Stature and coaches, 2012–2026
The program’s standing over time, with every coach’s tenure beneath it — read down to see who was there for each rise and fall.
DynastyBlue BloodPower ProgramNational ProgramRegional Program
Run↔pass identity, by season
UTSA is at its highest stature in program history
Every coach
Big movers show how many stature points they built or lost against what they inherited; steadier tenures show the tier they reached instead. A small blue arrow marks a real System Shift at that changeover — how hard the offense’s run/pass identity flipped.
2020–now
Jeff Traylor Builder ◆ COY
Jeff Traylor raised UTSA from Regional Program IV to National Program II.
No outlier style signal this stint
+17.8 pts over 7 seasons · top 6% of 6-9-season tenures (368 in sample)
Closest comparable run: Rocky Long’s San Diego State run (2011–2019)
1st-best UTSA tenure of 3 by the numbers.
Followed Frank Wilson (2016–2019).
System Shift, on arrival
| Season | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | ||||||||
| Record | 7-5 | 12-2 | 11-3 | 9-4 | 7-6 | 7-6 | 7-1 | |
| Postseason | L bowl | L bowl | L bowl | W bowl | W bowl | W bowl | — | |
| Recruiting rank | #105 | #78 | #73 | #59 | #123 | #107 | #79 | |
| Style — pass rate | ||||||||
| Pass rate | 42.7 | 44.5 | 48.1 | 46.4 | 51.0 | 50.2 | 45.9 | |
| Coordinators | ||||||||
| OC | Barry Lunney Jr. | Barry Lunney Jr. | Matt Mattox / Will Stein | Justin Burke | Justin Burke | Justin Burke | Rick Bowie | |
| DC | Tyrone Nix | Rod Wright / Jess Loepp | Jess Loepp | Jess Loepp | Jess Loepp | Jess Loepp | Jess Loepp | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | ||||||||
| Offense | 68 | 75 | 82 | 64 | 68 | 71 | 72 | |
| Defense | 51 | 28 | 69 | 70 | 85 | 68 | 32 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | ||||||||
| 1st-down pass% | 38.8 | 41.1 | 47.1 | 44.9 | 46.6 | 45.5 | 43.3 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 47.5 | 41.5 | 46.2 | 40.4 | 46.6 | 50.5 | 27.5 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 34.9 | 29.4 | 41.7 | 38.7 | 34.0 | 47.8 | 26.9 | |
Recruiter or developer?
Outperforms his recruiting talent on offense and performs about as expected for his recruiting talent on defense.
Offense vs. talent
+23.0 pts
#27 of 208 · top quarter
Defense vs. talent
+13.2 pts
#59 of 208 · middle half
Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.
Roster construction · portal era
A typical amount of portal roster-building.
Portal arrivals
83
3.0★ avg rating
Portal departures
83
left via the portal
Net portal flow
0
#86 of 187 FBS stints
Who they bring in
Typical size for position, once adjusted for position mix.
A typical class-year mix of incoming transfers.
Avg. size (raw)
6′2″, 237 lbs
across 57 of 83 arrivals — unadjusted for position mix
Size vs. position-typical
+3.6 lbs
#141 of 255 · middle half
Avg. class year
Jr
#136 of 255 · middle half
Top states: TX (34), LA (4), GA (3), FL (2), MD (2)
Who won the portal our read
Talent added
55.9
position-weighted
Talent lost
56.6
position-weighted
Net
-0.7
arrivals minus departures
Best addition: Dematrius Davis (QB) from Alabama State
Biggest loss: Suddin Sapien (QB) to Texas-Permian Basin
Position-value-weighted (QB/CB weighted highest, depth-decayed within each position) — the same scoring engine as the Portal Heat feed, not a separate grade.
Does the system survive a coordinator change?
OC: Barry Lunney Jr. → Matt Mattox (co) / Will Stein (co) · 2022
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
1st-down pass rate: 41.1% → 47.1% (+6.0 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 82% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
OC: Matt Mattox (co) / Will Stein (co) → Justin Burke · 2023
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
1st-down pass rate: 47.1% → 44.9% (-2.2 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 85% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
OC: Justin Burke → Rick Bowie · 2026
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
1st-down pass rate: 45.5% → 43.3% (-2.3 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 67% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
DC: Tyrone Nix → Rod Wright / Jess Loepp (co) · 2021
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
DC: Rod Wright / Jess Loepp (co) → Jess Loepp · 2022
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
Roster size, by position
Skill positions · usage-weighted (real participation)
Quarterback
203 lbs
6′1″ avg · #633 of 767 · bottom quarter
Running back
205 lbs
5′10″ avg · #499 of 791 · middle half
Wide receiver
193 lbs
6′1″ avg · #404 of 791 · middle half
Tight end
249 lbs
6′5″ avg · #238 of 731 · middle half
Trench & secondary · recruited roster, not confirmed starters
Interior line
313 lbs
6′4″ avg · #223 of 779 · middle half
D-line
285 lbs
6′3″ avg · #349 of 753 · middle half
Linebacker
224 lbs
6′2″ avg · #611 of 772 · bottom quarter
Cornerback
186 lbs
6′1″ avg · #589 of 771 · bottom quarter
Safety
192 lbs
6′0″ avg · #288 of 346 · bottom quarter
Offensive-line size is one undifferentiated bucket — the source data almost never distinguishes tackle from guard from center, so we can't split them out.
