Now
Career arc
Bowls and playoffs: 1-3
2011Meineke Car Care Bowl of TexasW 33-22Fresno State
2012Hawaii BowlL 10-43
2013Las Vegas BowlL 20-45
2014Hawaii BowlL 6-30
Coordinator years
Defensive coordinator across 3 programs, 4 stints, before and after wearing the head-coach hat — every season measured on the same axis, whether he personally ran the unit or someone else did.
How to read this. Coordinator seasons come from our coordinator career records; head-coaching-era seasons are the same unit's FBS-relative percentile for those years, regardless of who coached it, read directly from the staff assignments record. A role change (a “hinge”) is a fact, never a performance verdict — only the season-by-season data itself is colored by outcome.
Report card
Below the median on both sides of the ball — 47th percentile offense, 26th percentile defense.
Fresno State, every completed season graded against the whole field, then averaged.
Offense
Defense
Each season is his team’s percentile among every team with that stat (the share it beat), averaged over his completed seasons here; a mid-season takeover year and the season in progress aren’t graded. Letters: A+ 90th percentile and up, A 80, B+ 70, B 60, B− 50, C+ 45, C 40, C− 30, D 15, F below.
Fans
No fan talk about him on our list yet. His record is on Career.
Stats
Big games
The big-game ledger
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
4-5 against his rivals. Just 1-2 against Matt Wells.
ATS is his record against the spread: did his team beat the closing betting line, winning by more than it or losing by less? Lines start in 2013; a dash means fewer than 6 of those games had one. One-score games carry no spread record: a big favorite that wins a close game has almost always failed to cover, so that number would say nothing about the coach.
Signature games
Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
How he plays
Run/pass mix, by field position
Called about what the situation called for under every play-caller.
3,631 run and pass snaps at Fresno State, 2012–2016, his own games, one row per offensive coordinator. Each cell is how much more often he passed than the rest of FBS did in the same situation (field zone, down, distance, score, quarter, same season), in percentage points.
Pass rate, stint by stint
Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next, against the FBS-wide average of 41% pass. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.
Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 449 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2004–2025.
Building the roster
Four numbers on how he actually stocks a roster, from signing day to draft day.
Roster ownership
Roster ownership
of his 2016 roster arrived on his watch — 121 of 121 players. Nobody is left from before he was hired.
This coach's entire tenure (2012-2016) predates 2021, when transfer-portal tracking begins in this database. Portal usage cannot be measured for this tenure at all -- this is not the same as '0% portal'.
“His own” means the player arrived while he was head coach; “inherited” means a predecessor brought him in.
Size up front
Size up front
Offensive linemen on his Fresno State rosters have averaged 3 lb lighter than the FBS average (2012–2016) — lighter than 78% of FBS coaching runs since 2010. In the two seasons before he arrived, Fresno State’s line averaged within a few pounds of the FBS average.
Average listed weight of every offensive lineman on each season’s roster, holdovers included, against every FBS roster that season (2010 on; a program needs 3+ seasons under him to appear). Weights are the ones programs publish, and programs list differently. This describes size only — not scheme, and not quality.
Where he recruits
is his biggest recruiting state: 72 of 105 signees (69%) across his 2012–2016 tenure, drawn from 11 states in all. Next: TX (17).
74% of his signees come from CA and its 3 border states (AZ 3, NV 3).
Off this map: 4 signees to the east (GA 2, FL, others).
- median hometown distance
- 219 mi
- within 100 mi
- 17%
- within 500 mi
- 80%
- beyond 1,000 mi
- 17%
The map counts signed recruits across his tenure; the distance figures cover his current roster, transfers and walk-ons included. Two different groups, kept separate on purpose.
The NFL pipeline
The NFL pipeline
players drafted into the NFL off his teams here. None were his own recruits yet: all 5 roster-verified picks arrived under Pat Hill. 1 more can’t be traced to who brought them in (no roster record).
| Year | Pick | Player | Pos | NFL team | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | R5.18 | Tyeler Davison | Defensive Tackle |  New Orleans Saints | recruited under Pat Hill |
| 2015 | R6.21 | Derron Smith | Safety |  Cincinnati Bengals | recruited under Pat Hill |
| 2015 | R6.39 | Cody Wichmann | Offensive Guard |  St. Louis Rams | recruited under Pat Hill |
| 2014 | R2.04 | Derek Carr | Quarterback |  Oakland Raiders | recruited under Pat Hill |
| 2014 | R2.21 | Davante Adams | Wide Receiver |  Green Bay Packers | recruited under Pat Hill |
| 2013 | R4.22 | Phillip Thomas | Safety |  Washington Redskins | Estimated |
A pick counts toward his tenure when the player’s final college season was one he coached, a checkable rule rather than a claim about who developed the player. A blank note means the player is on a verified roster and arrived on his watch. “Estimated” means no roster record, so the final season is assumed to be the year before the draft.
News
No outlet on our list has written about him by name yet. His record is on Career.
Career
Coaching career
The arc of his career is on Now.
Steady no large move in either direction on our stature ladder
4th-best Fresno State tenure of 12 by the numbers.
Followed Pat Hill (1997–2011) · succeeded by Eric Kiesau (2016).
| Season | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | ||||||
| Record | 9-4 | 11-2 | 6-8 | 3-9 | 1-7 | |
| Postseason | L bowl | L bowl | L bowl | — | — | |
| Coordinators | ||||||
| OC | — | — | Dave Schramm | Dave Schramm | Eric Kiesau | |
| DC | — | — | Nick Toth | Nick Toth | Lorenzo Ward | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | ||||||
| Offense | 38 | 81 | 21 | 7 | 6 | |
| Defense | 83 | 43 | 16 | 16 | 43 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | ||||||
| 1st-down pass% | 52.9 | 62.3 | 42.0 | 43.3 | 39.5 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 48.3 | 59.2 | 38.3 | 44.0 | 40.2 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 56.1 | 39.4 | 46.9 | 48.6 | 35.0 | |
Underperforms his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.
Followed Mike Sherman (2008–2011) · succeeded by Kevin Sumlin (2012–2017).
4 NFL Draft picks: Ryan Tannehill (2012), Randy Bullock (2012), Cyrus Gray (2012), Terrence Frederick (2012)
Was he good?
The data leans negative, where the data can separate from zero: every conclusive reading points the same way.
-2.7 pts at Fresno State · #862 of 1290 · middle halfModel fit as of 2026-09-04.