cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Dean Patterson /Georgia Tech

Dean Patterson

WR · Georgia Tech · Sr · #11

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

150 REC YDS · 8 REC · 2 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Georgia Tech for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Georgia Tech for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Georgia Tech

Returning around him

  • 81% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • 2 Georgia Tech players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -1 net (19 in / 20 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Georgia Tech · Last season: 9-4 (AP #24) · Talent rank #39 · 2026 recruiting class #21

WR · GEORGIA TECH · ACC

Dean Patterson

  • 4
  • #11
  • 6-2 | 200 lb
  • Lutz, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

44

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 97th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4487

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

4 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2023

2021

Florida International · WR

2022

Florida International · WR

2023

Florida International · WR

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2025

Georgia Tech · WR

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2025
34.02021
2492022
4232023
1502025

+341%

Up 341% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey11
Measurements6-2 | 200 lb
HometownLutz, FL
Primary teamGeorgia Tech

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Georgia Tech 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 20, 2024
Season Move Context
2025 Florida International -> Georgia Tech 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4487Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4790Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Dean Patterson

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Dean Patterson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 5g
150Rec yards
8Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
30Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
390Rec yards
21Receptions
5Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 150): needs 68.8/game over remaining 8.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 150): needs 106.2/game over remaining 8.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 8): needs 6.5/game over remaining 8.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 8): needs 9/game over remaining 8.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 0.8/game over remaining 8.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 1/game over remaining 8.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Dean Patterson already has 2 loaded recognition items, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #4487 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 3.9% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 8 2 rec TD | #631/1110 (43rd pct)
Receiving yards 150 18.8 per catch | #537/1107 (52nd pct)
Scrimmage yards 150 Total offensive yardage | #537/1107 (52nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Big-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
8 43rd
YDS
150 52nd
YPR
18.8 92nd
TD
2 75th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 5 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 2W 59-12vs Gardner-Webb38729.0184Season-high 87 yds
Wk 3W 24-21vs Clemson166.006
Wk 7W 35-20vs Virginia Tech111.001
Wk 9W 41-16vs Syracuse13737.0137
BowlL 21-25@ BYU2199.5010
Total815016.5284
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Florida International1-11HC: Butch Davis · Balanced, slow tempo
2022Florida International4-8HC: Mike MacIntyre · Pass-leaning
2023Florida International4-8HC: Mike MacIntyre · Balanced
2025Georgia Tech9-4HC: Brent Key · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Georgia Tech815018.82--
2023Florida International2842315.11--
2022Florida International1624915.60--
2021Florida International33411.30--
Career4 loaded seasons5585615.63--
SeasonTeam
2025Georgia Tech----------
2023Florida International1124103--
2022Florida International315213--
2021Florida International----------
Career4 loaded seasons41645106--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 3.9% 8.8% pass-game share | #543/1137 (52nd pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 2 Across offense and returns | #281/1111 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 8 #631/1110 43rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 150 #537/1107 52nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #281/1111 75th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 18.8 #95/1106 92nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 8.8% #543/1137 52nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 84 #18/1105 98th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 4.4% #594/1137 48th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 4.3% #509/1137 55th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 4.0% #522/1137 54th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 3.9% #625/1137 45th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 3.7% #844/1137 26th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 2.6% #852/1137 25th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 5 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home4g1.532.818.20.5
Road1g2.019.09.50.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins4g1.532.818.20.5
Losses1g2.019.09.50.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-74g1.828.211.40.2
Weeks 8+1g1.037.037.01.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

44Mid-pack
5 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: long catch (97th). Strength: yards / catch (96th). Concern: receptions (0th).

Long catch#16 / 558 · 97th pct
84rece
Yards / catch#20 / 558 · 97th pct
18.8rece
Rec TDs#276 / 558 · 42nd pct
2rece
Rec yards#517 / 558 · 7th pct
150rece
Receptions#559 / 558 · 0th pct
8rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Dean PattersonGeorgia TechNik McMillanBuffalo· 41% simChris Dawn Jr.Texas State· 41% simHarrison Wallace IIIOle Miss· 41% sim
Long catch
97
Patterson
65
McMillan
96
Jr.
65
III
Yards / catch
97
Patterson
84
McMillan
80
Jr.
78
III
Rec TDs
42
Patterson
57
McMillan
68
Jr.
68
III
Rec yards
7
Patterson
96
McMillan
96
Jr.
94
III
Receptions
0
Patterson
90
McMillan
93
Jr.
90
III

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Brent Key

Pass share

46.1%

391 pass / 457 run

Plays / game

65.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.0%

221 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Geoff Collins
Georgia Tech
2022
Brent Key
Georgia Tech
era →
2023
Brent Key
Georgia Tech
2025
Brent Key
Georgia Tech

Coaching transition mid-career: Geoff Collins → Brent Key. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownLutz, FL
Height6'2"
Weight200 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey11

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

2 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2024)

All-Conference USA

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

2 all-conference honors

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2024 All-Conference USA all_conference Conference USA WR
2023 All-Conference USA all_conference Conference USA RET

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Florida International WR4 #4487 #4790 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA
2023 Florida International WR4 #2696 #3612 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Conference USA
2022 Florida International WR4 #2943 #3653 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA
2021 Florida International WR4 #4418 #4923 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA