The Zeitgeist List · coaching

Don Brown

Followed Walt Bell. Don Brown held Massachusetts at Regional Program VI for 3 seasons.

6–28
2022–2024 · 1 stint
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Career arc

His real stature score, season by season, across every program he’s coached — so a stretch that stays in one tier the whole way can still climb or sink on the line, not just flatten out. Node color marks the tier reached. Which program a stretch belongs to is carried by the shaded lane behind it.

Stature score reached, by season of his head-coaching careerMASSACHUSETTSRegional Programthe building-block levelMassachusetts, 2022: 1-11, Regional Program VI2022Massachusetts, 2023: 3-9, Regional Program VI2023Massachusetts, 2024: 2-8, Regional Program VI2024+0.6One point per coached season, in career order; dashed segments are program changes — spacing is not proportional to calendar time

Reached Regional Program in his 1st career season — faster than 20% of the 925 FBS coaches who have ever reached Regional Program (rank #1 of 925 by seasons-to-arrival).

Massachusetts, 3 seasons
+0.6
Regional Program VI → Regional Program VI.

Style position and drift

Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.

40%50%Massachusetts2022–2024▲ 5.6pt
Pass rate — share of offensive plays that were pass attemptsfirst covered seasonmost recent covered seasonfull season-to-season range (3+ covered seasons)
How much that is, against every other stint

Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 258 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2014–2025.

Typical stint7.010.2 median13.9middle half of all stints
Massachusetts12.4pt#85 of 258 · a typical amount

The big-game ledger

How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.

One-score games
1–4
20.0% · margin ≤8
Performance by opponent class
Power Program
0–3 0.0%
National Program
0–3 0.0%
Regional Program
2–13 13.3%

His own effect, isolated

A statistical estimate of this coach’s contribution to team performance, separated from that season’s roster talent, returning production, and his coordinators — pooled across his whole head-coaching career.

Offense marginal impact
-0.26
#254 of 319 · less than most
Defense marginal impact
-0.31
#295 of 325 · less than most

Model fit as of 2026-09-04.

Coaching career

2022–2024
Massachusettscaretaker
Regional Program VI → Regional Program VI
Don Brown held Massachusetts at Regional Program VI for 3 seasons.

4th-best Massachusetts tenure of 7 by the numbers.

Recruiter or developer?

Underperforms his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.

Offense vs. talent
-13.6 pts
#160 of 208 · less than most
Defense vs. talent
-27.3 pts
#193 of 208 · less than most
Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.

Followed Walt Bell (2019–2021) · succeeded by Joe Harasymiak (2025–2026).

Season202220232024Trend
Record & result
Record1–113–90–2
Postseason
Recruiting rank#115#126#126
Style — pass rate
Pass rate34.847.240.4
Coordinators
OCSteve CasulaSteve CasulaShane Montgomery
DCKeith DudzinskiKeith DudzinskiKeith Dudzinski
Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile
Offense33450
Defense30118
Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script (2021+ only)
1st-down pass%26.743.638.8
Red-zone pass%27.031.029.1
4th-down go%opp. territory41.520.039.5
Roster construction · portal era

A portal-built roster.

Portal arrivals
69
2.9★ avg rating
Portal departures
57
left via the portal
Net portal flow
+12
#31 of 187 FBS stints
Who they bring in

Brings in smaller-than-position-typical players than most.

Recruits older, more experienced transfers than most.

Avg. size (raw)
6′2″, 231 lbs
across 54 of 69 arrivals — unadjusted for position mix
Size vs. position-typical
+0.3 lbs
#227 of 255 · less than most
Avg. class year
Sr
#16 of 255 · more than most
Top states: FL (14), MA (5), MD (4), CT (4), MI (3)
Who won the portal our read
Talent added
51.4
position-weighted
Talent lost
52.2
position-weighted
Net
-0.7
arrivals minus departures
Best addition: Ryan Jankowski (QB) from Akron
Biggest loss: Chase Brewster (QB) to Missouri State
Position-value-weighted (QB/CB weighted highest, depth-decayed within each position) — the same scoring engine as the Portal Heat feed, not a separate grade.
Roster size, by position
Skill positions · usage-weighted (real participation)
Quarterback
209 lbs
6′3″ avg · #487 of 767 · a typical amount
Running back
213 lbs
5′11″ avg · #169 of 791 · more than most
Wide receiver
183 lbs
5′11″ avg · #746 of 791 · less than most
Tight end
232 lbs
6′3″ avg · #696 of 731 · less than most
Trench & secondary · recruited roster, not confirmed starters
Interior line
312 lbs
6′4″ avg · #267 of 779 · a typical amount
D-line
263 lbs
6′2″ avg · #727 of 753 · less than most
Linebacker
230 lbs
6′2″ avg · #331 of 772 · a typical amount
Cornerback
190 lbs
6′1″ avg · #376 of 771 · a typical amount
Offensive-line size is one undifferentiated bucket — the source data almost never distinguishes tackle from guard from center, so we can't split them out.
Where the roster comes from, by position
Buys ATH via the portal
75%
#1 of 146 stints
Buys Tight end via the portal
80%
#12 of 188 stints
6–28
How to read this. Bands and archetypes come from the Zeitgeist List’s season-by-season stature model, and only apply once a stint clears 3 coached seasons in our ledger — a newer stint shows its real record with no stature judgment yet.