cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Amaris Williams /Auburn

Amaris Williams

DE · Auburn · So · #10

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

14 TACKLES · 2 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Auburn for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Auburn for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive end · Auburn

Returning around him

  • 22% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 5 Auburn players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -1 net (38 in / 39 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Auburn · Last season: 5-7 (AP #22) · Talent rank #13 · 2026 recruiting class #8

DE · AUBURN · SEC

Amaris Williams

  • 2
  • #10
  • 6-2 | 260 lb
  • Fayetteville, NC

CFB Zeitgeist Score

47

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 80th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#10820

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#62 national
CFB
College
Auburn
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#21 in market ▼ from #18 · 6 books

+35002.8% implied▼ lengthened from +3000

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDE
Class2
Jersey10
Measurements6-2 | 260 lb
HometownFayetteville, NC
Primary teamAuburn

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 62 recruit
Composite rating 0.9706 HighSchool
Signed with Auburn 2024
Origin Clinton Clinton, NC, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 4-star | 0.9706 No. 62 recruit | HighSchool | Auburn

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#10820Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#10970Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Auburn

Composite

0.9706

#62 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Amaris Williams

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Amaris Williams

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 9g
14Tackles
6Tackles for loss
2Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.7Tackles for loss
0.2Sacks
Projected (13g)
20Tackles
8.7Tackles for loss
2.9Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 14): needs 16.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 14): needs 21.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 2): needs 1/game over remaining 4.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 2): needs 2/game over remaining 4.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Amaris Williams is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Auburn's defense, with 2.0 sacks, 6.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #10820 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 62 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 14 9 solo | #2476/4942 (50th pct)
TFL 6.0 Backfield disruption | #406/4972 (92nd pct)
Sacks 2.0 Pass-rush finish | #491/4972 (90th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
14 50th
SOLO
9 54th
TFL
6.0 92nd
SACK
2.0 90th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 38-24@ Baylor100.50.50
Wk 2W 42-3vs Ball State111.00.00
Wk 3W 31-15vs South Alabama110.00.00
Wk 4L 17-24@ Oklahoma100.00.00
Wk 7L 10-20vs Georgia100.00.00
Wk 8L 17-23vs Missouri221.00.00
Wk 10L 3-10vs Kentucky222.01.00
Wk 11L 38-45@ Vanderbilt310.50.50Season-high 3 tackles
Wk 13W 62-17vs Mercer221.00.00
Total1496.02.00
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Auburn5-7HC: Hugh Freeze · Balanced
2025Auburn5-7HC: Hugh Freeze · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Auburn1496.02.0------
2024Auburn751.50.5------
Career2 loaded seasons21147.52.5------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 14 #2476/4942 50th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 6.0 #406/4972 92nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 2.0 #491/4972 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 9 #2127/4584 54th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g1.50.80.20.0
Road3g1.70.30.30.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins4g1.20.60.10.0
Losses5g1.80.70.30.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-75g1.00.30.10.0
Weeks 8+4g2.21.10.40.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DE cohort

47Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles for loss (85th). Concern: tackles (15th).

Tackles for loss#406 / 2975 · 85th pct
6.0defe
Sacks#487 / 2975 · 80th pct
2.0defe
Solo tackles#2127 / 2975 · 26th pct
9defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe
Tackles#2476 / 2975 · 16th pct
14defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Amaris WilliamsAuburnMichael MontgomerySouthern Miss· 54% simJonJon VaughnsUCLA· 53% simJackson KuwatchMiami (OH)· 52% sim
Tackles for loss
85
Williams
85
Montgomery
85
Vaughns
96
Kuwatch
Sacks
80
Williams
89
Montgomery
63
Vaughns
96
Kuwatch
Solo tackles
26
Williams
82
Montgomery
96
Vaughns
95
Kuwatch
QB hurries
22
Williams
22
Montgomery
22
Vaughns
55
Kuwatch
Passes defended
18
Williams
67
Montgomery
48
Vaughns
48
Kuwatch
Tackles
16
Williams
99
Montgomery
99
Vaughns
98
Kuwatch

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Versatile End

Holds up against run and pass without a single dominant trait.

EDGE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Zayin West’s 2022 season.

Zayin West

73%match

Kent State · 2022

#2

Eric Phillips

Cincinnati · 2023

71%
#3

T.J. Parker

Clemson · 2023

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 3
68%
#4

Yvan Kemajou

Penn State · 2025

67%
#5

Ibrahim Diawara

Coastal Carolina · 2025

63%

Matches Zayin on

Sack rate
Height
Weight

Differs from Zayin on

Class year (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Wendell Gregory's sophomore season at Oklahoma State (2025).

Wendell Gregory

79%match

Oklahoma State · 2025

#2

Darius Hodges

Tulane · 2021

All-AAC
75%
#3

Daemian Wimberly

UTSA · 2025

73%
#4

Leonard Taylor

Miami · 2022

68%
#5

Jojo Johnson

Oregon State · 2025

68%

Matches Wendell on

Sack rate
Weight
TFL rate

Differs from Wendell on

Class year (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Hugh Freeze

Pass share

44.7%

360 pass / 445 run

Plays / game

67.1

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

13.3%

308 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Hugh Freeze
Auburn
2025
Hugh Freeze
Auburn

Played his entire career under Hugh Freeze.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownFayetteville, NC
Height6'2"
Weight260 lb
Class2
PositionDE
Jersey10

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Auburn DE2 #10820 #10970 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Auburn SEC DE 2 No. 10 | 6-2 | 260 lb | Fayetteville, NC
2024 Auburn SEC DE 2 No. 10 | 6-2 | 260 lb | Fayetteville, NC