Regular season ·

Alabama beat Missouri

No. 8 Alabama5-127
No. 14 Missouri5-124Final
Sat, Oct 11 · Memorial Stadium, Columbia, Mo. · Crowd 57,321 · 70°, cloudyABC

Records are after this game. Rankings are the AP poll before it.

No. 8 Alabama beat No. 14 Missouri by 3 points.

How the game turned

Alabama aheadMissouri aheadBiggest swingLow: 31%

Q4 13:19 Alabama 20, Missouri 17

Alabama 76% to win

Pribula intercepted by Hubbard

Big moments

  1. 1Q1 12:10 · Alabama 0, Missouri 7Alabama's win chance fell from 44% to 32%.Pribula 26-yd TD pass to Norfleet, Missouri goes ahead 7-0
  2. 2Q2 14:51 · Alabama 14, Missouri 7Alabama's win chance rose from 63% to 74%.Simpson 16-yd TD pass to Horton, Alabama goes ahead 14-7
  3. 3Q3 0:09 · Alabama 20, Missouri 17Talty 22-yd field goal, Alabama goes ahead 20-17
  4. 4Q4 13:19 · Alabama 20, Missouri 17Alabama's win chance rose from 55% to 76%.Pribula intercepted by Hubbard
  5. 5Q4 7:02 · Alabama 20, Missouri 17Alabama's win chance rose from 66% to 83%.Roberts 3-yd run, turnover on downs

Alabama's lowest chance to win was 31 percent. Win chance is our own calculation from the play-by-play, with each game's start set from the pregame expectation.

The biggest swing

With 13:19 left in the 4th quarter, Alabama's chance to win went from 55 percent to 76 percent on an interception.

The score stayed Alabama 20, Missouri 17.

The play: Pribula intercepted by Hubbard.

What happened next

  1. Alabama's next game: W 37-20 vs Tennessee, Oct 18

    7 days later
  2. Missouri's next game: W 23-17 at Auburn, Oct 18

    7 days later

Related pages

Scores, dates and the stage: ESPN. Win chance: our curve from play-by-play; the turn is its largest one-play change that moved with the score.

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