Heisman / Players / Donny Marcus /Ball State

Donny Marcus

RB · Ball State · Jr · #20

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

ALUMNUSBall State 2022 alumnusAs of Jun 22, 2026

RB · BALL STATE · MID-AMERICAN

Donny Marcus

3
#20
5-11 | 195 lb
Brownsburg, IN

CFB Zeitgeist RB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#3975

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

—

CONSENSUS

All-American

—

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 0 · Not on team

R01 · Scout team / redshirt

Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2021–2022

40.02021

1.02022

-98%

Sharp dropoff (-98%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

Recruit

★★★

#1999 national

CFB

College

Ball State

2021–2022

NFL

NFL Draft

—

Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB

Class3

Jersey20

Measurements5-11 | 195 lb

HometownBrownsburg, IN

Primary teamBall State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1999 recruit

Composite rating 0.8259 HighSchool

Signed with Ball State 2020

Origin Brownsburg Brownsburg, IN, USA

Class	Profile	Context
2020	3-star \| 0.8259	No. 1999 recruit \| HighSchool \| Ball State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file

Latest destination -- --

Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context

Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD

Season	Move	Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2022 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 20

Current nowcast#3975Latest modeled ballot order

Season forecast#4108Where the full season sim points

Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy

Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier

Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot

Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP—

FWAA—

AFCA—

WCFF—

SN—

SI—

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Ball State

Composite

0.8259

#1999 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Donny Marcus's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Ball State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3975 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist

Role load 5.0% Overall usage share

Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2022 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2022 season snapshot | final

2022 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level

Scrimmage yards 1 1 rush | -- rec | #722/735 (2nd pct)

Rush TD 0 3 carries | #447/739 (40th pct)

Yards/carry 0.3 Per-rush efficiency | #729/735 (1st pct)

Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

Rushing

CAR

3 14th

YDS

1 2nd

YPC

0.3 1st

0 40th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 1 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG	Note
Wk 1	L 13-59@ UConn	9	12	1.3	0	8	Season-high 12 yds
Total		9	12	1.3	0	8

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Ball State6-6HC: Mike Neu · Balanced

2022Ball State5-7HC: Mike Neu · Balanced

Season	Team
2022	Ball State	3	1	0.3	--
2021	Ball State	17	40	2.4	--
Career	2 loaded seasons	20	41	2.0	--

Season	Team
2022	Ball State	--	--	--	--	--
2021	Ball State	3	10	3.3	0	--
Career	2 loaded seasons	3	10	3.3	0	--

Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context

Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work -- -- rec yds

Usage 5.0% 8.7% rush share | #539/738 (27th pct)

Rushing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading

Open full stat explorer

Group	Metric	Value	Rank	Pct	Why it matters
Rushing	Rushing yards	1	#722/735	2nd pct	Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing	Rush TD	0	#447/739	40th pct	Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing	Yards / carry	0.3	#729/735	1st pct	Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Usage	Role share	5.0%	#539/738	27th pct	Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing	Carries	3	#640/739	14th pct	Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing	Rushing LONG	3	#695/733	5th pct	Metricvs FBS RB
Usage	Rush share	8.7%	#528/738	29th pct	Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage	2nd-down usage	7.0%	#471/738	36th pct	Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage	Passing-down usage	6.7%	#365/738	51st pct	Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage	1st-down usage	4.4%	#577/738	22nd pct	Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage	Standard-down usage	4.2%	#599/738	19th pct	Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage	3rd-down usage	3.5%	#526/738	29th pct	Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage	Pass share	1.8%	#419/738	43rd pct	Air-game usagevs FBS RB

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

Status—Awaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 1 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	YPC	TD/g
Road1g	12.0	1.3	0.0

Win vs Loss

	YDS/g	YPC	TD/g
Losses1g	12.0	1.3	0.0

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	YPC	TD/g
Weeks 1-71g	12.0	1.3	0.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

EPA / dropback—

awaiting

CPOE—

awaiting

Success rate—

awaiting

Explosive rate (20+)—

awaiting

aDOT—

awaiting

Deep-ball accuracy—

awaiting

Pressure-to-sack—

awaiting

3rd-down EPA—

awaiting

Red-zone TD rate—

awaiting

Play-action EPA—

awaiting

Scramble EPA—

awaiting

Turnover-worthy play rate—

awaiting

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Mike Uremovich

Pass share

38.2%

277 pass / 449 run

Plays / game

60.5

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

19.6%

265 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2022

1 coach

2021

Mike Neu

Ball State

2022

Mike Neu

Ball State

Played his entire career under Mike Neu.

HometownBrownsburg, IN

Height5'11"

Weight195 lb

Class3

PositionRB

Jersey20

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season	Honor	Scope	Team / Selector	Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season	Team	Role	Latest Model	Forecast	Win	Finalist	Official Finish	Points	Context
2022	Ball State	RB3	#3975	#4108	0.0%	0.0%	--	--	W20 snapshot \| Mid-American
2021	Ball State	RB3	#3401	#3757	0.0%	0.0%	--	--	W20 snapshot \| Mid-American

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season	Team	Conference	Pos	Class	Bio
2022	Ball State	Mid-American	RB	3	No. 20 \| 5-11 \| 195 lb \| Brownsburg, IN
2021	Ball State	Mid-American	RB	3	No. 20 \| 5-11 \| 195 lb \| Brownsburg, IN

Donny Marcus

R01 · Scout team / redshirt

-98%

Identity & Role

Recruiting Pedigree

Transfer Arc

Heisman Lens · 2022 Season · Final

The Room on Donny Marcus

How rival fanbases talk about Donny Marcus

Awaiting candidate metric

What made this player interesting

2022 Season · Final

RB season snapshot

What kind of player is this?

2022 Season · Final

Traditional Stats

Advanced Metrics

Player Standing

Percentile Card

Advanced Savant

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Trophy Case · Detail

No formal honors on the ledger yet

Honors Timeline

Heisman By Year

Roster Timeline