CFB Zeitgeist Score
17
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 99th percentile.
Aidan Leffler
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
0 PASS YDS · 0 PASS TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to Ball State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Quarterback · Ball State
Returning around him
- 8% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- Transfer portal: +6 net (24 in / 18 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Ball State · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #115 · 2026 recruiting class #119
QB · BALL STATE · MID-AMERICAN
Aidan Leffler
- 3
- #15
- 6-1 | 209 lb
- Indianapolis, IN
Heisman Heat
#2132
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
Ball State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Aidan Leffler
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Aidan Leffler
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Scenario Explorer
Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.
What we can say about this player
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Aidan Leffler's page is mostly roster and pedigree right now — there isn't measurable current-season production on file for Ball State yet. As box scores and snaps land, the on-field story fills in here.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
ATT
1 7th
Passing Production
TD
0 30th
INT
0 100th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 1 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 7 | L 0-42@ Western Michigan | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | Season-high 0 yds |
| Total | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2025Ball State4-8HC: Mike Uremovich · Run-heavy, slow tempo
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Ball State | -- | 1 | 0.0% | -- | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -- | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | -- | 1 | 0.0% | -- | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -- | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Pass TD | 0 | #285/407 | 30th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 2.0% | #396/428 | 8th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 1 | #378/407 | 7th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 0 | #1/407 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 7.7% | #332/428 | 23rd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 3.6% | #365/428 | 15th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 3.2% | #364/428 | 15th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 0.0% | #400/428 | 7th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 0.0% | #396/428 | 8th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 0.0% | #394/428 | 8th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #391/428 | 9th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 1 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road1g | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Losses1g | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-71g | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
17Below cohort
Elite: interceptions (99th). Concern: completion % (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Aidan LefflerBall StateNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 51% simRyan BrownePurdue· 49% simAvery JohnsonKansas State· 47% sim
Interceptions
Pass yards
Pass TDs
Yards / att
Completion %
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Mike Uremovich
Pass share
38.2%
277 pass / 449 run
Plays / game
60.5
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
19.6%
265 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy, slow tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
Mike Uremovich
Ball State
Played his entire career under Mike Uremovich.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownIndianapolis, IN
Height6'1"
Weight209 lb
Class3
PositionQB
Jersey15
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamBall State
ConferenceMid-American
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Ball State | QB3 | #2132 | #2603 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2023 | Ball State | QB3 | #2295 | #2415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2022 | Ball State | QB3 | #2312 | #2476 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mid-American |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Ball State | Mid-American | QB | 3 | No. 15 | 6-1 | 209 lb | Indianapolis, IN |
| 2024 | Ball State | Mid-American | QB | 3 | No. 15 | 6-1 | 209 lb | Indianapolis, IN |
| 2023 | Ball State | Mid-American | QB | 3 | No. 15 | 6-1 | 209 lb | Indianapolis, IN |
| 2022 | Ball State | Mid-American | QB | 3 | No. 15 | 6-1 | 209 lb | Indianapolis, IN |