cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Dewayne Coleman /Army

Dewayne Coleman

QB · Army · Sr · #10

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

273 PASS YDS · 2 PASS TD · 297 RUSH YDS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Army for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Army for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Quarterback · Army

Returning around him

  • 25% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -2 net (0 in / 2 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Army · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #134 · 2026 recruiting class #130

QB · ARMY · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Dewayne Coleman

  • 4
  • #10
  • 5-10 | 200 lb
  • Selma, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

39

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / att at the 68th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#86

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2023–2025
-14.02023
1212024
2732025

-2050%

Sharp dropoff (-2050%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Army
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class4
Jersey10
Measurements5-10 | 200 lb
HometownSelma, TX
Primary teamArmy

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#86Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#54Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Dewayne Coleman

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "Kansas State enters Week 2 with the pressure turned all the way up. After barely"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Dewayne Coleman

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 6g
273Pass yards
2Pass TDs
2INT
Per game
45.5Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
591.5Pass yards
4Pass TDs
4INT

To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 273): needs 389.6/game over remaining 7.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 273): needs 532.4/game over remaining 7.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 2): needs 3.3/game over remaining 7.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 2): needs 4/game over remaining 7.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 2): needs 4.7/game over remaining 7.

Why this is a two-channel quarterback case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The unusual part of Dewayne Coleman's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For Army, he has 273 passing yards and 2 touchdown passes, but he also adds 297 rushing yards and 3 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.

Current place #86 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 28.5% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 273 2 TD | 2 INT | #212/382 (45th pct)
Completion rate 52.8% 19/36 completions | #297/383 (23rd pct)
Yards/attempt 7.6 Explosiveness through the air | #118/382 (69th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Dual-threat

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
19 42nd
ATT
36 46th
CMP%
52.8% 23rd
Y/A
7.6 69th

Passing Production

YDS
273 45th
TD
2 52nd
INT
2 52nd

Rushing

CAR
85 83rd
YDS
297 85th
YPC
3.5 59th
TD
3 77th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 6 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1L 27-30vs Tarleton State7/121290210.832.5Season-high 129 yds
Wk 4L 38-45vs North Texas6/11101209.281.9
Wk 5L 6-28@ East Carolina5/936004.05.2
Wk 6W 31-13@ UAB1/17007.07.4
Wk 7W 24-7vs Charlotte0/20000.04.0
BowlW 41-16vs UConn0/10000.057.4
Total19/36273225.231.4
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Army6-6HC: Jeff Monken · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2024Army12-2HC: Jeff Monken · Run-heavy
2025Army7-6HC: Jeff Monken · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Army193652.8%2737.622123.7----
2024Army111668.8%1217.610152.9----
2023Army11100.0%-14-14.000-17.6----
Career3 loaded seasons315358.5%3807.232129.8----
SeasonTeam
2025Army852973.53--
2024Army381363.61--
2023Army482.00--
Career3 loaded seasons1274413.54--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 297 3 rush TD | #61/408 (85th pct)
Usage 28.5% 62.3% pass share | 22.9% rush share | #188/428 (56th pct)
Passing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 273 #212/382 45th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 2 #198/407 52nd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 19 #225/383 42nd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 52.8% #297/383 23rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 7.6 #118/382 69th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 297 #61/408 85th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Usage Role share 28.5% #188/428 56th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 36 #221/407 46th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 2 #195/407 52nd pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 85 #72/408 83rd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 26 #127/391 68th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 3.5 #166/407 59th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 3 #94/408 77th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 62.3% #164/428 62nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 45.6% #166/428 61st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 35.4% #195/428 55th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 28.9% #186/428 57th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 22.9% #45/428 90th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 22.1% #191/428 56th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 20.2% #201/428 53rd pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.18 #103/140 27th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 61 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #69/258 74th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 6 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home4g57.50.55.00.5
Road2g21.50.05.50.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins3g2.30.02.30.0
Losses3g88.70.78.00.7

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-76g45.50.35.20.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

39Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interceptions (92nd). Concern: pass yards (0th).

Interceptions#8 / 183 · 92nd pct
2pass
Rush yards#55 / 183 · 70th pct
297rush
Yards / att#57 / 183 · 68th pct
7.6pass
Fumbles lost#32 / 174 · 66th pct
1fumb
Rush TDs#86 / 183 · 49th pct
3rush
Completion %#172 / 183 · 7th pct
52.8%pass
Pass TDs#176 / 183 · 3rd pct
2pass
Pass yards#184 / 183 · 0th pct
273pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.18Below (<p25) (n=72)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Dewayne ColemanArmyAvery JohnsonKansas State· 61% simRyan BrownePurdue· 57% simNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 56% sim
Interceptions
92
Coleman
56
Johnson
14
Browne
44
Vattiato
Rush yards
70
Coleman
80
Johnson
61
Browne
27
Vattiato
Yards / att
68
Coleman
46
Johnson
23
Browne
13
Vattiato
Fumbles lost
66
Coleman
66
Johnson
18
Browne
66
Vattiato
Rush TDs
49
Coleman
81
Johnson
59
Browne
39
Vattiato
Completion %
7
Coleman
33
Johnson
29
Browne
41
Vattiato
Pass TDs
3
Coleman
72
Johnson
33
Browne
64
Vattiato
Pass yards
0
Coleman
61
Johnson
56
Browne
57
Vattiato

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jeff Monken

Pass share

14.5%

125 pass / 740 run

Plays / game

66.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

3.8%

104 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Jeff Monken
Army
2024
Jeff Monken
Army
2025
Jeff Monken
Army

Played his entire career under Jeff Monken.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSelma, TX
Height5'10"
Weight200 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey10

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Army QB4 #86 #54 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 Army QB4 #975 #953 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | FBS Independents
2022 Army QB4 #1192 #1029 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | FBS Independents

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Army American Athletic QB 4 No. 10 | 5-10 | 200 lb | Selma, TX
2024 Army American Athletic QB 4 No. 10 | 5-10 | 200 lb | Selma, TX
2023 Army FBS Independents QB 4 No. 10 | 5-10 | 200 lb | Selma, TX
2022 Army FBS Independents QB 4 No. 10 | 5-10 | 200 lb | Selma, TX