June 22, 2026 · Dead Period · Heritage Window · 2026 Outlook

Concordia-Wisconsin

9-2 2025 final

The Falcons of Mequon, Wisconsin, a Lutheran university that broke through as 2025 NACC champions and hosted the program's first home NCAA Division III playoff game — small-school football arriving on the lakeshore.

The Falcons bide their time.

Record

9-2

win% .818

Conference

1st of 9

NACC · 8-0

Index Rating

63.5

D3 #31 of 240

Playoff Path

In the field

Dead PeriodOffseasonPatientPost-loss — diagnostic

The Long Wait·Offseason

Standard GapA program that just won its conference and made the playoffs, measured a…

Build on the 2025 NACC championship into a program that wins playoff games, not just hosts them.

low signal

Read the full program story ↓

Offseason

69 days

until kickoff · Sun Aug 30 · 17:00 UTC

Act I

The 2026 Outlook

DIVISION III · THE PATH TO THE STAGG BOWL

Concordia-Wisconsin sits 1st in the NACC and 31st of 240 in the CFB Zeitgeist — inside the projected 40-team field on the at-large math.

NACC · 2025

	Team	Conf	Overall	Index
1	Concordia-Wisconsin	8-0	9-2	63.5
2	Aurora	6-2	8-3	60.0
3	Benedictine University	5-3	7-3	55.0
4	St. Norbert	5-3	5-5	49.8
5	Wisconsin-Lutheran	5-3	5-5	48.9
6	Lakeland	4-4	4-6	44.5
7	Concordia University Chicago	2-6	4-6	43.7
8	Eureka College	1-7	2-8	36.6

63.5 CFB Zeitgeist#31 of 240 D348.1 strength of schedule2 quality wins

Win the NACC for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.

Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2025 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected

THE 2025 SEASON · 9-2

Signature win 35-0 over Rockford; toughest day 7-44 against Coe College.

—

The Falcons bide their time.

What moved it — offseason · last 30 days

June Dead-period quiet — official-visit + heritage window —

Camp Fall camp ~40 days out

"Go Concordia-Wisconsin" — Concordia-Wisconsin fanbase · recurring line

0 mentions · awaiting signal

Winning record—

The baseline for a successful season.

Conference title—

The primary goal and national bracket path.

32-team bracket qualifierLocked—

One of 32 national tournament entries.

Stagg BowlLocked—

The Division III national championship game.

Floor 7-5

Base 9-3

Ceiling 12-0

floor7-5Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.

base9-3Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.

ceiling12-0Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.

Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.

Act II

Who We Are

Home-Field Advantage · Concordia-Wisconsin · 2018-present

Elite

85% home win rate vs 65% on the road. margin runs +17.0 better at home.

Home17-3Away13-7

Act III

Last Season Reviewed

2025 season · tap to expand

Recent Form · last 10 games

Warming

Four of five. The board favors this trend.

Streak L1Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 8-2

Schedule Strength · Concordia-Wisconsin · 2025

Balanced

Average opponent win rate 46% across 11 finalized games. Balanced slate across the conference slate.

Opp Win %0.462

Moment of the Year · Concordia-Wisconsin · 2025

Postseason · Lost 7-44 vs Coe College

Week 13 of 2025. A reckoning loss — the data point the next season must answer.

Decisive MarginPostseason

Postseason History

Recent postseason (2025): 0-1

Most recent: 2025 — loss 7-44 (home). Last 5 postseason: 0-1.

2025

From the Archive — Concordia-Wisconsin

2024: Won 37-34 vs Lakeland

In 2024, the program won 37-34 vs Lakeland — a tight home result that left the 3-point margin on the books.

Go Falcons.