Herm Edwards
Now
Career arc
Bowls and playoffs: 1-2
2018Las Vegas BowlL 20-31
2019Sun BowlW 20-14
2021Las Vegas BowlL 13-20
Report card
Offense carries it: 76th percentile offense, above the median defense at 58th.
Arizona State, every completed season graded against the whole field, then averaged.
Offense
Defense
Each season is his team’s percentile among every team with that stat (the share it beat), averaged over his completed seasons here; a mid-season takeover year and the season in progress aren’t graded. Letters: A+ 90th percentile and up, A 80, B+ 70, B 60, B− 50, C+ 45, C 40, C− 30, D 15, F below.
Fans
No fan talk about him on our list yet. His record is on Career.
Stats
Big games
The big-game ledger
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
4-0 against his rivals. Just 1-2 against Clay Helton.
ATS is his record against the spread: did his team beat the closing betting line, winning by more than it or losing by less? Lines start in 2013; a dash means fewer than 6 of those games had one. One-score games carry no spread record: a big favorite that wins a close game has almost always failed to cover, so that number would say nothing about the coach.
Signature games
Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
How he plays
Run/pass mix, by field position
Ran more than the situation called for under Hill.
2,763 run and pass snaps at Arizona State, 2018–2021, his own games, one row per offensive coordinator. Each cell is how much more often he passed than the rest of FBS did in the same situation (field zone, down, distance, score, quarter, same season), in percentage points.
Pass rate, stint by stint
Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next, against the FBS-wide average of 41% pass. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.
Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 449 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2004–2025.
Building the roster
Five numbers on how he actually stocks a roster, from signing day to draft day.
His recruiting, really
His 4 ranked Arizona State classes of his own have averaged #34 nationally — best #24, worst #48.
His class — he had the full signing cycle
Rank is each signing class’s national recruiting rank (#1 is best). Only a class he had a full signing cycle to build counts as his.
Roster ownership
Roster ownership
of his 2022 roster arrived on his watch — 55 of 112 players. The other 57 are holdovers from before he was hired.
Of his own players on this roster, 20% came through the transfer portal; the rest are non-portal arrivals (high-school signees, JUCO transfers, walk-ons).
Everyone he has brought in, 2018–2022Counting players who have since left: 14% of the 28 arrivals we can classify came through the portal.
This tenure spans the 2021 transfer-portal tracking floor: seasons before 2021 structurally cannot be classified portal-vs-not (they land in 'unknown' below), so the portal-share figure understates how many pre-2021 arrivals might have been transfers under the pre-portal-tracking transfer rules.
“His own” means the player arrived while he was head coach; “inherited” means a predecessor brought him in.
Size up front
Size up front
Offensive linemen on his Arizona State rosters have averaged 4 lb lighter than the FBS average (2018–2021) — lighter than 82% of FBS coaching runs since 2010. In the three seasons before he arrived, Arizona State’s line averaged within a few pounds of the FBS average.
Average listed weight of every offensive lineman on each season’s roster, holdovers included, against every FBS roster that season (2010 on; a program needs 3+ seasons under him to appear). Weights are the ones programs publish, and programs list differently. This describes size only — not scheme, and not quality.
Where he recruits
is his biggest recruiting state: 37 of 80 signees (46%) across his 2018–2022 tenure, drawn from 20 states in all. Next: AZ (9).
59% of his signees come from CA and its 3 border states (AZ 9, OR 1).
- median hometown distance
- 396 mi
- within 100 mi
- 29%
- within 500 mi
- 53%
- beyond 1,000 mi
- 29%
The map counts signed recruits across his tenure; the distance figures cover his current roster, transfers and walk-ons included. Two different groups, kept separate on purpose.
The NFL pipeline
The NFL pipeline
players drafted into the NFL off his teams here. Most were someone else’s recruits: 6 arrived under Todd Graham; 3 he brought in himself. 2 went in the first round.
| Year | Pick | Player | Pos | NFL team | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R3.27 | Rachaad White | Running Back |  Tampa Bay Buccaneers | |
| 2022 | R4.16 | Jack Jones | Cornerback |  New England Patriots | |
| 2022 | R5.04 | D.J. Davidson | Defensive Tackle |  New York Giants | |
| 2022 | R7.16 | Chase Lucas | Cornerback |  Detroit Lions | recruited under Todd Graham |
| 2021 | R6.03 | Frank Darby | Wide Receiver |  Atlanta Falcons | recruited under Todd Graham |
| 2020 | R1.25 | Brandon Aiyuk | Wide Receiver |  San Francisco 49ers | recruited under Todd Graham |
| 2020 | R7.08 | Eno Benjamin | Running Back |  Arizona Cardinals | recruited under Todd Graham |
| 2019 | R1.32 | N'Keal Harry | Wide Receiver | New England Patriots | recruited under Todd Graham |
| Year | Pick | Player | Pos | NFL team | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | R4.23 | Renell Wren | Defensive Tackle |  Cincinnati Bengals | recruited under Todd Graham |
A pick counts toward his tenure when the player’s final college season was one he coached, a checkable rule rather than a claim about who developed the player. A blank note means the player is on a verified roster and arrived on his watch. “Estimated” means no roster record, so the final season is assumed to be the year before the draft.
News
No outlet on our list has written about him by name yet. His record is on Career.
Career
Coaching career
The arc of his career is on Now.
Steady no large move in either direction on our stature ladder
11th-best Arizona State tenure of 19 by the numbers.
Followed Todd Graham (2012–2017) · succeeded by Shaun Aguano (2022).
| Season | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | ||||||
| Record | 7-6 | 8-5 | 2-2 | 8-5 | 1-2 | |
| Postseason | L bowl | W bowl | — | L bowl | — | |
| Coordinators | ||||||
| OC | Rob Likens | Rob Likens | Zak Hill | Zak Hill | — | |
| DC | Danny Gonzales | Danny Gonzales | Marvin Lewis / Antonio Pierce | Antonio Pierce | — | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | ||||||
| Offense | 70 | 17 | 73 | 73 | — | |
| Defense | 33 | 48 | 74 | 79 | — | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | ||||||
| 1st-down pass% | 40.5 | 42.8 | 36.3 | 32.8 | — | |
| Red-zone pass% | 29.7 | 33.6 | 29.2 | 32.6 | — | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 33.3 | 24.1 | — | 35.7 | — | |
Performs about as expected for his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.
Brings in bigger-than-position-typical players than most.
Recruits younger transfers than most — more of a development bet.
Was he good?
Every angle here comes back inconclusive — not enough separation from zero to call it either way.
+1.1 pts at Arizona State · #605 of 1290 · middle half