The Zeitgeist List · Coordinators · Never a head coach

Keith Patterson.

Defensive coordinator · 7 seasons · 5 stints · 3 programs1 season ranked in the national top 10%
Own effect on the unit
Defense−0.61#458 of 458 · less than most
model fit as of 2026-09-04

The tenure clock

Every stop re-aligned to its own first year, so the stops stack instead of scrolling past each other. The gray dashed line is a reference, not a path: each point is the median of whoever was still in the job that year, across every real OC/DC stint since 2014 at that role, and the pool shrinks year over year because surviving to a later year means not having been fired.

100th — best in the country90th — elite — top 10%75th — top quarter50th — national median25th — bottom quarter0 — worst in the countryHis defense’s national rank, by year of tenureYear 1Year 2Year 3Year of that tenure, not calendar yearn=730n=430n=235Arizona State, year 1: 79th percentileArizona State, year 2: 13th percentileArizona State, year 3: 7th percentileArizona StUtah State, year 1: 93rd percentileUtah StateTexas Tech, year 1: 17th percentileTexas Tech, year 2: 48th percentileTexas Tech, year 3: 24th percentileTexas Techmedian still in the job
Arizona State 2014–2016
Utah State 2018–2018
Texas Tech 2019–2021
Median of those still in the job, that year of a tenure. A shrinking pool, not a path.
Arizona State, 3 years
▼ 71.9
79.3 to 7.4 percentile.
Texas Tech, 3 years
▲ 7.7
16.5 to 24.2 percentile.
Median defensive coordinator
+0.5
first season to last, across 235 stints of 3+ years. 50.6% improve at all.

Every stop on the calendar

YearsProgramWalked intoYear 1BestVs. talent
2014–2015Arizona State22.079.379.3▼ 45.4
2016–2016Arizona State12.97.47.4▼ 51.4
2018–2018Utah State86.592.792.7▲ 50.4
2019–2019Texas Tech42.716.516.5▼ 34.7
2020–2021Texas Tech16.547.647.6▼ 16.4

Arizona State 2016–2016: ranked 13th the year before he arrived, 7th at its best — went backwards.

Texas Tech 2019–2019: ranked 43rd the year before he arrived, 17th at its best — went backwards.

← Back to the Coordinators’ Climb