Where the roster comes from, by position
Buys Cornerback via the portal
75%
#27 of 236 stints
Buys Tackle via the portal
62%
#37 of 223 stints
Grows Tight end from high school
80%
#146 of 188 stints
Postseason detail2020: Lost to Louisiana 24-31 SERVPRO First Responder Bowl2021: Lost to San Diego State 24-38 Tropical Smoothie Cafe Frisco Bowl2022: Lost to Troy 12-18 Duluth Trading Cure Bowl2023: Beat Marshall 35-17 Scooter's Coffee Frisco Bowl2024: Beat Coastal Carolina 44-15 Myrtle Beach Bowl2025: Beat Florida International 57-20 SERVPRO First Responder Bowl
3 NFL Draft picks: Spencer Burford (2022), Tariq Woolen (2022), Zah Frazier (2025)
Coach of the Year: Conference USA Coach of the Year (2021), Conference USA Coach of the Year (2022)
+17.8
60-27
2016–2019
Frank Wilson Steady
Frank Wilson slid UTSA from Regional Program III to Regional Program IV in 4 seasons.
2018 offense ranked in the 1th percentile nationally — historically bad
−3.1 pts over 4 seasons · bottom 48% of 3-5-season tenures (717 in sample)
Closest comparable run: Willie Taggart’s South Florida run (2013–2016)
3rd-best UTSA tenure of 3 by the numbers.
Followed Larry Coker (2012–2015) · succeeded by Jeff Traylor (2020–now).
System Shift, on arrival
System Shift, on departure
| Season | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | |||||
| Record | 6-7 | 6-5 | 3-9 | 4-8 | |
| Postseason | L bowl | — | — | — | |
| Recruiting rank | #103 | #75 | #85 | #96 | |
| Style — pass rate | |||||
| Pass rate | 42.2 | 41.0 | 53.3 | 44.7 | |
| Coordinators | |||||
| OC | Frank Scelfo | Frank Scelfo | Al Borges | Jeff Kastl | |
| DC | Pete Golding | Pete Golding | Jason Rollins | Jason Rollins | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | |||||
| Offense | 46 | 14 | 1 | 25 | |
| Defense | 72 | 83 | 22 | 36 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | |||||
| 1st-down pass% | 36.6 | 37.7 | 44.6 | 41.1 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 37.1 | 33.3 | 53.7 | 35.5 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 54.3 | 25.0 | 20.0 | 46.9 | |
Recruiter or developer?
Underperforms his recruiting talent on offense and performs about as expected for his recruiting talent on defense.
Offense vs. talent
-19.8 pts
#177 of 208 · bottom quarter
Defense vs. talent
+10.6 pts
#62 of 208 · middle half
Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.
Does the system survive a coordinator change?
OC: Frank Scelfo → Al Borges · 2018
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
1st-down pass rate: 37.7% → 44.6% (+6.9 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 5% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
OC: Al Borges → Jeff Kastl · 2019
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
1st-down pass rate: 44.6% → 41.1% (-3.6 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 39% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
DC: Pete Golding → Jason Rollins · 2018The defense collapsed across the change
2-season window either side.
Where the roster comes from, by position
Grows Tight end from high school
100%
#164 of 188 stints
Grows Edge from high school
100%
#191 of 208 stints
Postseason detail2016: Lost to New Mexico 20-23 Gildan New Mexico Bowl
1 NFL Draft pick: Marcus Davenport (2018)
−3.1
19-29
2012–2015
Larry Coker Steady
Larry Coker held UTSA at Regional Program I for 4 seasons.
No outlier style signal this stint
2nd-best UTSA tenure of 3 by the numbers.
Succeeded by Frank Wilson (2016–2019).
System Shift, on departure
| Season | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | |||||
| Record | 8-4 | 7-5 | 4-8 | 3-9 | |
| Postseason | — | — | — | — | |
| Recruiting rank | #122 | #103 | #126 | #103 | |
| Style — pass rate | |||||
| Pass rate | 46.1 | 49.2 | 44.7 | 41.4 | |
| Coordinators | |||||
| OC | — | — | Kevin Brown | Kevin Brown | |
| DC | — | — | Neal Neathery | Neal Neathery | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | |||||
| Offense | 45 | 71 | 6 | 14 | |
| Defense | 25 | 69 | 62 | 35 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | |||||
| 1st-down pass% | 37.6 | 43.3 | 37.4 | 36.8 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 38.1 | 36.3 | 25.9 | 40.6 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 20.8 | 21.9 | 28.6 | 27.0 | |
Recruiter or developer?
Underperforms his recruiting talent on offense and performs about as expected for his recruiting talent on defense.
Offense vs. talent
-25.9 pts
#193 of 208 · bottom quarter
Defense vs. talent
-6.1 pts
#133 of 208 · middle half
Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.
Where the roster comes from, by position
Grows Tight end from high school
100%
#164 of 188 stints
Grows Tackle from high school
100%
#198 of 223 stints
1 NFL Draft pick: David Morgan (2016)
Regional Program I
22-26