CFB Zeitgeist
June 22, 2026 · Dead Period · Heritage Window · 2026 Outlook

Concordia University Moorhead

7-3 2025 final

Concordia-Moorhead is a program built on stability—25 years of the same coach, 150+ career wins, and the quiet confidence that excellence is measured in tenure, not championships.

The Cobbers bide their time.

Record
7-3
win% .700
Conference
3rd of 10
Minnesota · 6-3
Index Rating
58.6
D3 #59 of 240
Playoff Path
On the bubble
Dead PeriodOffseasonPatientPost-win — basking
The Long Wait·Offseason

Concordia-Moorhead is a program built on stability—25 years of the same coach, 150+ career wins, and the quiet confidence that excellence is measured in tenure, not championships.

Title DroughtSince 1980 · 45 yrs

Concordia-Moorhead went 7-3 (6-3 MIAC) in 2025, continuing its pattern of solid, reliable football under Terry Horan's stewardship. At 25 years and 150+ wins, Horan remains the longest-tenured active coach in Minnesota college foo…

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Read the full program story ↓

Offseason

69 days

until kickoff · Sun Aug 30 · 17:00 UTC

Act I

The 2026 Outlook

DIVISION III · THE PATH TO THE STAGG BOWL

Concordia University Moorhead sits 3rd in the Minnesota Conference and 59th of 240 in the CFB Zeitgeist — on the at-large bubble — the conference title is the surer route.

Minnesota · 2025
TeamConfOverallIndex
1Bethel (MN)9-012-173.6
2Saint John's (MN)8-110-266.0
3Concordia Moorhead6-37-358.6
4Carleton6-36-455.4
5Gustavus Adolphus5-45-552.3
6Augsburg4-54-649.3
7St. Olaf3-64-646.4
8St. Scholastica2-73-743.5
58.6 CFB Zeitgeist#59 of 240 D351.8 strength of schedule1 quality win

Win the Minnesota Conference for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.

Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2025 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
THE 2025 SEASON · 7-3
W 17-6 vs Mayville State · Wk 2+11MayvilleL 16-17 at St. Olaf · Wk 4-1St. OlafW 14-13 vs Gustavus Adolphus · Wk 5+1GustavusW 49-21 vs St. Scholastica · Wk 6+28St. SchoW 58-12 at Hamline University · Wk 7+46Hamline L 6-41 vs Saint John's (MN) · Wk 8-35Saint JoW 26-7 at Augsburg · Wk 9+19AugsburgL 9-55 vs Bethel (MN) · Wk 10-46Bethel (W 17-14 at Macalester · Wk 11+3MacalestW 31-24 at Carleton · Wk 12+7Carleton

Signature win 58-12 over Hamline University; toughest day 9-55 against Bethel (MN).

The Pulse on Concordia University Moorhead

Quiet · dead period heritage · signal ramps back in camp
The Cobbers bide their time.

What moved it — offseason · last 30 days

June Dead-period quiet — official-visit + heritage window
Camp Fall camp ~40 days out
"Go Cobbers." — Concordia University Moorhead fanbase · recurring line
0 mentions · awaiting signal

Aspiration Ladder

Brief Part III §33.4 · Concordia University Moorhead

Winning record

The baseline for a successful season.

Conference title

The primary goal and national bracket path.

32-team bracket qualifierLocked

One of 32 national tournament entries.

Stagg BowlLocked

The Division III national championship game.

Concordia University Moorhead · Next-Season Outcome Band

Floor / Base / Ceiling

floor5-7Rebuild year. Below .500.
base7-5Mid-table finish.
ceiling10-2Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.

Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.

Act II

Who We Are

Home-Field Advantage · Concordia University Moorhead · 2018-present

Soft

57% home win rate vs 61% on the road. margin runs -3.3 weaker at home.

Home11-8Away11-7
Act III

Last Season Reviewed

2025 season · tap to expand

Recent Form · last 10 games

Mixed

Three of five. Trending up, not yet hot.

Streak W2Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 7-3

Schedule Strength · Concordia University Moorhead · 2025

Balanced

Average opponent win rate 48% across 10 finalized games. Balanced slate across the conference slate.

Opp Win %0.486

Moment of the Year · Concordia University Moorhead · 2025

Won 49-21 vs St. Scholastica

Week 6 of 2025. A statement margin. Recruiting boards re-rendered overnight.

Decisive Margin

Postseason History

Recent postseason (2023): 0-1

Most recent: 2023 — loss 21-48 (home). Last 5 postseason: 0-1.

2023

From the Archive — Concordia University Moorhead

2023: Lost 14-31 at Bethel (MN)

In 2023, the program lost 14-31 at Bethel (MN) — a one to file away road result, 17 points either way.

Go Cobbers.