The Zeitgeist List · coordinators · never a head coach

Jonathan Patke.

Defensive coordinator · 4 seasons · 2 stints · 2 programs0 seasons ranked in the national top 10%
Own effect on the unit
Defense−0.05#257 of 458 · a typical amount
model fit as of 2026-09-04

The tenure clock

Every stop re-aligned to its own first year, so the stops stack instead of scrolling past each other. The gray dashed line is a reference, not a path: each point is the median of whoever was still in the job that year, across every real OC/DC stint since 2014 at that role, and the pool shrinks year over year because surviving to a later year means not having been fired.

100th — best in the country90th — elite — top 10%75th — top quarter50th — national median25th — bottom quarter0 — worst in the countryHis defense’s national rank, by year of tenureYear 1Year 2Year 3Year of that tenure, not calendar yearn=721n=435n=239median still in the jobnot a pathTexas State, year 1: 66th percentileTexas StateDuke, year 1: 50th percentileDuke, year 2: 11th percentileDuke, year 3: 46th percentileDuke
Texas State 2023–2023
Duke 2024–2026
Median of those still in the job, that year of a tenure. A shrinking pool, not a path.
Duke, 3 years
−4.4
50.4 to 46.0 percentile.
Median defensive coordinator
−1.5
first season to last, across 239 stints of 3+ years. 48.1% improve at all.

Every stop on the calendar

YearsProgramWalked intoYear 1BestVs. talent
2023–2023Texas State63.065.865.8+21.2
2024–2026Duke55.350.450.4−20.3

Duke 2024–2026: ranked 55th the year before he arrived, 50th at its best — went backwards.

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