Now
Career arc
Report card
Offense carries it: 33rd percentile offense, bottom-quarter defense at 9th.
Massachusetts, every completed season graded against the whole field, then averaged.
Offense
Defense
Each season is his team’s percentile among every team with that stat (the share it beat), averaged over his completed seasons here; a mid-season takeover year and the season in progress aren’t graded. Letters: A+ 90th percentile and up, A 80, B+ 70, B 60, B− 50, C+ 45, C 40, C− 30, D 15, F below.
Fans
No fan talk about him on our list yet. His record is on Career.
Stats
Big games
The big-game ledger
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
Winless in 3 tries against Chris Creighton.
ATS is his record against the spread: did his team beat the closing betting line, winning by more than it or losing by less? Lines start in 2013; a dash means fewer than 6 of those games had one. One-score games carry no spread record: a big favorite that wins a close game has almost always failed to cover, so that number would say nothing about the coach.
Signature games
These losses tie at the model's current max -- an editorial pick among a real tie, not a clean ranking.
Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
How he plays
Run/pass mix, by field position
Ran more than the situation called for under Casula and Montgomery.
2,154 run and pass snaps at Massachusetts, 2022–2024, his own games, one row per offensive coordinator. Each cell is how much more often he passed than the rest of FBS did in the same situation (field zone, down, distance, score, quarter, same season), in percentage points.
Pass rate, stint by stint
Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next, against the FBS-wide average of 41% pass. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.
Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 449 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2004–2025.
Building the roster
Four numbers on how he actually stocks a roster, from signing day to draft day.
His recruiting, really
His 3 ranked Massachusetts classes of his own have averaged #122 nationally — best #115, worst #126.
His class — he had the full signing cycle
Rank is each signing class’s national recruiting rank (#1 is best). Only a class he had a full signing cycle to build counts as his.
Roster ownership
Roster ownership
of his 2024 roster arrived on his watch — 104 of 111 players. The other 7 are holdovers from before he was hired.
Of his own players on this roster, 32% came through the transfer portal; the rest are non-portal arrivals (high-school signees, JUCO transfers, walk-ons).
36% of his 154 new players since 2022 came through the portal (FBS programs, same seasons: 18%) — well above the FBS rate. His share was 36% in 2022 and 39% in 2024.
Graded on the players who arrived and the players who left together, his portal seasons came out better than most FBS programs’ in 2 of the 3 seasons graded. our read
Each player counts once, in the season he arrived. 2021, the first season of portal tracking here, is left off because its arrival records look incomplete (about 31 new players per FBS team, against 52 in 2022). Portal grade: the site’s position-value-weighted scoring (the same engine as the Portal Heat feed and the “Who won the portal” grade): the value of the players who came in minus the value of the ones who left, ranked against every FBS program’s grade that same season. A season with fewer than 4 transfers in and out is not graded.
“His own” means the player arrived while he was head coach; “inherited” means a predecessor brought him in.
Size up front
Size up front
Offensive linemen on his Massachusetts rosters have averaged within a few pounds of the FBS average (2022–2024). In the three seasons before he arrived, Massachusetts’s line averaged 5 lb heavier than the FBS average.
Average listed weight of every offensive lineman on each season’s roster, holdovers included, against every FBS roster that season (2010 on; a program needs 3+ seasons under him to appear). Weights are the ones programs publish, and programs list differently. This describes size only — not scheme, and not quality.
Where he recruits
is his biggest recruiting state: 9 of 37 signees (24%) across his 2022–2024 tenure, drawn from 13 states in all. Next: CA (5).
24% of his signees come from FL and its 2 border states.
- median hometown distance
- 386 mi
- within 100 mi
- 29%
- within 500 mi
- 52%
- beyond 1,000 mi
- 36%
The map counts signed recruits across his tenure; the distance figures cover his current roster, transfers and walk-ons included. Two different groups, kept separate on purpose.
News
No outlet on our list has written about him by name yet. His record is on Career.
Career
Coaching career
The arc of his career is on Now.
Steady no large move in either direction on our stature ladder
4th-best Massachusetts tenure of 7 by the numbers.
Followed Walt Bell (2019–2021) · succeeded by Joe Harasymiak (2025–now).
| Season | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | ||||
| Record | 1-11 | 3-9 | 2-8 | |
| Postseason | — | — | — | |
| Coordinators | ||||
| OC | Steve Casula | Steve Casula | Shane Montgomery | |
| DC | Keith Dudzinski | Keith Dudzinski | Keith Dudzinski | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | ||||
| Offense | 3 | 34 | 50 | |
| Defense | 30 | 11 | 8 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | ||||
| 1st-down pass% | 26.7 | 43.6 | 38.8 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 27.0 | 31.0 | 29.1 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 41.5 | 20.0 | 39.5 | |
Underperforms his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.
Brings in smaller-than-position-typical players than most.
Recruits older, more experienced transfers than most.
Was he good?
The data leans negative, where the data can separate from zero: every conclusive reading points the same way.
+0.6 pts at Massachusetts · #647 of 1290 · middle halfModel fit as of 2026-09-04.
Coordinator years
Defensive coordinator across 3 programs, 3 stints, before and after wearing the head-coach hat — every season measured on the same axis, whether he personally ran the unit or someone else did.
How to read this. Coordinator seasons come from our coordinator career records; head-coaching-era seasons are the same unit's FBS-relative percentile for those years, regardless of who coached it, read directly from the staff assignments record. A role change (a “hinge”) is a fact, never a performance verdict — only the season-by-season data itself is colored by outcome.