cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Caleb Hood /North Carolina

Caleb Hood

RB · North Carolina · Sr · #4

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

44 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD · 16 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to North Carolina for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to North Carolina for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Running back · North Carolina

Returning around him

  • 16% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -11 net (20 in / 31 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

North Carolina · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #31 · 2026 recruiting class #41

RB · NORTH CAROLINA · ACC

Caleb Hood

  • 4
  • #4
  • 6-0 | 220 lb
  • Rockingham, NC

CFB Zeitgeist Score

6

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 13th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2007

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2021–2025
97.02021
2502022
43.02023
44.02025

-55%

Sharp dropoff (-55%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#702 national
CFB
College
North Carolina
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey4
Measurements6-0 | 220 lb
HometownRockingham, NC
Primary teamNorth Carolina

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 702 recruit
Composite rating 0.8689 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2021
Origin Richmond Rockingham, NC, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8689 No. 702 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2007Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2076Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8689

#702 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Caleb Hood

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Caleb Hood

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 5g
44Rush yards
16Carries
1Rush TDs
Per game
8.8Rush yards
3Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
114.4Rush yards
42Carries
3Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 44): needs 88.2/game over remaining 8.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 44): needs 119.5/game over remaining 8.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 44): needs 182/game over remaining 8.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1.1/game over remaining 8.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1.8/game over remaining 8.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.4/game over remaining 8.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Caleb Hood's story is about how role and output meet each other. For North Carolina, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2007 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 12.9% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 73 44 rush | 29 rec | #538/735 (27th pct)
Rush TD 1 16 carries | #323/739 (56th pct)
Yards/carry 2.8 Per-rush efficiency | #653/735 (11th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
16 36th
YDS
44 27th
YPC
2.8 11th
TD
1 56th

Receiving

REC
6 47th
YDS
29 37th
YPR
4.8 22nd
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 5 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 14-48vs TCU10313.119Season-high 31 yds
Wk 2W 20-3@ Charlotte5153.007
Wk 4L 9-34@ UCF
Wk 6L 10-38vs Clemson1-2-2.000
Wk 8L 18-21@ California
Total16441.419
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021North Carolina6-6HC: Mack Brown · Run-leaning
2022North Carolina9-5HC: Mack Brown · Balanced
2023North Carolina8-5HC: Mack Brown · Balanced
2025North Carolina4-8HC: Bill Belichick · Balanced, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025North Carolina16442.81--
2023North Carolina15432.91--
2022North Carolina432505.80--
2021North Carolina22974.41--
Career4 loaded seasons964344.53--
SeasonTeam
2025North Carolina6294.80--
2023North Carolina199.00--
2022North Carolina131199.21--
2021North Carolina----------
Career4 loaded seasons201577.81--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 6 29 rec yds | #291/552 (47th pct)
Usage 12.9% 18.5% rush share | #227/738 (69th pct)
Rushing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 44 #538/735 27th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 1 #323/739 56th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 2.8 #653/735 11th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 6 #291/552 47th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 29 #347/548 37th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Role share 12.9% #227/738 69th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 16 #475/739 36th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 9 #583/733 21st pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 15 #296/540 45th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 4.8 #428/548 22nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 18.5% #281/738 62nd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 14.7% #234/738 68th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 14.0% #210/738 72nd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 14.0% #88/738 88th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 12.4% #288/738 61st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 10.8% #178/738 76th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 7.3% #72/738 90th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 5 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home2g14.50.60.5
Road3g5.03.00.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins1g15.03.00.0
Losses4g7.20.60.2

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-74g11.01.40.2
Weeks 8+1g

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

6Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: carries (0th).

Receptions#253 / 338 · 23rd pct
6rece
Rec yards#282 / 338 · 17th pct
29rece
Rush TDs#284 / 349 · 13th pct
1rush
Yards / carry#349 / 349 · 0th pct
2.8rush
Rush yards#350 / 349 · 0th pct
44rush
Long run#350 / 349 · 0th pct
9rush
Carries#350 / 349 · 0th pct
16rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Caleb HoodNorth CarolinaTae MeadowsTroy· 46% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 45% simJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 43% sim
Receptions
23
Hood
45
Meadows
32
Wright
2
Brunson
Rec yards
17
Hood
38
Meadows
10
Wright
3
Brunson
Rush TDs
13
Hood
72
Meadows
62
Wright
50
Brunson
Yards / carry
0
Hood
29
Meadows
33
Wright
41
Brunson
Rush yards
0
Hood
74
Meadows
84
Wright
80
Brunson
Long run
0
Hood
53
Meadows
49
Wright
73
Brunson
Carries
0
Hood
84
Meadows
92
Wright
85
Brunson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Bill Belichick

Pass share

51.1%

355 pass / 340 run

Plays / game

57.9

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.4%

262 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Mack Brown
North Carolina
2022
Mack Brown
North Carolina
2023
Mack Brown
North Carolina
2025
Bill Belichick
North Carolina
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Mack Brown → Bill Belichick. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownRockingham, NC
Height6'0"
Weight220 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey4

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 North Carolina RB4 #2007 #2076 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 North Carolina RB4 #1350 #1189 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC
2022 North Carolina RB4 #724 #683 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC
2021 North Carolina RB4 #1260 #1192 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 North Carolina ACC RB 4 No. 4 | 6-0 | 220 lb | Rockingham, NC
2024 North Carolina ACC RB 4 No. 4 | 6-0 | 220 lb | Rockingham, NC
2023 North Carolina ACC RB 4 No. 4 | 6-0 | 220 lb | Rockingham, NC
2022 North Carolina ACC RB 4 No. 4 | 6-0 | 220 lb | Rockingham, NC
2021 North Carolina ACC RB 4 No. 4 | 6-0 | 220 lb | Rockingham, NC