 season
Georgia Tech · 9-4
Picked #63 in the preseason · now #79 — worse than expected.
Three straight losses.
L 21–25 @ BYUTop 25 #21 of 668
lost by 4 as a 3.5-point underdog
L 9–16 vs GeorgiaTop 25 #8 of 668
lost by 7 as a 16.5-point underdog
L 28–42 vs PittsburghTop 25 #32 of 668
lost by 14 as a 2.5-point favorite
W 36–34 @ Boston College #115 of 668
won by 2 as a 16.5-point favorite
L 36–48 @ NC State #34 of 668
lost by 12 as a 4-point favorite
W 41–16 vs Syracuse #97 of 668
won by 25 as a 17.5-point favorite
W 27–18 @ Duke #51 of 668
won by 9 as a 3.5-point underdog
W 35–20 vs Virginia Tech #77 of 668
won by 15 as a 14.5-point favorite
W 30–29 @ Wake Forest #92 of 668
won by 1 as a 11.5-point favorite
W 45–24 vs Temple #81 of 668
won by 21 as a 24.5-point favorite
W 24–21 vs ClemsonTop 25 #6 of 668
won by 3 as a 3-point underdog
W 59–12 vs Gardner-Webb #157 of 668
won by 47 as a 37.5-point favorite
W 27–20 @ Colorado #88 of 668
won by 7 as a 3.5-point favorite
What’s at stake
Tennessee
- Tennessee sits at 27% to make the CFP field — 31% with a win here, 18% with a loss.
- Tennessee is coming off a 21-point win.
Georgia Tech
- Georgia Tech is still shaking off a 21-point loss.
The series
Tennessee leads the series 26-17-2
45 meetings since 1902 · Tennessee has won the last 3
- 2026Tennessee 45–24
- 2017 · neutral siteTennessee 42–41
- 1987Tennessee 29–15
- 1986Georgia Tech 14–13
- 1985Tie 6–6
Best players
Tennessee
- DeSean Bishop (RB) · 244 rushing yards — Heisman odds: 97th (+22500)
- Amare Campbell (LB) · 14 tackles
- Mike Matthews (WR) · 148 receiving yards
Georgia Tech
- Kyle Efford (LB) · 21 tackles
- E.J. Lightsey (LB) · 17 tackles
- Savion Riley (S) · 16 tackles
The line, and the room
Tennessee fans are feeling it more than most fanbases this week (23rd percentile) — the mood matches the numbers.
- Model · 33%
- Market · 16%
- Georgia Tech fans · 9th
- Tennessee fans · 23rd
Home +12.5 · O/U 55.5
Conditions
80°F · 4 mph wind · Rain Shower
Georgia Tech has had no measurable home edge since 2018 — −0.3 points (±4.2), home against road — 1st percentile of FBS.
44% at home, 41% on the road against FBS opponents (19–24 home, 17–24 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -10.0 at home vs. away over 68 games — outside the ±6.6 noise, one of the few buildings where results say more.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 153 miles to get here.
Tennessee 45 – Georgia Tech 24
Called it — picked Tennessee to win.
Recent games
Georgia Tech
- Wk 1Lvs Colorado13-14
Tennessee
- Wk 1Wvs Furman56-9
Trajectory
Tennessee beat Georgia Tech 45-24 — exactly what the pregame pick had.