#86

Dalton Kincaid

Former tight end at Utah. 2022: 70 catches, 890 receiving yards, 8 TD.

TE · Utah · Sr. · #86

6′4″ · 240 lb · Las Vegas, NV

CFB Index 92 · #3 of 132 TEsMedium-low confidenceAll-Conf 1st teamBuffalo — drafted 2023, Rd 1, Pick 26, #25 overall

The story

Former tight end at Utah. 2022: 70 catches, 890 receiving yards, 8 TD.

Drafted round 1 by the Buffalo in 2023.

His career, year by year

How it ended

Three seasons at Utah, 1,414 receiving yards, a first-team All-Conference season (2022) — drafted at #25 overall by Buffalo.

His career

Nobody recruited him. He earned the honors anyway.

The week the volume broke through — put up 234 yds vs USC.USC · W 43-422022

202212 games

All-Pac-12First Team

2023

Drafted by Buffaloround 1, pick 25

Career arc

Recruit

—

No recruit profile

CFB

College

Utah

2020–2022

NFL

NFL Draft

R1 · #25

Buffalo · 2023

Trophy case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 honor

🥈

ALL-PAC-12 · 1ST TEAM

All-Pac-12 1st team (2022)

Coaching lineage · 2020–2022

1 coach

2020–2022

Kyle Whittingham

Utah

Played his entire career under Kyle Whittingham.

Where He Ended Up · NFL

BuffaloEntering 4th NFL season

#25Rd 1 · Pick 26

BuffaloEntering 4th NFL season

View college career stats ↓

2022 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

3 seasons under Kyle Whittingham, all run-leaning offenses — 23-10 over that span.

2020Utah3-2HC: Kyle Whittingham · Run-leaning

2021Utah10-4HC: Kyle Whittingham · Run-leaning

2022Utah10-4HC: Kyle Whittingham · Run-leaning

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

92All-America level #3 of 132?

Medium-low confidence10 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: receptions (100th percentile). Strength: rec yards (98th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Catch rate#137 / 636 · 79th pct

87.7%

EPA / target#156 / 636 · 76th pct

0.89

TD rate#222 / 636 · 65th pct

8.2%

Explosive rate#256 / 636 · 60th pct

15.1%

Yards / catch#260 / 636 · 59th pct

12.7

Box-score rates (5)

Receptions#1 / 158 · 100th pct

Rec yards#3 / 158 · 98th pct

890

Rec TDs#2 / 158 · 98th pct

Yards / catch#44 / 158 · 72nd pct

12.7

Long catch#68 / 158 · 56th pct

Season trend

Last seasonThis season

EPA / target

95th → 76th percentile

Explosive rate

90th → 60th percentile

Catch rate

92nd → 79th percentile

TD rate

99th → 65th percentile

Yards / catch

73rd → 59th percentile

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2022 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	REC/g	YDS/g	YPR	TD/g
Home5g	6.6	86.2	11.4	0.8
Road7g	5.3	65.6	13.6	0.6

First half vs Second half

	REC/g	YDS/g	YPR	TD/g
Weeks 1-77g	5.6	79.7	13.7	0.9
Weeks 8+5g	6.2	66.4	11.2	0.4

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Morgan Scalley

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2022

All-Conference 1st team

First team in his league at the position.

our read the All-Conference 1st team honor is earned — and the box score backs it up emphatically: #3 of 132 FBS tight ends by CFB Index Score.2022 profile

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

92 · #3 of 132 TEs

Career stats

Season	Team
2022	Utah	70	890	12.7	8	--
2021	Utah	36	510	14.2	8	--
2020	Utah	1	14	14.0	0	--
Career		107	1,414	13.2	16	--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 7 · 2022

W 43–42

vs USC

16 rec · 234 yds · 1 TD

Edged out USC at home in a shootout.

With C. Rising — 415 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT · QBR 92.5 · 60 rush yds (11 car) · 3 TD · D. Vele — 9 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT · QBR 99.0

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 7 · USC · 3&6 · Q1 · EPA +3.16Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 23 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST down
Week 6 · UCLA · 3&10 · Q2 · EPA +3.07Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 18 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST down
Week 6 · UCLA · 3&7 · Q3 · EPA +2.99Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 16 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST down
Week 4 · Arizona State · 4&1 · Q1 · EPA +2.87Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 6 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)
Week 12 · Oregon · 4&10 · Q2 · EPA +2.82Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 15 yds to the Oregn 18 for a 1ST down
Week 7 · USC · 3&10 · Q4 · EPA +2.81Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 12 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST down
Week 4 · Arizona State · 1&10 · Q1 · EPA +2.79Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 29 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)
Week 13 · Colorado · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA +2.79Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 29 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)
Week 11 · Stanford · 4&7 · Q2 · EPA +2.51Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 12 yds to the Stanf 22 for a 1ST down
Week 4 · Arizona State · 3&12 · Q2 · EPA +2.46Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 17 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST down

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2022 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	REC	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG	Note
Wk 1	L 26-29@ Florida	2	29	14.5	0	20
Wk 2	W 73-7vs Southern Utah	7	107	15.3	2	37	2 TD catches
Wk 3	W 35-7vs San Diego State	3	38	12.7	0	25
Wk 4	W 34-13@ Arizona State	4	66	16.5	2	29	2 TD catches
Wk 5	W 42-16vs Oregon State	3	17	5.7	1	8
Wk 6	L 32-42@ UCLA	4	67	16.8	0	21
Wk 7	W 43-42vs USC	16	234	14.6	1	30	Season-high 234 yds
Wk 9	W 21-17@ Washington State	7	56	8.0	1	15
Wk 11	W 42-7vs Stanford	4	35	8.8	0	13
Wk 12	L 17-20@ Oregon	11	99	9.0	0	16
Wk 13	W 63-21@ Colorado	5	102	20.4	1	33
Wk 14	W 47-24@ USC	4	40	10.0	0	12
Total		70	890	12.7	8	37

Stats from CFBD · ESPN · fan discourse. Every figure computed from source tables — not invented. Methodology

Dalton Kincaid

202212 games

2023

2022 snapshot

Splits & context

Awards

All-Conference 1st team

Career stats

Signature game

Signature plays

Game log

How he plays

DNA match

Complete TE

Players who play like Dalton Kincaid

Heisman trajectory

#145