CFB Zeitgeist Score
42
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by long run at the 68th percentile.
Dijon Stanley
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
297 RUSH YDS · 2 RUSH TD · 73 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to New Mexico State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · New Mexico State
Returning around him
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
New Mexico State · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #130 · 2026 recruiting class #126
RB · NEW MEXICO STATE · CONFERENCE USA
CFB Zeitgeist Score
42
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by long run at the 68th percentile.
Heisman Heat
#657
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterStarter. A locked-in starting role.
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2023–2025Up 29600% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 4-star | 0.8920 | No. 429 recruit | HighSchool | Utah |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Utah -> New Mexico State | 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate |
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Utah
Composite
0.8920
#429 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
To hit 750-yard season (currently 297): needs 226.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 297): needs 351.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 297): needs 601.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 4/game over remaining 2.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 6.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 9/game over remaining 2.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Dijon Stanley's story is about how role and output meet each other. For New Mexico State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
Receiving
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 19-3vs Bryant | 10 | 32 | 3.2 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 2 | W 21-14vs Tulsa | 5 | 8 | 1.6 | 0 | 4 | |
| Wk 3 | L 14-49@ Louisiana Tech | 3 | 7 | 2.3 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 5 | L 20-38@ New Mexico | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 8 | L 27-30@ Liberty | 6 | 19 | 3.2 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 9 | L 17-24vs Missouri State | 6 | 11 | 1.8 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 10 | L 16-35@ Western Kentucky | 5 | 4 | 0.8 | 0 | 3 | |
| Wk 11 | L 21-24vs Kennesaw State | 10 | 61 | 6.1 | 1 | 28 | |
| Wk 12 | L 9-42@ Tennessee | 7 | 19 | 2.7 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 13 | W 34-31@ UTEP | 11 | 106 | 9.6 | 1 | 57 | Season-high 106 yds |
| Wk 14 | L 24-31vs Middle Tennessee | 8 | 15 | 1.9 | 0 | 6 | |
| Total | 73 | 297 | 3.7 | 2 | 57 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | New Mexico State | 73 | 297 | 4.1 | 2 | -- |
| 2024 | Utah | 20 | 66 | 3.3 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Utah | 6 | 1 | 0.2 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 99 | 364 | 3.7 | 2 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | New Mexico State | 24 | 124 | 5.2 | 0 | -- |
| 2024 | Utah | 7 | 166 | 23.7 | 2 | -- |
| 2023 | Utah | 3 | 21 | 7.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 34 | 311 | 9.1 | 2 | -- |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 297 | #262/735 | 64th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 2 | #247/739 | 67th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.1 | #475/735 | 36th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 24 | #55/552 | 90th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 124 | #127/548 | 77th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | -0.01 | #352/362 | 3rd pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 57 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 12.0% | #253/738 | 66th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 73 | #233/739 | 69th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 57 | #118/733 | 84th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 16 | #277/540 | 49th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 5.2 | #395/548 | 28th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 71 | #77/200 | 62nd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 17.8 | #113/199 | 44th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick returns | 4 | #69/206 | 67th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 24.6% | #189/738 | 75th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 14.8% | #223/738 | 70th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 14.2% | #241/738 | 67th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 14.2% | #203/738 | 73rd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 7.6% | #318/738 | 57th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 6.3% | #378/738 | 49th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 4.8% | #172/738 | 77th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/256 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 25.4 | 2.9 | 0.2 |
| Road6g | 28.3 | 4.4 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins3g | 48.7 | 4.8 | 0.3 |
| Losses8g | 18.9 | 3.3 | 0.1 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-74g | 15.5 | 3.6 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+7g | 33.6 | 3.7 | 0.3 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
Elite: fumbles lost (86th). Strength: receptions (83rd). Concern: yards / carry (17th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Deployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Davion Ervin-Poindexter’s 2023 season.
Davion Ervin-Poindexter
Austin Jones
Kevin Riley
Alan Lamar
Charles Kellom
Matches Davion on
Differs from Davion on
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Harry Trotter’s path through Kansas State.
Harry Trotter
Josh Johnson
Bryant Barr
Anthony Williams Jr.
Justin Henderson
Matches Harry on
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Chase Jenkins's junior season at Rice (2025).
Chase Jenkins
Jamal Haynes
Davion Ervin-Poindexter
Charles Kellom
Drake Anderson
Matches Chase on
Differs from Chase on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Tony Sanchez
Pass share
57.4%
472 pass / 350 run
Plays / game
68.5
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
9.7%
359 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Pass-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
2 coachesCoaching transition mid-career: Jerry Kill → Tony Sanchez. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | New Mexico State | Conference USA | RB | 3 | No. 8 | 6-0 | 185 lb | Granada Hills, CA |
| 2024 | Utah | Big 12 | RB | 3 | No. 8 | 6-0 | 185 lb | Granada Hills, CA |
| 2023 | Utah | Pac-12 | RB | 3 | No. 8 | 6-0 | 185 lb | Granada Hills, CA |