CFB Zeitgeist
June 22, 2026 · Dead Period · Heritage Window · 2026 Outlook

Washington University (St. Louis)

8-3 2025 final

The Bears of St. Louis, who have played football since 1887 at Francis Field — site of the 1904 Olympics — a nationally elite research university that competes as a CCIW football affiliate and wins at a high clip.

The Bears are in the woods.

Record
8-3
win% .727
Conference
3rd of 10
CCIW · 7-2
Index Rating
60.8
D3 #46 of 240
Playoff Path
#6 alternate
Dead PeriodOffseasonPatientPost-loss — reckoning
The Long Wait·Offseason

The Bears of St. Louis, who have played football since 1887 at Francis Field — site of the 1904 Olympics — a nationally elite research university that competes as a CCIW football affiliate and wins at a high clip.

Standard GapAn academically elite program with deep history and a strong modern reco…

Secure a lasting conference home and turn a high-winning modern program into deep Division III playoff runs.

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

Offseason

69 days

until kickoff · Sun Aug 30 · 17:00 UTC

Act I

The 2026 Outlook

DIVISION III · THE PATH TO THE STAGG BOWL

Washington University (St. Louis) sits 3rd in the CCIW and 46th of 240 in the CFB Zeitgeist — on the at-large bubble — the conference title is the surer route.

CCIW · 2025
TeamConfOverallIndex
1North Central College9-014-176.9
2Wheaton8-111-368.7
3Washington University (St. Louis)7-28-360.8
4Augustana (IL)6-37-359.9
5Illinois Wesleyan4-54-648.8
6Carroll University (WI)4-54-648.3
7Carthage3-64-647.7
8North Park2-73-744.3
60.8 CFB Zeitgeist#46 of 240 D351.5 strength of schedule1 quality win

Win the CCIW for the automatic berth into the 40-team NCAA Division III bracket. Miss it and the path is an at-large bid, selected by NPI — the metric the CFB Index mirrors. Six wins survive the bracket to the Stagg Bowl.

Source: CFB Zeitgeist — conference records + NPI-style rating from 2025 games · the field is 40 teams, NPI-selected
THE 2025 SEASON · 8-3
W 49-0 vs Rhodes College · Wk 2+49Rhodes CW 41-29 at Carroll University (WI) · Wk 4+12Carroll L 14-44 vs North Central College · Wk 5-30North CeW 42-40 vs Illinois Wesleyan · Wk 6+2IllinoisW 31-23 at Carthage · Wk 7+8CarthageW 17-0 vs Elmhurst · Wk 8+17ElmhurstL 24-28 at Wheaton · Wk 9-4WheatonW 38-7 at Millikin · Wk 10+31MillikinW 42-14 vs North Park · Wk 11+28North PaW 35-13 at Augustana (IL) · Wk 12+22AugustanL 23-31 vs Wisconsin-Stout · Wk 13-8Wisconsi

Signature win 49-0 over Rhodes College; toughest day 14-44 against North Central College.

The Pulse on Washington University (St. Louis)

Quiet · dead period heritage · signal ramps back in camp
The Bears are in the woods.

What moved it — offseason · last 30 days

June Dead-period quiet — official-visit + heritage window
Camp Fall camp ~40 days out
"Go Washington University (St. Louis)" — Washington University (St. Louis) fanbase · recurring line
0 mentions · awaiting signal

Aspiration Ladder

Brief Part III §33.4 · Washington University (St. Louis)

Winning record

The baseline for a successful season.

Conference title

The primary goal and national bracket path.

32-team bracket qualifierLocked

One of 32 national tournament entries.

Stagg BowlLocked

The Division III national championship game.

Washington University (St. Louis) · Next-Season Outcome Band

Floor / Base / Ceiling

floor6-6Competitive but likely outside bracket contention.
base8-4Conference title contender. Bracket bid realistic.
ceiling11-1Deep playoff run. Program-defining year.

Variance assumed at ±2 wins from last-season record. Replace with the season-path projection once preview data is built.

Act II

Who We Are

Home-Field Advantage · Washington University (St. Louis) · 2018-present

Above-Average

75% home win rate vs 80% on the road. margin runs +5.8 better at home.

Home15-5Away16-4
Act III

Last Season Reviewed

2025 season · tap to expand

Recent Form · last 10 games

Mixed

Three of five. Trending up, not yet hot.

Streak L1Last 5 · 3-2Last 10 · 7-3

Schedule Strength · Washington University (St. Louis) · 2025

Balanced

Average opponent win rate 45% across 11 finalized games. Balanced slate across the conference slate.

Opp Win %0.451

Moment of the Year · Washington University (St. Louis) · 2025

Won 49-0 vs Rhodes College

Week 2 of 2025. A statement margin. Recruiting boards re-rendered overnight.

Decisive Margin

From the Archive — Washington University (St. Louis)

2025: Won 41-29 at Carroll University (WI)

In 2025, the program won 41-29 at Carroll University (WI) — a tight road result that left the 12-point margin on the books.

The Bears eat tonight.