cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Dylan Sampson /Tennessee

Dylan Sampson

RB · Tennessee · Jr · #6

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

NOW IN NFLCleveland — drafted 2025, Rd 4, Pick 24, #126 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

ClevelandEntering 2nd NFL season

#126Rd 4 · Pick 24
ClevelandEntering 2nd NFL season

RB · TENNESSEE · SEC

Dylan Sampson

  • 3
  • #6
  • 5-11 | 201 lb
  • Baton Rouge, LA

CFB Zeitgeist RB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#29

0.9% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

0.9%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2022–2024
3972022
6032023
1,4912024

+276%

Up 276% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#444 national
CFB
College
Tennessee
2022–2024
NFL
NFL Draft
R4 · #126
Cleveland · 2025

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class3
Jersey6
Measurements5-11 | 201 lb
HometownBaton Rouge, LA
Primary teamTennessee

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 444 recruit
Composite rating 0.8881 HighSchool
Signed with Tennessee 2022
Origin Dutchtown Geismar, LA, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8881 No. 444 recruit | HighSchool | Tennessee

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#29Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#24Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.9%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability39.9%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Tennessee

Composite

0.8881

#444 national

NFL Draft

2025 · Rd 4, Pick 24

#126 overall · Cleveland

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Dylan Sampson

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Dylan Sampson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Dylan Sampson's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Tennessee, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #29 0.9% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 29.2% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc 4 return yds

2024 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2024 season snapshot | final

2024 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 1,634 1,491 rush | 143 rec | #4/735 (100th pct)
Rush TD 22 258 carries | #3/739 (100th pct)
Yards/carry 5.8 Per-rush efficiency | #139/735 (81st pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Workhorse | Efficient runner | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

WorkhorseEfficient runnerPassing-game back

2024 Season · Final

2024 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
258 100th
YDS
1,491 100th
YPC
5.8 81st
TD
22 100th

Receiving

REC
20 87th
YDS
143 82nd
YPR
7.2 55th
TD
0 70th

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Tennessee11-2HC: Josh Heupel · Run-leaning
2023Tennessee9-4HC: Josh Heupel · Run-leaning
2024Tennessee10-3HC: Josh Heupel · Run-heavy, fast tempo
SeasonTeam
2024Tennessee2581,4915.822--
2023Tennessee1066035.77--
2022Tennessee583976.86--
Career3 loaded seasons4222,4915.935--
SeasonTeam
2024Tennessee201437.20--
2023Tennessee1717510.31--
2022Tennessee3248.00--
Career3 loaded seasons403428.61--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 20 143 rec yds | #73/552 (87th pct)
Usage 29.2% 46.3% rush share | #14/738 (98th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.32 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #4/362 (99th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 1,491 #4/735 100th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 22 #3/739 100th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.8 #139/735 81st pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 20 #73/552 87th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 143 #98/548 82nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.32 #4/362 99th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 269 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 29.2% #14/738 98th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 258 #3/739 100th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 56 #127/733 83rd pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 21 #218/540 60th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 7.2 #250/548 55th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return avg 4.0 #193/199 4th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return yards 4 #193/200 4th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick returns 1 #139/206 33rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 46.3% #29/738 96th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 32.3% #21/738 97th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 31.7% #28/738 96th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 31.0% #16/738 98th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 21.6% #19/738 98th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 21.6% #14/738 98th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 5.5% #136/738 82nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 4 #254/256 1st pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Josh Heupel

Pass share

47.3%

437 pass / 486 run

Plays / game

71.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.4%

334 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2024

1 coach
2022
Josh Heupel
Tennessee
2023
Josh Heupel
Tennessee
2024
Josh Heupel
Tennessee

Played his entire career under Josh Heupel.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownBaton Rouge, LA
Height5'11"
Weight201 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey6

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Tennessee RB3 #29 #24 0.9% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Tennessee RB3 #168 #206 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC
2022 Tennessee RB3 #166 #127 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2024 Tennessee SEC RB 3 No. 6 | 5-11 | 201 lb | Baton Rouge, LA
2023 Tennessee SEC RB 3 No. 6 | 5-11 | 201 lb | Baton Rouge, LA
2022 Tennessee SEC RB 3 No. 6 | 5-11 | 201 lb | Baton Rouge, LA