The Zeitgeist List · coaching

Trent Miles

Trent Miles held Georgia State at Regional Program IV for 4 seasons.

8–38

2013–2016 · 1 stint

Career arc

His real stature score, season by season, across every program he’s coached — so a stretch that stays in one tier the whole way can still climb or sink on the line, not just flatten out. Node color marks the tier reached. Which program a stretch belongs to is carried by the shaded lane behind it.

Reached Regional Program in his 1st career season — faster than 20% of the 925 FBS coaches who have ever reached Regional Program (rank #1 of 925 by seasons-to-arrival).

Georgia State, 4 seasons

+0.0

Regional Program IV → Regional Program IV.

Style position and drift

Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.

Pass rate — share of offensive plays that were pass attemptsfirst covered seasonmost recent covered seasonfull season-to-season range (3+ covered seasons)

How much that is, against every other stint

Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 258 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2014–2025.

Typical stint7.010.2 median13.9middle half of all stints

Georgia State2.1pt#251 of 258 · less than most

The big-game ledger

How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.

1–1 against his rivals. Winless in 3 tries against Mark Hudspeth.

Rivalry record

1–1

50.0% · 1 rival

One-score games

1–8

11.1% · margin ≤8

vs. Blue Blood or better

0–1

0.0%

Rivalry ledger

Georgia Southern1–150%

The toughest matchup

vs. Mark Hudspeth0–3

3 meetings, 2013–2015

’13 L’14 L · blew a 7-pt lead’15 L · blew a 4-pt lead

0% win rate across a real, 3-meeting series — short of the bar this site uses before badging a series “Nemesis.” Shown here as the toughest matchup on record, not an algorithmic crown.

Performance by opponent class

Dynasty

0–1 0.0%

Power Program

0–3 0.0%

National Program

1–1 50.0%

Regional Program

5–21 19.2%

His own effect, isolated

A statistical estimate of this coach’s contribution to team performance, separated from that season’s roster talent, returning production, and his coordinators — pooled across his whole head-coaching career.

Offense marginal impact

+0.09

#115 of 319 · a typical amount

Defense marginal impact

+0.26

#45 of 325 · more than most

Model fit as of 2026-09-04.

Coaching career

2013–2016

Georgia Statecaretaker

Regional Program IV

Trent Miles held Georgia State at Regional Program IV for 4 seasons.

2nd-best Georgia State tenure of 4 by the numbers.

Recruiter or developer?

Performs about as expected for his recruiting talent on offense and outperforms his recruiting talent on defense.

Offense vs. talent

+10.6 pts

#61 of 208 · a typical amount

Defense vs. talent

+42.9 pts

#2 of 208 · more than most

Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.

Succeeded by Shawn Elliott (2017–2024).

Season	2013	2014	2015	2016
Record & result
Record	0–12	1–11	6–7	1–8
Postseason	—	—	L bowl	—
Recruiting rank	—	#104	#123	#125
Style — pass rate
Pass rate	—	53.3	54.9	55.5
Coordinators
OC	—	Jeff Jagodzinski	Jeff Jagodzinski	Luke Huard
DC	—	Jesse Minter	Jesse Minter	Jesse Minter
Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile
Offense	—	28	57	32
Defense	—	2	79	78
Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script (2021+ only)
1st-down pass%	—	49.6	52.3	45.1
Red-zone pass%	—	41.0	49.5	47.9
4th-down go%opp. territory	—	26.3	22.7	20.6

Where the roster comes from, by position

Grows Tight end from high school

100%

#164 of 188 stints

Grows Edge from high school

100%

#191 of 208 stints

Postseason detail2015: Lost to San José State 16–27 Autonation Cure Bowl

1 NFL Draft pick: Robert Davis (2017)

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