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Boise StateFollowing Now · 1 new
Following now · 1 takes

Boise State is slipping in the power ratings.

Active·updated today·
Sources:BIIUBoise State University Athletics, Idaho Statesman, Idaho News 6, USA Today
  • 1 new takes in the last 7 days
  • Win total 9.5 — line flat since open
  • Boise State has slipped from elite-tier consistency — their first time below the top-11…

How past storylines turned out

Replaced

Boise State's offensive coordinator spot turned over again the following season.

See who's next →
Answered

Boise State's fall from dynasty-caliber territory held — it stayed out.

Died down

Boise State's defensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.

How it developed newest first

6 beats on record
2026-06
Jun 25

Boise State win total rose from 8 to 8.5 (+0.5 wins) between Jun 24 and Jun 25, 2026 (tier C).

win total up 0.5 from 8.0 to 8.5

Why it mattersSpencer Danielson's third season opens with a 9-5 record and a win total rise to 8.5, signaling Boise State's push to sustain its G5 prominence amid a top-81 talent landscape.

· counted

Boise State: the playoff path shifting.

Why it mattersSpencer Danielson's fourth season opens with a 9-5 record and a #25 AP finish, proving Boise State's playoff path is no longer a G5 anomaly.

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Boise State: a rivalry result reversing the streak.

Why it mattersSpencer Danielson's 4th season opens with a 9-5 record and a #25 AP finish, but the unease lingers as Boise State's G5 identity faces the test of sustaining its CFP-level momentum.

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Zak Hill replaced Matt Miller as Boise State's offensive coordinator.

Why it mattersSpencer Danielson's third season opens with a 9-5 record and a #25 AP finish, but coordinator changes and an uneasy fanbase signal tension over sustaining Boise State's G5 dominance.

· counted

Matt Miller replaced Dirk Koetter as Boise State's offensive coordinator.

Why it mattersSpencer Danielson's third season opens with a 9-5 record and a #25 AP finish, anchoring Boise State's identity as a G5 program that refuses to stay small.

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Boise State has slipped from dynasty-caliber territory — down to the top 19% of FBS by three-year power rating, from the top 14%.

a 29-10 record over the last three regular seasons

Why it mattersBoise State has slipped from elite-tier consistency — their first time below the top-11% tier since 2024 raises questions about sustaining a 9-5 season with #81 talent.

· counted

Watch next

The non-obvious thing to track

A slip can outlast one bad year: a 'they're down' narrative can speed up recruiting misses and portal losses. Watch whether the schedule lets the run actually show up on the field.

Our read of the beats above.

Rooms tap to switch

“Bronco Icon Kellen Moore to Raise Blue Chaos Flag”
Boise State University Athletics · Oct 28 · read ↗

The off-field storyline drawing the most coverage right now. This section collects the drama around the program, kept apart from the analysis.

“Boise State unveils 11-foot bronze statue of Kellen Moore. See photos here”
Idaho Statesman · Nov 1 · read ↗
“Bronco legend Kellen Moore returns to Boise for unveiling of 11-foot statue”
Idaho News 6 · Nov 1 · read ↗
“Texas State Bobcats at Boise State Broncos - NCAAF Game Summary - Oct 31, 2026”
USA Today · Nov 1 · read ↗

The 'resurgence is real' read: the numbers are starting to back the hype.

No coverage in this room yet.

The 'wait and see' counter: power shifts often get overread before the season proves them.

The range consensus, not a gap

Consensus: every take we've captured on this leans the same way.
The leading take
“Boise State unveils 11-foot bronze statue of Kellen Moore. See photos here”
— Idaho Statesman · 2026-11-01
We track for a counter-narrative continuously — this section expands the moment one shows up in the coverage.

Onward

How we know: counts, records and market lines come straight from the data, and any reading of the coverage says it is our model's. Fan posts are real community excerpts shown as texture, not editorial characterizations. Assembled 2026-11-01.
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site