The Zeitgeist List · coaching

Will Healy

Followed Brad Lambert. Will Healy moved Charlotte from Regional Program V to Regional Program IV in 4 seasons.

15–24

2019–2022 · 1 stint

Career arc

His real stature score, season by season, across every program he’s coached — so a stretch that stays in one tier the whole way can still climb or sink on the line, not just flatten out. Node color marks the tier reached. Which program a stretch belongs to is carried by the shaded lane behind it.

Reached Regional Program in his 1st career season — faster than 20% of the 925 FBS coaches who have ever reached Regional Program (rank #1 of 925 by seasons-to-arrival).

Charlotte, 4 seasons

+0.9

Regional Program V → Regional Program V.

Style position and drift

Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.

Pass rate — share of offensive plays that were pass attemptsfirst covered seasonmost recent covered seasonfull season-to-season range (3+ covered seasons)

The big-game ledger

How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.

0–1 against his rivals. Winless in 3 tries against Tyson Helton.

Rivalry record

0–1

0.0% · 1 rival

One-score games

5–1

83.3% · margin ≤8

vs. Blue Blood or better

0–1

0.0%

Rivalry ledger

App State0–10%

The toughest matchup

vs. Tyson Helton0–3

3 meetings, 2019–2021

’19 L · blew a 7-pt lead’20 L’21 L

0% win rate across a real, 3-meeting series — short of the bar this site uses before badging a series “Nemesis.” Shown here as the toughest matchup on record, not an algorithmic crown.

Performance by opponent class

Blue Blood

0–1 0.0%

National Program

1–1 50.0%

Regional Program

11–14 44.0%

His own effect, isolated

A statistical estimate of this coach’s contribution to team performance, separated from that season’s roster talent, returning production, and his coordinators — pooled across his whole head-coaching career.

Offense marginal impact

+0.08

#117 of 319 · a typical amount

Defense marginal impact

-0.36

#305 of 325 · less than most

Model fit as of 2026-09-04.

Coaching career

2019–2022

Charlottecaretaker

Regional Program V → Regional Program IV

Will Healy moved Charlotte from Regional Program V to Regional Program IV in 4 seasons.

2nd-best Charlotte tenure of 6 by the numbers.

Recruiter or developer?

Performs about as expected for his recruiting talent on offense and underperforms his recruiting talent on defense.

Offense vs. talent

+0.7 pts

#109 of 208 · a typical amount

Defense vs. talent

-26.8 pts

#192 of 208 · less than most

Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.

Followed Brad Lambert (2015–2018) · succeeded by Biff Poggi (2023–2024).

Season	2019	2020	2021	2022
Record & result
Record	7–6	2–4	5–7	2–2
Postseason	L bowl	—	—	—
Recruiting rank	#128	#88	#100	#105
Style — pass rate
Pass rate	—	—	—	53.6
Coordinators
OC	Alex Atkins	Mark Carney	Mark Carney	Mark Carney
DC	Brandon Cooper / Marcus West	Brandon Cooper / Marcus West	Brandon Cooper / Marcus West	Greg Brown
Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile
Offense	72	25	52	31
Defense	23	39	3	7
Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script (2021+ only)
1st-down pass%	—	—	—	—
Red-zone pass%	—	—	—	—
4th-down go%opp. territory	—	—	—	—

Roster construction · portal era

Barely touches the portal — recruits and develops his own.

Portal arrivals

3.0★ avg rating

Portal departures

left via the portal

Net portal flow

-7

#150 of 187 FBS stints

Who they bring in

Brings in smaller-than-position-typical players than most.

Recruits older, more experienced transfers than most.

Avg. size (raw)

6′1″, 232 lbs

across 11 of 14 arrivals — unadjusted for position mix

Size vs. position-typical

-4.5 lbs

#254 of 255 · less than most

Avg. class year

#12 of 255 · more than most

Top states: AL (2), GA (1), TX (1), FL (1), DC (1)

Who won the portal our read

Talent added

36.0

position-weighted

Talent lost

41.1

position-weighted

Net

-5.1

arrivals minus departures

Best addition: Geo Howard (CB) from Purdue

Biggest loss: Dominique Shoffner (QB) to the portal

Position-value-weighted (QB/CB weighted highest, depth-decayed within each position) — the same scoring engine as the Portal Heat feed, not a separate grade.

Does the system survive a coordinator change?

OC: Alex Atkins → Mark Carney · 2020

1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.

Confound, shown not hidden: only 84% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.

Roster size, by position

Skill positions · usage-weighted (real participation)

Quarterback

205 lbs

6′0″ avg · #604 of 767 · less than most

Running back

202 lbs

5′10″ avg · #576 of 791 · a typical amount

Wide receiver

190 lbs

6′1″ avg · #513 of 791 · a typical amount

Tight end

238 lbs

6′4″ avg · #595 of 731 · less than most

Trench & secondary · recruited roster, not confirmed starters

Interior line

303 lbs

6′3″ avg · #611 of 779 · less than most

D-line

284 lbs

6′2″ avg · #376 of 753 · a typical amount

Linebacker

221 lbs

6′1″ avg · #679 of 772 · less than most

Cornerback

188 lbs

6′0″ avg · #488 of 771 · a typical amount

Offensive-line size is one undifferentiated bucket — the source data almost never distinguishes tackle from guard from center, so we can't split them out.

Where the roster comes from, by position

Buys ATH via the portal

29%

#17 of 146 stints

Grows Tight end from high school

100%

#164 of 188 stints

Grows Edge from high school

75%

#165 of 208 stints

Postseason detail2019: Lost to Buffalo 9–31 Makers Wanted Bahamas Bowl

4 NFL Draft picks: Nate Davis (2019), Alex Highsmith (2020), Cameron Clark (2020), Grant DuBose (2023)

15–24