The Zeitgeist List · coaching

Todd Berry

Followed Charlie Weatherbie. Todd Berry held UL Monroe at Regional Program V for 6 seasons.

The journeyman
34–80
2000–2015 · 2 stints
ArmyUL Monroe
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Career arc

His real stature score, season by season, across every program he’s coached — so a stretch that stays in one tier the whole way can still climb or sink on the line, not just flatten out. Node color marks the tier reached. Which program a stretch belongs to is carried by the shaded lane behind it.

Stature score reached, by season of his head-coaching careerARMYUL MONROERegional Programthe building-block levelArmy, 2000: 1-10, Regional Program IV2000Army, 2001: 3-8, Regional Program IV2001Army, 2002: 1-11, Regional Program V2002Army, 2003: 0-6, Regional Program V2003-6.8UL Monroe, 2010: 5-7, Regional Program V2010UL Monroe, 2011: 4-8, Regional Program V2011UL Monroe, 2012: 8-5, Regional Program V2012UL Monroe, 2013: 6-6, Regional Program V2013UL Monroe, 2014: 4-8, Regional Program V2014UL Monroe, 2015: 2-11, Regional Program V2015+2.4One point per coached season, in career order; dashed segments are program changes — spacing is not proportional to calendar time

Reached Regional Program in his 1st career season — faster than 20% of the 925 FBS coaches who have ever reached Regional Program (rank #1 of 925 by seasons-to-arrival).

Army, 4 seasons
−6.8
Regional Program IV → Regional Program V.
UL Monroe, 6 seasons
+2.4
Regional Program V → Regional Program V.

Style position and drift

Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.

50%60%UL Monroe2010–2015▼ 6.4pt
Pass rate — share of offensive plays that were pass attemptsfirst covered seasonmost recent covered seasonfull season-to-season range (3+ covered seasons)

The big-game ledger

How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.

2–16 against his rivals. Just 1–4 against Mark Hudspeth.

Rivalry record
2–16
11.1% · 4 rivals
One-score games
15–19
44.1% · margin ≤8
vs. Blue Blood or better
0–1
0.0%
Rivalry ledger
Arkansas State0–60%
Louisiana1–517%
Air Force0–30%
Navy1–233%
The toughest matchupNemesis
vs. Mark Hudspeth1–4
5 meetings, 2011–2015
’11 L’12 L’13 W’14 L’15 L · blew a 15-pt lead
Performance by opponent class
Dynasty
0–1 0.0%
Blue Blood
0–3 0.0%
Power Program
1–8 11.1%
National Program
1–16 5.9%
Regional Program
26–44 37.1%

His own effect, isolated

A statistical estimate of this coach’s contribution to team performance, separated from that season’s roster talent, returning production, and his coordinators — pooled across his whole head-coaching career.

Offense marginal impact
-0.17
#226 of 319 · a typical amount
Defense marginal impact
+0.06
#110 of 325 · a typical amount

Model fit as of 2026-09-04.

Coaching career

2010–2015
UL Monroecaretaker
Regional Program V → Regional Program V
Todd Berry held UL Monroe at Regional Program V for 6 seasons.

5th-best UL Monroe tenure of 11 by the numbers.

Recruiter or developer?

Underperforms his recruiting talent on offense and performs about as expected for his recruiting talent on defense.

Offense vs. talent
-19.0 pts
#174 of 208 · less than most
Defense vs. talent
+13.8 pts
#54 of 208 · a typical amount
Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.

Followed Charlie Weatherbie (2003–2009) · succeeded by Matt Viator (2016–2020).

Season201020112012201320142015Trend
Record & result
Record5–74–88–56–64–82–11
Postseason——————
Recruiting rank————#125#108
Style — pass rate
Pass rate————59.352.9
Coordinators
OC————Steve FarmerSteve Farmer
DC————Troy ReffettTravis Niekamp / Adam Waugh
Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile
Offense————1711
Defense————7246
Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script (2021+ only)
1st-down pass%————59.549.3
Red-zone pass%————53.850.7
4th-down go%opp. territory————26.935.6
Does the system survive a coordinator change?
DC: Troy Reffett → co-Travis Niekamp / co-Adam Waugh · 2015
72nd pct46th pct0th100th
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
Where the roster comes from, by position
Grows Tight end from high school
100%
#164 of 188 stints
Grows Edge from high school
100%
#191 of 208 stints

1 NFL Draft pick: Trey Caldwell (2016)

29–45
2000–2003
Armycaretaker
Regional Program IV → Regional Program IV
Todd Berry held Army at Regional Program IV for 4 seasons.

11th-best Army tenure of 17 by the numbers.

Followed Bob Sutton (1991–1999) · succeeded by Bobby Ross (2004–2006).

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