Jake Spavital
Offensive coordinator across 4 programs, 5 stints, before and after wearing the head-coach hat — every season measured on the same axis, whether he personally ran the unit or someone else did.
Jake Spavital
Followed Everett Withers. Jake Spavital held Texas State at Regional Program V for 4 seasons.
Career arc
His real stature score, season by season, across every program he’s coached — so a stretch that stays in one tier the whole way can still climb or sink on the line, not just flatten out. Node color marks the tier reached. Which program a stretch belongs to is carried by the shaded lane behind it.
Reached Regional Program in his 1st career season — faster than 20% of the 925 FBS coaches who have ever reached Regional Program (rank #1 of 925 by seasons-to-arrival).
Style position and drift
Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.
Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 258 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2014–2025.
The big-game ledger
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
0–1 against his rivals. Winless in 3 tries against Jamey Chadwell.
His own effect, isolated
A statistical estimate of this coach’s contribution to team performance, separated from that season’s roster talent, returning production, and his coordinators — pooled across his whole head-coaching career.
Model fit as of 2026-09-04.
Coaching career
4th-best Texas State tenure of 5 by the numbers.
Underperforms his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.
Followed Everett Withers (2016–2018) · succeeded by G.J. Kinne (2023–2026).
| Season | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | |||||
| Record | 3–9 | 2–10 | 4–8 | 4–8 | |
| Postseason | — | — | — | — | |
| Recruiting rank | #129 | #99 | #135 | #127 | |
| Style — pass rate | |||||
| Pass rate | 57.4 | 52.1 | 46.6 | 53.6 | |
| Coordinators | |||||
| OC | Bob Stitt | Jacob Peeler | Jacob Peeler | — | |
| DC | Zac Spavital | Zac Spavital | Zac Spavital | Zac Spavital | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | |||||
| Offense | 10 | 48 | 25 | 19 | |
| Defense | 30 | 8 | 8 | 63 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script (2021+ only) | |||||
| 1st-down pass% | 59.1 | 55.2 | 46.3 | 51.5 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 50.0 | 46.2 | 34.7 | 52.1 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 32.3 | 41.7 | 40.0 | 40.0 | |
A typical amount of portal roster-building.
Brings in smaller-than-position-typical players than most.
Recruits younger transfers than most — more of a development bet.
1 player-season honored (All-America / national award): Jeremiah Haydel (2020)