The Zeitgeist List · coaching

Bill Clark

Followed Garrick McGee. Bill Clark moved UAB from Regional Program V to Regional Program II in 6 seasons.

49–26
2014–2021 · 1 stint
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Career arc

His real stature score, season by season, across every program he’s coached — so a stretch that stays in one tier the whole way can still climb or sink on the line, not just flatten out. Node color marks the tier reached. Which program a stretch belongs to is carried by the shaded lane behind it.

Stature score reached, by season of his head-coaching careerUABRegional Programthe building-block levelUAB, 2014: 6-6, Regional Program V2014UAB, 2017: 8-5, Regional Program V2017UAB, 2018: 11-3, Regional Program IV2018UAB, 2019: 9-5, Regional Program IV2019UAB, 2020: 6-3, Regional Program III2020UAB, 2021: 9-4, Regional Program II2021+9.5One point per coached season, in career order; dashed segments are program changes — spacing is not proportional to calendar time

Reached Regional Program in his 1st career season — faster than 20% of the 925 FBS coaches who have ever reached Regional Program (rank #1 of 925 by seasons-to-arrival).

UAB, 6 seasons
+9.5
Regional Program V → Regional Program II.

Style position and drift

Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.

40%UAB2014–2021▲ 0.9pt
Pass rate — share of offensive plays that were pass attemptsfirst covered seasonmost recent covered seasonfull season-to-season range (3+ covered seasons)
How much that is, against every other stint

Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 258 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2014–2025.

Typical stint7.010.2 median13.9middle half of all stints
UAB5.1pt#226 of 258 · less than most

The big-game ledger

How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.

One-score games
17–8
68.0% · margin ≤8
vs. Blue Blood or better
0–1
0.0%
Performance by opponent class
Blue Blood
0–1 0.0%
Power Program
1–4 20.0%
National Program
3–2 60.0%
Regional Program
38–17 69.1%

His own effect, isolated

A statistical estimate of this coach’s contribution to team performance, separated from that season’s roster talent, returning production, and his coordinators — pooled across his whole head-coaching career.

Offense marginal impact
+0.20
#83 of 319 · a typical amount
Defense marginal impact
+0.49
#16 of 325 · more than most

Model fit as of 2026-09-04.

Coaching career

2014–2021
UABcaretaker
Regional Program V → Regional Program II
Bill Clark moved UAB from Regional Program V to Regional Program II in 6 seasons.

3rd-best UAB tenure of 7 by the numbers.

Recruiter or developer?

Outperforms his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.

Offense vs. talent
+17.4 pts
#45 of 208 · more than most
Defense vs. talent
+38.7 pts
#2 of 208 · more than most
Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.

Followed Garrick McGee (2012–2013) · succeeded by Bryant Vincent (2022–2022).

Season20142015201620172018201920202021Trend
Record & result
Record6–68–511–39–56–39–4
PostseasonL bowlW bowlL bowlW bowl
Recruiting rank#113#138#71#108#103#74#103#115
Style — pass rate
Pass rate34.939.235.337.740.035.8
Coordinators
OCBryant VincentLes KoenningBryant VincentBryant VincentBryant VincentBryant Vincent
DCDuwan WalkerDavid ReevesDavid ReevesDavid ReevesDavid ReevesDavid Reeves
Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile
Offense354675175990
Defense614793938679
Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script (2021+ only)
1st-down pass%29.837.728.431.529.534.4
Red-zone pass%26.130.422.127.436.230.3
4th-down go%opp. territory52.829.025.035.934.632.1
Roster construction · portal era

Barely touches the portal — recruits and develops his own.

Portal arrivals
6
3.0★ avg rating
Portal departures
8
left via the portal
Net portal flow
-2
#160 of 187 FBS stints
Who they bring in

Brings in bigger-than-position-typical players than most.

Recruits older, more experienced transfers than most.

Avg. size (raw)
6′2″, 234 lbs
across 3 of 6 arrivals — unadjusted for position mix
Size vs. position-typical
+6.3 lbs
#55 of 255 · more than most
Avg. class year
Sr
#12 of 255 · more than most
Top states: AL (2), GA (1)
Who won the portal our read
Talent added
20.8
position-weighted
Talent lost
22.7
position-weighted
Net
-1.8
arrivals minus departures
Best addition: Myron Mitchell (WR) from UAB
Biggest loss: Kevin Davis (WR) to the portal
Position-value-weighted (QB/CB weighted highest, depth-decayed within each position) — the same scoring engine as the Portal Heat feed, not a separate grade.
Does the system survive a coordinator change?
OC: Les Koenning → Bryant Vincent · 2018
46th pct75th pct0th100th
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
1st-down pass rate: 37.7% → 28.4% (-9.3 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 95% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
Roster size, by position
Skill positions · usage-weighted (real participation)
Quarterback
214 lbs
6′2″ avg · #351 of 767 · a typical amount
Running back
209 lbs
5′11″ avg · #333 of 791 · a typical amount
Wide receiver
193 lbs
6′1″ avg · #395 of 791 · a typical amount
Tight end
235 lbs
6′4″ avg · #654 of 731 · less than most
Trench & secondary · recruited roster, not confirmed starters
Interior line
311 lbs
6′4″ avg · #285 of 779 · a typical amount
Linebacker
236 lbs
6′3″ avg · #82 of 772 · more than most
Cornerback
191 lbs
6′0″ avg · #335 of 771 · a typical amount
Safety
204 lbs
6′0″ avg · #28 of 346 · more than most
Offensive-line size is one undifferentiated bucket — the source data almost never distinguishes tackle from guard from center, so we can't split them out.
Where the roster comes from, by position
Grows Edge from high school
83%
#179 of 208 stints
Grows Linebacker from high school
83%
#183 of 225 stints
Postseason detail2017: Lost to Ohio 6–41 Bahamas Bowl2018: Beat Northern Illinois 37–13 Cheribundi Boca Raton Bowl2019: Lost to App State 17–31 R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl2021: Beat BYU 31–28 Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl

4 NFL Draft picks: J.J. Nelson (2015), Kennard Backman (2015), Jordan Smith (2021), Alex Wright (2022)

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