CFB Zeitgeist Score
85
All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by yards / att at the 87th percentile.
Joe Fagnano
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
3,441 PASS YDS · 28 PASS TD · 131 RUSH YDS
2026 Outlook
Returning to UConn for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Quarterback · UConn
Returning around him
- 68% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 1 UConn player drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: +8 net (53 in / 45 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
UConn · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #97 · 2026 recruiting class #114
QB · UCONN · FBS INDEPENDENTS
Joe Fagnano
- 4
- #2
- 6-4 | 225 lb
- Williamsport, PA
Heisman Heat
#72
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2023–2025+1889%
Up 1889% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
UConn
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Volume King 1.3% Volume King 2,500+ passing yards, 1,200+ rushing yards, or 900+ receiving yards in a single season (position-appropriate threshold). Held by 1.3% of the 2025 pool. 3441 passing yards — clears the 2,500-QB volume bar.
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in passing yards (3441).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Joe Fagnano
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=8
- National · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Joe Fagnano
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 12g
3,441Pass yards
28Pass TDs
1INT
Per game
286.8Pass yards
2Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
3,728Pass yards
30Pass TDs
1INT
✓ Hit 3,000-yard season · finished with 3,441.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 3,441): needs 559/game over remaining 1.
✓ Hit 25 passing TDs · finished with 28.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 28): needs 2/game over remaining 1.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 28): needs 7/game over remaining 1.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Joe Fagnano's story is about how role and output meet each other. For UConn, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-volume passer | Efficient against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
284 96th
ATT
412 96th
CMP%
68.9% 81st
Y/A
8.4 82nd
Passing Production
YDS
3,441 95th
TD
28 97th
INT
1 63rd
Rushing
CAR
47 68th
YDS
131 72nd
YPC
2.8 51st
TD
3 77th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 59-13vs Central Connecticut | 18/25 | 260 | 3 | 0 | 10.4 | 84.7 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 2 | L 20-27@ Syracuse | 24/43 | 259 | 0 | 0 | 6.0 | 38.2 | |
| Wk 3 | L 41-44@ Delaware | 28/38 | 346 | 2 | 0 | 9.1 | 80.9 | Clean 2-TD game |
| Wk 4 | W 31-25vs Ball State | 20/30 | 181 | 1 | 0 | 6.0 | 54.2 | |
| Wk 5 | W 20-17@ Buffalo | 19/31 | 155 | 1 | 0 | 5.0 | 67.5 | |
| Wk 6 | W 51-10vs Florida International | 22/28 | 355 | 4 | 0 | 12.7 | 88.9 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 8 | W 38-23@ Boston College | 23/31 | 362 | 4 | 0 | 11.7 | 90.4 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 9 | L 34-37@ Rice | 32/48 | 344 | 3 | 0 | 7.2 | 59.7 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 10 | W 38-19vs UAB | 23/30 | 267 | 4 | 0 | 8.9 | 71.6 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 11 | W 37-34vs Duke | 27/39 | 311 | 3 | 0 | 8.0 | 75.3 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 12 | W 26-16vs Air Force | 15/23 | 155 | 0 | 1 | 6.7 | 48.6 | |
| Wk 13 | W 48-45@ Florida Atlantic | 33/46 | 446 | 3 | 0 | 9.7 | 70.6 | Season-high 446 yds |
| Total | 284/412 | 3441 | 28 | 1 | 8.5 | 69.2 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023UConn3-9HC: Jim Mora · Balanced
2024UConn9-4HC: Jim Mora · Run-leaning
2025UConn9-4HC: Jim Mora · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 3,441 | #19/382 | 95th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 28 | #12/407 | 97th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 284 | #15/383 | 96th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 68.9% | #75/383 | 81st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 8.4 | #71/382 | 82nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 131 | #115/408 | 72nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.46 | #11/200 | 95th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 412 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 54.8% | #44/428 | 90th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 412 | #18/407 | 96th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 1 | #153/407 | 63rd pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 47 | #132/408 | 68th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 38 | #76/391 | 81st pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 3 | #94/408 | 77th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 2.8 | #202/407 | 51st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 93.7% | #35/428 | 92nd pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 73.1% | #26/428 | 94th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 67.8% | #60/428 | 86th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 50.8% | #71/428 | 84th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 49.3% | #39/428 | 91st pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 48.9% | #41/428 | 91st pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 9.9% | #159/428 | 63rd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.22 | #83/140 | 41st pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 36 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/258 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 255 | 2.5 | 8.8 | 0.2 |
| Road6g | 319 | 2.2 | 8.1 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins9g | 277 | 2.6 | 8.8 | 0.1 |
| Losses3g | 316 | 1.7 | 7.4 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 259 | 1.8 | 8.2 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 314 | 2.8 | 8.7 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
85All-Conference
Elite: interceptions (97th). Strength: pass tds (92nd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)
Where the throws are landing
Short
0–9 yds57%of completions
83 comp5.1 yds avg4 TD
Middle
10–19 yds26%of completions
38 comp13.8 yds avg3 TD
Deep
20+ yds17%of completions
25 comp34.6 yds avg5 TD
Overall 67.6% completion on 216 attempts · 25 deep completions averaging 34.6 yds.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Elite: EPA / dropback.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_passing0.46Elite (≥p90) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.22Low (p25–p50) (n=72)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Joe FagnanoUConnFernando MendozaIndiana· 81% simTrinidad ChamblissOle Miss· 80% simNoah FifitaArizona· 78% sim
Interceptions
Pass TDs
Completion %
Fumbles lost
Pass yards
Yards / att
Rush yards
Rush TDs
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Pocket Surgeon
High-percentage passer who protects the ball. Loses the matchup on improvisation.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Holton Ahlers’s 2022 season.
Holton Ahlers
75%match
#2
Seth Henigan
All-AAC
66%
#3
Joey Aguilar
All-Sun Belt
66%
#4
Kenny Pickett
Unitas Golden Arm1st-team All-AmericanNFL Rd 1 · Pk 20
64%
#5
Tyler Johnston III
55%
Matches Holton on
Completion %
Total pass EPA (college ability)
Differs from Holton on
TD rate (higher)
INT rate (lower)
Class year (higher)
Through 5 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Ryan Browne’s path through Purdue.
Ryan Browne
92%match
#2
Darren Grainger
91%
#3
Cole Pennington
88%
#4
Hudson Card
87%
#5
D.J. Uiagalelei
85%
Matches Ryan on
Height
Yards per attempt
Completion %
As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Tyler Shough's graduate season at Louisville (2024).
Tyler Shough
59%match
NFL Rd 2 · Pk 8
#2
Carson Beck
All-ACCNFL Rd 3 · Pk 1
42%
#3
Luke Altmyer
All-Big Ten
38%
#4
Kurtis Rourke
All-Big TenNFL Rd 7
32%
#5
Braylon Braxton
All-Sun Belt
27%
Matches Tyler on
Height
Yards / attempt
Differs from Tyler on
INT rate (lower)
Rush yards / carry (higher)
Completion % (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jim Mora
Pass share
53.5%
451 pass / 392 run
Plays / game
64.8
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
4.5%
314 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Jim Mora
UConn
2024
Jim Mora
UConn
2025
Jim Mora
UConn
Played his entire career under Jim Mora.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownWilliamsport, PA
Height6'4"
Weight225 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey2
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamUConn
ConferenceFBS Independents
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.