CFB Zeitgeist QB Score
Awaiting
Deuce Hogan
Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.
QB · NEW MEXICO STATE · CONFERENCE USA
Deuce Hogan
- 4
- #2
- 6-4 | 220 lb
- Southlake, TX
Heisman Heat
#2157
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 0 · Not on teamR01 · Scout team / redshirt
Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2021–2022+850%
Up 850% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 3-star | 0.8867 | No. 441 recruit | HighSchool | Iowa |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Kentucky -> New Mexico State | 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate |
| 2022 | Iowa -> Kentucky | 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Iowa
Composite
0.8867
#441 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Deuce Hogan
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Deuce Hogan
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 2g
281Pass yards
1Pass TDs
2INT
Per game
140.5Pass yards
0Pass TDs
1INT
Projected (13g)
1,826Pass yards
6Pass TDs
13INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 281): needs 247.2/game over remaining 11.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 281): needs 338.1/game over remaining 11.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.2/game over remaining 11.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.6/game over remaining 11.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 1): needs 3.1/game over remaining 11.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Deuce Hogan's story is about how role and output meet each other. For New Mexico State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2022 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2022 season snapshot | final
2022 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Highly efficient | Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2022 Season · Final
2022 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
6 24th
ATT
7 24th
CMP%
85.7% 94th
Y/A
2.7 4th
Passing Production
YDS
19 10th
TD
0 30th
INT
0 100th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 2 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 20-38@ Troy | 21/27 | 184 | 1 | 1 | 6.8 | -- | Season-high 184 yds |
| Wk 4 | L 3-35@ Texas State | 15/21 | 97 | 0 | 1 | 4.6 | -- | |
| Total | 36/48 | 281 | 1 | 2 | 5.7 | — |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Iowa10-3HC: Kirk Ferentz · Run-leaning
2022Kentucky7-6HC: Mark Stoops · Run-leaning, slow tempo
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 19 | #344/382 | 10th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 0 | #285/407 | 30th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 6 | #291/383 | 24th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 85.7% | #24/383 | 94th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 2.7 | #366/382 | 4th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 1.3% | #417/428 | 3rd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 7 | #309/407 | 24th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 0 | #1/407 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 3.3% | #362/428 | 16th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 3.2% | #372/428 | 13th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 2.5% | #388/428 | 10th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 0.0% | #400/428 | 7th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 0.0% | #400/428 | 7th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #391/428 | 9th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 0.0% | #415/428 | 3rd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 2 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road2g | 140 | 0.5 | 5.7 | 1.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Losses2g | 140 | 0.5 | 5.7 | 1.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-72g | 140 | 0.5 | 5.7 | 1.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Tony Sanchez
Pass share
57.4%
472 pass / 350 run
Plays / game
68.5
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
9.7%
359 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Pass-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2022
2 coaches2021
Doug Martin
New Mexico State
2022era →
Jerry Kill
New Mexico State
Coaching transition mid-career: Doug Martin → Jerry Kill. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownSouthlake, TX
Height6'4"
Weight220 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey2
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamNew Mexico State
ConferenceConference USA
Joined2024
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | New Mexico State | QB4 | #2157 | #2672 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Conference USA |
| 2023 | Kentucky | QB4 | #1094 | #883 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | SEC |
| 2022 | Kentucky | QB4 | #695 | #558 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | SEC |
| 2021 | Iowa | QB4 | #374 | #220 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big Ten |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | New Mexico State | Conference USA | QB | 4 | No. 2 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Southlake, TX |
| 2023 | Kentucky | SEC | QB | 4 | No. 2 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Southlake, TX |
| 2022 | Kentucky | SEC | QB | 4 | No. 2 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Southlake, TX |
| 2021 | Iowa | Big Ten | QB | 4 | No. 2 | 6-4 | 220 lb | Southlake, TX |