cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Tyler Davis /Northwestern

Tyler Davis

DB · Northwestern · Sr · #2

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

22 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

NOW IN NFLLos Angeles — drafted 2024, Rd 6, Pick 20, #196 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Los AngelesEntering 3rd NFL season

#196Rd 6 · Pick 20
Los AngelesEntering 3rd NFL season

DB · NORTHWESTERN · BIG TEN

Tyler Davis

  • 4
  • #2
  • 6-1 | 200 lb
  • Jacksonville, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

42

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 94th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#12759

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#137 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R6 &middot; #196
Los Angeles &middot; 2024

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDB
Class4
Jersey2
Measurements6-1 | 200 lb
HometownJacksonville, FL
Primary teamNorthwestern

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 137 recruit
Composite rating 0.9401 HighSchool
Signed with Clemson 2019
Origin Wekiva Apopka, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2019 4-star | 0.9401 No. 137 recruit | HighSchool | Clemson

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#12759Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#12787Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Clemson

Composite

0.9401

#137 national

NFL Draft

2024 · Rd 6, Pick 20

#196 overall · Los Angeles

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Tyler Davis

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Tyler Davis

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 9g
22Tackles
1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
32Tackles
1.4Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 22): needs 14.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 22): needs 19.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 1.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 2.5/game over remaining 4.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Tyler Davis is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Northwestern's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 1.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #12759 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 137 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 22 16 solo | #1869/4942 (62nd pct)
TFL 1.0 Backfield disruption | #2051/4972 (59th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash against FBS defenders.

Coverage splash

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
22 62nd
SOLO
16 71st
TFL
1.0 59th
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
6 93rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 2W 42-7vs Western Illinois220.00.03
Wk 3L 14-34vs Oregon420.00.00Season-high 4 tackles
Wk 5W 17-14vs UCLA430.00.00
Wk 6W 42-7vs UL Monroe210.00.02
Wk 7W 22-21@ Penn State210.00.00
Wk 8W 19-0vs Purdue000.00.01
Wk 9L 21-28@ Nebraska441.00.00
Wk 12L 22-24vs Michigan320.00.00
BowlW 34-7vs Central Michigan110.00.00
Total22161.00.06
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Clemson9-3HC: Dabo Swinney · Pass-leaning, fast tempo
2022Clemson11-3HC: Dabo Swinney · Run-leaning
2025Northwestern7-6HC: David Braun · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Northwestern22161.00.06----
2022Clemson15101.00.02----
2021Clemson620.50.0------
Career3 loaded seasons43282.50.08----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 6 Coverage disruption | #144/2184 (93rd pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 22 #1869/4942 62nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 1.0 #2051/4972 59th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 6 #144/2184 93rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 16 #1348/4584 71st pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g2.30.00.00.9
Road2g3.00.50.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins6g1.80.00.01.0
Losses3g3.70.30.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g2.50.00.00.8
Weeks 8+3g2.30.30.00.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DB cohort

42Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: passes defended (93rd). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Passes defended#144 / 2975 · 94th pct
6defe
Solo tackles#1348 / 2975 · 53rd pct
16defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Tackles#1869 / 2975 · 36th pct
22defe
Tackles for loss#1936 / 2975 · 28th pct
1.0defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Tyler DavisNorthwesternTyler MartinMassachusetts· 69% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 69% simDalton JohnsonArizona· 67% sim
Passes defended
94
Davis
67
Martin
91
Ra-El
96
Johnson
Solo tackles
53
Davis
87
Martin
100
Ra-El
97
Johnson
Forced fumbles
47
Davis
47
Martin
47
Ra-El
47
Johnson
Tackles
36
Davis
98
Martin
99
Ra-El
98
Johnson
Tackles for loss
28
Davis
63
Martin
56
Ra-El
47
Johnson
Sacks
24
Davis
24
Martin
24
Ra-El
63
Johnson
QB hurries
22
Davis
22
Martin
22
Ra-El
22
Johnson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Centerfielder

Single-high range who erases the deep middle of the field.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Kani Walker’s 2024 season.

Kani Walker

81%match

Oklahoma · 2024

#2

Ahmari Harvey

Georgia Tech · 2025

80%
#3

Corey Thornton

UCF · 2023

80%
#4

Trey Creamer

Charlotte · 2021

76%
#5

Omarion Cooper

Florida State · 2021

75%

Matches Kani on

Tackle volume
Weight
PD rate

Differs from Kani on

Height (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Omari Porter's graduate season at Rice (2025).

Omari Porter

79%match

Rice · 2025

#2

Quincy Riley

Louisville · 2024

All-Conference USANFL Rd 4
79%
#3

Ivan Yates

Colorado · 2025

66%
#4

Aaron Wofford

Western Michigan · 2025

62%
#5

Tamarion Crumpley

UAB · 2025

60%

Matches Omari on

Class year
Weight
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

David Braun

Pass share

46.0%

378 pass / 444 run

Plays / game

63.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.1%

255 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Pat Fitzgerald
Northwestern
2022
Pat Fitzgerald
Northwestern
2025
David Braun
Northwestern
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Pat Fitzgerald → David Braun. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownJacksonville, FL
Height6'1"
Weight200 lb
Class4
PositionDB
Jersey2

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2023)

All-ACC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2023 All-ACC all_conference Clemson | ACC DT

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Jacksonville State DB4 #12759 #12787 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA
2023 UCF DB4 #11996 #11808 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 Clemson DB4 #4474 #4236 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC
2021 Clemson DB4 #7583 #7398 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Northwestern Big Ten DB 4 No. 2 | 6-1 | 200 lb | Jacksonville, FL
2024 Jacksonville State Conference USA DB 4 No. 2 | 6-1 | 200 lb | Jacksonville, FL
2023 UCF Big 12 DB 4 No. 2 | 6-1 | 200 lb | Jacksonville, FL
2022 Clemson ACC DB 4 No. 2 | 6-1 | 200 lb | Jacksonville, FL
2021 Clemson ACC DB 4 No. 2 | 6-1 | 200 lb | Jacksonville, FL