Now
Career arc
Bowls and playoffs: 2-1
2014Camellia BowlW 33-28
2018Camping World BowlW 34-18
2022Pinstripe BowlL 20-28Report card
Below the median on both sides of the ball — 46th percentile offense, 48th percentile defense.
Syracuse, every completed season graded against the whole field, then averaged.
Offense
Defense
Each season is his team’s percentile among every team with that stat (the share it beat), averaged over his completed seasons here; a mid-season takeover year and the season in progress aren’t graded. Letters: A+ 90th percentile and up, A 80, B+ 70, B 60, B− 50, C+ 45, C 40, C− 30, D 15, F below.
Fans
No fan talk about him on our list yet. His record is on Career.
Stats
Big games
Pick a job to see its years on their own.
The big-game ledger
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
0-2 against his rivals at Bowling Green.
Signature games






Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
The big-game ledger
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
Winless in 3 tries against Brian Kelly.
Signature games






Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
The big-game ledger
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
0-2 against his rivals. Winless in 3 tries against Brian Kelly.
Signature games






Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
ATS is his record against the spread: did his team beat the closing betting line, winning by more than it or losing by less? Lines start in 2013; a dash means fewer than 6 of those games had one. One-score games carry no spread record: a big favorite that wins a close game has almost always failed to cover, so that number would say nothing about the coach.
How he plays
Run/pass mix, by field position
Ran more than the situation called for under Gilbert; passed more under Lewis/Lynch.
6,805 run and pass snaps at Syracuse, 2016–2023, his own games, one row per offensive coordinator. Each cell is how much more often he passed than the rest of FBS did in the same situation (field zone, down, distance, score, quarter, same season), in percentage points.
Pass rate, stint by stint
Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next, against the FBS-wide average of 41% pass. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.
Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 449 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2004–2025.
Building the roster
Six numbers on how he actually stocks a roster, from signing day to draft day.
His recruiting, really
His 6 ranked Syracuse classes of his own have averaged #63 nationally — best #51, worst #88.
His class — he had the full signing cycle
Rank is each signing class’s national recruiting rank (#1 is best). Only a class he had a full signing cycle to build counts as his.
Followed him here
Bowling Green→
Syracuse2016Players who transferred from his old program to his new one through the portal in the same year he made the move. Name-matching across data sources misses some, so every count is a floor, not an exact number.
Roster ownership
Roster ownership
of his 2023 roster arrived on his watch — 110 of 111 players. The other 1 is a holdover from before he was hired.
Of his own players on this roster, 15% came through the transfer portal; the rest are non-portal arrivals (high-school signees, JUCO transfers, walk-ons).
Everyone he has brought in, 2016–2023Counting players who have since left: 14% of the 104 arrivals we can classify came through the portal.
This tenure spans the 2021 transfer-portal tracking floor: seasons before 2021 structurally cannot be classified portal-vs-not (they land in 'unknown' below), so the portal-share figure understates how many pre-2021 arrivals might have been transfers under the pre-portal-tracking transfer rules.
“His own” means the player arrived while he was head coach; “inherited” means a predecessor brought him in.
Size up front
Size up front
Offensive linemen on his Syracuse rosters have averaged within a few pounds of the FBS average (2016–2023). In the three seasons before he arrived, Syracuse’s line averaged within a few pounds of the FBS average.
Average listed weight of every offensive lineman on each season’s roster, holdovers included, against every FBS roster that season (2010 on; a program needs 3+ seasons under him to appear). Weights are the ones programs publish, and programs list differently. This describes size only — not scheme, and not quality.
