Now
Career arc
Bowls and playoffs: 3-1
2008Texas BowlW 38-14
2012Armed Forces BowlW 33-14
2013Liberty BowlL 7-44
2014Hawaii BowlW 30-6
Report card
Offense carries it: 56th percentile offense, bottom-quarter defense at 14th.
Rice, every completed season graded against the whole field, then averaged.
Offense
Defense
Each season is his team’s percentile among every team with that stat (the share it beat), averaged over his completed seasons here; a mid-season takeover year and the season in progress aren’t graded. Letters: A+ 90th percentile and up, A 80, B+ 70, B 60, B− 50, C+ 45, C 40, C− 30, D 15, F below.
Fans
No fan talk about him on our list yet. His record is on Career.
Stats
Big games
The big-game ledger
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
5-9 against his rivals. Winless in 4 tries against Art Briles.
ATS is his record against the spread: did his team beat the closing betting line, winning by more than it or losing by less? Lines start in 2013; a dash means fewer than 6 of those games had one. One-score games carry no spread record: a big favorite that wins a close game has almost always failed to cover, so that number would say nothing about the coach.
Signature games
These losses tie at the model's current max -- an editorial pick among a real tie, not a clean ranking.
Tags describe each game; they aren’t scores. The weighting that picks these games is still being tested.
How he plays
Run/pass mix, by field position
Ran more than the situation called for under Edmondson and Lynch.
7,483 run and pass snaps at Rice, 2007–2017, his own games, one row per offensive coordinator. Each cell is how much more often he passed than the rest of FBS did in the same situation (field zone, down, distance, score, quarter, same season), in percentage points.
Pass rate, stint by stint
Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next, against the FBS-wide average of 41% pass. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.
Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 449 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2004–2025.
Building the roster
Four numbers on how he actually stocks a roster, from signing day to draft day.
Roster ownership
Roster ownership
of his 2017 roster arrived on his watch — 97 of 97 players. Nobody is left from before he was hired.
This coach's entire tenure (2007-2017) predates 2021, when transfer-portal tracking begins in this database. Portal usage cannot be measured for this tenure at all -- this is not the same as '0% portal'.
“His own” means the player arrived while he was head coach; “inherited” means a predecessor brought him in.
Size up front
Size up front
Offensive linemen on his Rice rosters have averaged within a few pounds of the FBS average (2010–2017 rosters on record).
Average listed weight of every offensive lineman on each season’s roster, holdovers included, against every FBS roster that season (2010 on; a program needs 3+ seasons under him to appear). Weights are the ones programs publish, and programs list differently. This describes size only — not scheme, and not quality.
Where he recruits
is his biggest recruiting state: 182 of 205 signees (89%) across his 2007–2017 tenure, drawn from 17 states in all. Next: OK (4).
92% of his signees come from TX and its 4 border states (OK 4, LA 2).
Off this map: 5 signees to the east (GA 2, AL, others), 4 to the north (MI, MN, others) and 3 to the west (AK, AZ, others).
- median hometown distance
- 141 mi
- within 100 mi
- 48%
- within 500 mi
- 90%
- beyond 1,000 mi
- 1%
The map counts signed recruits across his tenure; the distance figures cover his current roster, transfers and walk-ons included. Two different groups, kept separate on purpose.
The NFL pipeline
The NFL pipeline
players drafted into the NFL off his teams here. He brought in 2 of them himself. 6 more can’t be traced to who brought them in (no roster record).
| Year | Pick | Player | Pos | NFL team | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | R6.40 | Christian Covington | Defensive Tackle |  Houston Texans | |
| 2014 | R3.23 | Phillip Gaines | Cornerback |  Kansas City Chiefs | |
| 2013 | R2.23 | Vance McDonald | Tight End |  San Francisco 49ers | Estimated |
| 2013 | R5.25 | Luke Willson | Tight End |  Seattle Seahawks | Estimated |
| 2012 | R7.04 | Scott Solomon | Defensive End |  Tennessee Titans | Estimated |
| 2011 | R7.51 | Cheta Ozougwu | Defensive End | Houston Texans | Estimated |
| 2009 | R5.08 | Jarett Dillard | Wide Receiver |  Jacksonville Jaguars | Estimated |
| 2009 | R5.16 | James Casey | Tight End | Houston Texans | Estimated |
A pick counts toward his tenure when the player’s final college season was one he coached, a checkable rule rather than a claim about who developed the player. A blank note means the player is on a verified roster and arrived on his watch. “Estimated” means no roster record, so the final season is assumed to be the year before the draft.
News
No outlet on our list has written about him by name yet. His record is on Career.
Career
Coaching career
The arc of his career is on Now.
Steady no large move in either direction on our stature ladder
8th-best Rice tenure of 16 by the numbers.
Followed Todd Graham (2006) · succeeded by Mike Bloomgren (2018–2024).
| Season | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | ||||||||||||
| Record | 3-9 | 10-3 | 2-10 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 7-6 | 10-4 | 8-5 | 5-7 | 3-9 | 1-11 | |
| Postseason | — | W bowl | — | — | — | W bowl | L bowl | W bowl | — | — | — | |
| Coordinators | ||||||||||||
| OC | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Larry Edmondson / Billy Lynch | Larry Edmondson / Billy Lynch | Larry Edmondson / Billy Lynch | Billy Lynch | |
| DC | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | Chris Thurmond | Chris Thurmond | Chris Thurmond | Brian Stewart | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | ||||||||||||
| Offense | 22 | 90 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 75 | 47 | 64 | 39 | 27 | 20 | |
| Defense | 16 | 30 | 8 | 5 | 83 | 22 | 57 | 47 | 2 | 6 | 6 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script | ||||||||||||
| 1st-down pass% | 49.3 | 57.3 | 42.7 | 27.7 | 36.4 | 38.4 | 33.5 | 28.4 | 32.6 | 44.4 | 26.5 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 52.5 | 53.9 | 46.2 | 41.2 | 44.3 | 34.2 | 29.5 | 25.0 | 37.8 | 31.5 | 22.0 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 27.8 | 32.1 | 35.3 | 24.3 | 17.2 | 17.8 | 22.2 | 23.7 | 25.0 | 31.0 | 48.0 | |
Underperforms his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.
All-time wins
Wins at programs this site tracks, 1936–present — one consistent count for every coach, not each program’s own historically reported total.
2nd all-time at Rice
Was he good?
A mixed record — ahead of expectations by some measures here, behind by others. The honest read is that it depends which lens you use.
+7.0 pts at Rice · #315 of 1290 · top quarterModel fit as of 2026-09-04.