Now
Career arc
Bowls and playoffs: 4-1
2000MicronPC.com BowlW 38-30
2001Tangerine BowlL 19-34
2002Gator BowlW 28-6
2003Tangerine BowlW 56-26
2005Meineke Car Care BowlW 14-0Report card
Below the median offense — 35th percentile.
NC State, every completed season graded against the whole field, then averaged.
Offense
Each season is his team’s percentile among every team with that stat (the share it beat), averaged over his completed seasons here; a mid-season takeover year and the season in progress aren’t graded. Letters: A+ 90th percentile and up, A 80, B+ 70, B 60, B− 50, C+ 45, C 40, C− 30, D 15, F below.
Stats
Big games
The big-game ledger
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
4-5 against his rivals. Just 1-4 against Chan Gailey.
Signature games






Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
How he plays
Run/pass mix, by field position
Called about what the situation called for.
1,311 run and pass snaps at NC State, 2004–2006, his own games, one row per offensive coordinator. Each cell is how much more often he passed than the rest of FBS did in the same situation (field zone, down, distance, score, quarter, same season), in percentage points. Play-by-play starts in 2004, so his earlier seasons there aren’t in it.
Pass rate, stint by stint
Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next, against the FBS-wide average of 41% pass. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.
Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 449 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2004–2025.
Building the roster
Three numbers on how he actually stocks a roster, from signing day to draft day.
Roster ownership
Roster ownership
of his 2006 roster arrived on his watch — 20 of 20 players. Nobody is left from before he was hired.
This coach's entire tenure (2000-2006) predates 2021, when transfer-portal tracking begins in this database. Portal usage cannot be measured for this tenure at all -- this is not the same as '0% portal'.
“His own” means the player arrived while he was head coach; “inherited” means a predecessor brought him in.
Where he recruits
is his biggest recruiting state: 17 of 50 signees (34%) across his 2001–2006 classes on record (his tenure ran 2000–2006), drawn from 10 states in all. Next: NC (15).
40% of his signees come from FL and its 2 border states (GA 2, AL 1).
- median hometown distance
- 563 mi
- within 100 mi
- 17%
- within 500 mi
- 33%
- beyond 1,000 mi
- 0%
The map counts signed recruits across his tenure; the distance figures cover his current roster, transfers and walk-ons included. Two different groups, kept separate on purpose.
The NFL pipeline
The NFL pipeline
players drafted into the NFL off his teams here. None can be traced to who brought them in — there’s no roster record for these players here. 5 went in the first round.
| Year | Pick | Player | Pos | NFL team | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | R3.18 | DeMarcus Tyler | Defensive Tackle | Kansas City Chiefs | Estimated |
| 2007 | R4.06 | A.J. Davis | Defensive Back | Detroit Lions | Estimated |
| 2007 | R4.16 | Leroy Harris | Center | Tennessee Titans | Estimated |
| 2006 | R1.01 | Mario Williams | Defensive End | Houston Texans | Estimated |
| 2006 | R1.22 | Manny Lawson | Defensive End | San Francisco 49ers | Estimated |
| 2006 | R1.26 | John McCargo | Defensive Tackle | Buffalo Bills | Estimated |
| 2006 | R4.19 | Stephen Tulloch | Linebacker | Tennessee Titans | Estimated |
| 2006 | R6.23 | Marcus Hudson | Defensive Back | San Francisco 49ers | Estimated |
| Year | Pick | Player | Pos | NFL team | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | R6.33 | T.J. Williams | Tight End | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Estimated |
| 2005 | R3.27 | Chris Colmer | Offensive Tackle | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Estimated |
| 2005 | R5.25 | Andre Maddox | Defensive Back | New York Jets | Estimated |
| 2005 | R6.20 | Pat Thomas | Linebacker | Jacksonville Jaguars | Estimated |
| 2004 | R1.04 | Philip Rivers | Quarterback | New York Giants | Estimated |
| 2004 | R3.21 | Sean Locklear | Offensive Guard | Seattle Seahawks | Estimated |
| 2004 | R4.12 | Jerricho Cotchery | Wide Receiver | New York Jets | Estimated |
| 2003 | R5.02 | Terrence Holt | Defensive Back | Detroit Lions | Estimated |
| 2003 | R7.01 | Scott Kooistra | Offensive Tackle | Cincinnati Bengals | Estimated |
| 2002 | R2.17 | Levar Fisher | Linebacker | Arizona Cardinals | Estimated |
| 2002 | R4.07 | Brian Williams | Defensive Back | Minnesota Vikings | Estimated |
| 2001 | R1.09 | Koren Robinson | Wide Receiver | Seattle Seahawks | Estimated |
| 2001 | R3.02 | Adrian Wilson | Defensive Back | Arizona Cardinals | Estimated |
A pick counts toward his tenure when the player’s final college season was one he coached, a checkable rule rather than a claim about who developed the player. A blank note means the player is on a verified roster and arrived on his watch. “Estimated” means no roster record, so the final season is assumed to be the year before the draft.
Career
Coaching career
The arc of his career is on Now.
Steady no large move in either direction on our stature ladder
2nd-best NC State tenure of 15 by the numbers.
Followed Mike O'Cain (1993–1999) · succeeded by Tom O'Brien (2007–2012).
| Season | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | ||||||||
| Record | 8-4 | 7-5 | 11-3 | 8-5 | 5-6 | 7-5 | 3-9 | |
| Postseason | W bowl | L bowl | W bowl | W bowl | — | W bowl | — | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | ||||||||
| Offense | — | — | — | — | 6 | 5 | 41 | |
| Defense | — | — | — | — | 100 | 84 | 62 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | ||||||||
| 1st-down pass% | — | — | — | — | 38.4 | 41.7 | 48.4 | |
| Red-zone pass% | — | — | — | — | 35.3 | 43.5 | 44.7 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | — | — | — | — | 30.3 | 27.6 | 22.5 | |
Was he good?
Only one of the usual three angles is measurable for this era — raised the program.
+9.7 pts at NC State · #224 of 1290 · top quarter
Kansas City Chiefs
Detroit Lions
Tennessee Titans
Houston Texans
San Francisco 49ers
Buffalo Bills
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New York Jets
Jacksonville Jaguars
New York Giants
Seattle Seahawks
Cincinnati Bengals
Arizona Cardinals
Minnesota Vikings
Seattle Seahawks