Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 23 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
Player stats
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Biggest plays from Maine’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Maine’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q4, 4:34 · Maine down 12Eddie Buehler finds Nick Laughlin for a 7-yard touchdownMaine at Boston College, week 3Q4, 4:34 · Maine 16, Boston College 22Maine cut the deficit to 6 in the fourth quarterMaine cut the deficit to 6 in the fourth quarterNick Laughlin 7 yd pass from Eddie Buehler (Samuel Tremblay PAT blocked)▶Watch from this playACC Digital Network
Q2, 9:32 · App State up 10Malachi Singleton finds Darrin Fugitt for a 5-yard touchdownMaine at App State, week 1Q2, 9:32 · App State 17, Maine 0▲2%App State’s chance to win, 98% to 100%▲2%App State’s chance to win, 98% to 100%M.Singleton pass complete short left to D.Fugitt caught at MNE05, for 5 yards to the MNE00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
Sun Belt Conference
Q3, 9:14 · App State up 31Jaquari Lewis runs 12 yards for a touchdownMaine at App State, week 1Q3, 9:14 · App State 38, Maine 0▼2%App State’s chance to win, 100% to 98%▼2%App State’s chance to win, 100% to 98%J.Lewis rush left for 12 yards gain to the MNE00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Sun Belt Conference
Q1, 6:37 · Maine down 7KP Price intercepts Eddie BuehlerMaine at Boston College, week 3Q1, 6:37 · Maine 0, Boston College 7KP Price's 5th career interceptionKP Price's 5th career interceptionE.Buehler pass intercepted by K.Price at MAI33 QB hurried by O.Nwosisi K.Price return 0 yards to the MAI33 (E.Wallace)▶Watch from this playACC Digital Network
Q1, 9:01 · Boston College tiedEvan Dickens runs 39 yards for a touchdownMaine at Boston College, week 3Q1, 9:01 · Boston College 7, Maine 0Boston College opened the scoringBoston College opened the scoringE.Dickens rush middle for 39 yards gain to the MAI00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this playACC Digital Network
Q1, 1:42 · Boston College up 9Mason McKenzie finds John Montague for a 31-yard touchdownMaine at Boston College, week 3Q1, 1:42 · Boston College 16, Maine 016-0score after the play16-0score after the playJohnathan Montague Jr. 31 yd pass from Mason McKenzie (Luca Lombardo Kick)▶Watch from this playACC Digital Network
How scary each game got
Maine lost to Sacred Heart after being 86% to win; the closest win was at Towson, down to 28%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Maine during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Maine is worth +15.0 points more at home than on the road.
Top tenth of FBS, 100th percentile of 133 programs
50% at home, 12% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (1-1 home, 2-15 away). Interval ±14.0.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Maine has beaten the number by −5.2 more at home than away over 57 games. That is inside the ±8.7 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Alfond Stadium seats 10,000 and has averaged 47% full (4,724, 14 games reported). Visitors cover a median 371 miles to get here (2018-present).
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 39 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.
More in this tab
Scheme claims
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Maine hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
0th percentile success on standard downs, 86th on passing downs — a 86-point gap between the two.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
How much of Maine’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is −0.13; adjusted for opponent strength, it's −0.07. The widest gap came in week 3: −0.19 raw vs. −0.05 adjusted.