Where he recruits
is his biggest recruiting state: 28 of 155 signees (18%) across his 2016–2023 tenure, drawn from 31 states in all. Next: NY (14).
22% of his signees come from FL and its 2 border states (GA 6).
Off this map: 11 signees to the west (CA 6, HI 2, others).
- median hometown distance
- 326 mi
- within 100 mi
- 7%
- within 500 mi
- 54%
- beyond 1,000 mi
- 27%
The map counts signed recruits across his tenure; the distance figures cover his current roster, transfers and walk-ons included. Two different groups, kept separate on purpose.
The NFL pipeline
The NFL pipeline
players drafted into the NFL off his teams here. He brought in 6 of them himself; 2 arrived under Scott Shafer.
| Year | Pick | Player | Pos | NFL team | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | R2.07 | Matthew Bergeron | Offensive Guard | Atlanta Falcons | |
| 2023 | R3.09 | Garrett Williams | Cornerback | Arizona Cardinals | |
| 2021 | R3.01 | Andre Cisco | Safety | Jacksonville Jaguars | |
| 2021 | R3.38 | Ifeatu Melifonwu | Cornerback | Detroit Lions | |
| 2020 | R5.02 | Alton Robinson | Defensive End | Seattle Seahawks | |
| 2020 | R7.14 | Sterling Hofrichter | Punter | Atlanta Falcons | |
| 2019 | R7.31 | Chris Slayton | Defensive Tackle | New York Giants | recruited under Scott Shafer |
| 2018 | R7.17 | Zaire Franklin | Inside Linebacker | Indianapolis Colts | recruited under Scott Shafer |
A pick counts toward his tenure when the player’s final college season was one he coached, a checkable rule rather than a claim about who developed the player. A blank note means the player is on a verified roster and arrived on his watch. “Estimated” means no roster record, so the final season is assumed to be the year before the draft.
News
No outlet on our list has written about him by name yet. His record is on Career.
Career
Coaching career
The arc of his career is on Now.
Steady no large move in either direction on our stature ladder
9th-best Syracuse tenure of 14 by the numbers.
Followed Scott Shafer (2013–2015) · succeeded by Fran Brown (2024–now).
| Season | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | |||||||||
| Record | 4-8 | 4-8 | 10-3 | 5-7 | 1-10 | 5-7 | 7-6 | 5-6 | |
| Postseason | — | — | W bowl | — | — | — | L bowl | — | |
| Coordinators | |||||||||
| OC | Sean Lewis / Mike Lynch | Sean Lewis / Mike Lynch | Mike Lynch | Mike Lynch | Sterlin Gilbert | Sterlin Gilbert | Robert Anae | Jason Beck | |
| DC | Brian Ward | Brian Ward | Brian Ward | Brian Ward | Tony White | Tony White | Tony White | Rocky Long | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | |||||||||
| Offense | 18 | 27 | 55 | 32 | 2 | 33 | 46 | 11 | |
| Defense | 10 | 17 | 60 | 27 | 44 | 53 | 77 | 50 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | |||||||||
| 1st-down pass% | 53.8 | 53.2 | 43.7 | 45.0 | 45.2 | 26.3 | 45.8 | 35.0 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 43.3 | 41.3 | 33.8 | 54.1 | 51.0 | 25.9 | 46.1 | 35.4 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 43.2 | 46.6 | 20.8 | 31.7 | 34.4 | 34.5 | 25.0 | 38.5 | |
Underperforms his recruiting talent on offense and performs about as expected for his recruiting talent on defense.
Typical size for position, once adjusted for position mix.
Recruits older, more experienced transfers than most.
1 player-season honored (All-America / national award): Sean Tucker (2021)
Followed Dave Clawson (2009–2013) · succeeded by Mike Jinks (2016–2018).
| Season | 2014 | 2015 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | |||
| Record | 8-6 | 10-3 | |
| Postseason | W bowl | — | |
| Coordinators | |||
| OC | Sterlin Gilbert | Sean Lewis / Mike Lynch | |
| DC | Kim McCloud | Brian Ward | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | |||
| Offense | 32 | 97 | |
| Defense | 32 | 67 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | |||
| 1st-down pass% | 43.5 | 55.4 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 31.5 | 38.5 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 33.3 | 66.7 | |
Outperforms his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.
Was he good?
The data leans negative, where the data can separate from zero: every conclusive reading points the same way.
+0.8 pts at Syracuse · #631 of 1290 · middle halfModel fit as of 2026-09-04.

Atlanta Falcons
Arizona Cardinals
Jacksonville Jaguars
Detroit Lions
Seattle Seahawks
New York Giants
Indianapolis Colts