cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jake Golday /Cincinnati

Jake Golday

LB · Cincinnati · Sr · #11

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

95 TACKLES · 3.5 SACKS

2026 NFL DRAFTDrafted by Minnesota — Rd 2, Pick 19, #51 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Minnesota2026 NFL rookie season

#51Rd 2 · Pick 19
Minnesota2026 NFL rookie season

LB · CINCINNATI · BIG 12

Jake Golday

  • 4
  • #11
  • 6-4 | 240 lb
  • Arlington, TN

CFB Zeitgeist Score

83

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 91st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#9121

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Cincinnati
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R2 &middot; #51
Minnesota &middot; 2026

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class4
Jersey11
Measurements6-4 | 240 lb
HometownArlington, TN
Primary teamCincinnati

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Cincinnati 2024
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Apr 16, 2024
Season Move Context
2024 Central Arkansas -> Cincinnati 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#9121Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#9456Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

NFL Draft

2026 · Rd 2, Pick 19

#51 overall · Minnesota

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jake Golday

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jake Golday

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
95Tackles
4Tackles for loss
3.5Sacks
Per game
8Tackles
0.3Tackles for loss
0.3Sacks
Projected (13g)
103Tackles
4.3Tackles for loss
3.8Sacks

✓ Hit 80-tackle season · finished with 95.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 95): needs 5/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 3.5): needs 2.5/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 3.5): needs 6.5/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jake Golday is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Cincinnati's defense, with 3.5 sacks, 4.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #9121 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 3.5 sacks | 4.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 95 36 solo | #65/4942 (99th pct)
TFL 4.0 Backfield disruption | #738/4972 (85th pct)
Sacks 3.5 Pass-rush finish | #233/4972 (95th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
95 99th
SOLO
36 93rd
TFL
4.0 85th
SACK
3.5 95th
QBH
2 66th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
3 76th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 17-20vs Nebraska1221.01.00
Wk 2W 34-20vs Bowling Green1481.01.00Season-high 14 tackles
Wk 3W 70-0vs Northwestern State200.00.00
Wk 5W 37-34@ Kansas850.00.00
Wk 6W 38-30vs Iowa State1261.01.01
Wk 7W 20-11vs UCF730.00.00
Wk 8W 49-17@ Oklahoma State630.00.00
Wk 9W 41-20vs Baylor610.50.51
Wk 10L 14-45@ Utah1240.00.00
Wk 12L 24-30vs Arizona1340.50.00
Wk 13L 14-26vs BYU000.00.01
Wk 14L 23-45@ TCU300.00.00
Total95364.03.53
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Cincinnati5-7HC: Scott Satterfield · Balanced
2025Cincinnati7-6HC: Scott Satterfield · Balanced, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Cincinnati95364.03.53----
2024Cincinnati57286.51.02----
Career2 loaded seasons1526410.54.55----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 3 Coverage disruption | #521/2184 (76th pct)
QB pressures 2 Quarterback hurries | #647/1878 (66th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 95 #65/4942 99th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 4.0 #738/4972 85th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 3.5 #233/4972 95th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 3 #521/2184 76th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 2 #647/1878 66th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 36 #322/4584 93rd pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home8g8.20.50.40.4
Road4g7.20.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins7g7.90.40.40.3
Losses5g8.00.30.20.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g9.20.50.50.2
Weeks 8+6g6.70.20.10.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

83All-Conference
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles (97th). Strength: sacks (91st).

Tackles#65 / 2975 · 98th pct
95defe
Sacks#233 / 2975 · 91st pct
3.5defe
Solo tackles#322 / 2975 · 89th pct
36defe
Passes defended#517 / 2975 · 78th pct
3defe
Tackles for loss#736 / 2975 · 73rd pct
4.0defe
QB hurries#634 / 2975 · 72nd pct
2defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Jake GoldayCincinnatiMarsel McDuffieUNLV· 93% simJordan PollardSan José State· 91% simGavin MoulDelaware· 91% sim
Tackles
98
Golday
99
McDuffie
99
Pollard
99
Moul
Sacks
91
Golday
80
McDuffie
85
Pollard
80
Moul
Solo tackles
89
Golday
99
McDuffie
99
Pollard
98
Moul
Passes defended
78
Golday
78
McDuffie
86
Pollard
78
Moul
Tackles for loss
73
Golday
83
McDuffie
77
Pollard
90
Moul
QB hurries
72
Golday
72
McDuffie
88
Pollard
72
Moul

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Every-Down Linebacker

Leads the team in tackles and rarely leaves the field.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jaheim Thomas’s 2023 season.

Jaheim Thomas

84%match

Arkansas · 2023

#2

Jack Gibbens

Minnesota · 2021

80%
#3

Alec Mock

Air Force · 2023

All-Mountain West
78%
#4

Cedric Gray

North Carolina · 2021

NFL Rd 4
76%
#5

Michael Moore

UAB · 2024

All-AAC
74%

Matches Jaheim on

Tackle volume
TFL rate
PD rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Cody Lindenberg's graduate season at Minnesota (2024).

Cody Lindenberg

82%match

Minnesota · 2024

All-Big TenNFL Rd 7
#2

Matt Jones

Baylor · 2024

78%
#3

Johnny Chaney Jr.

Florida International · 2025

All-Conference USA
76%
#4

Brandon George

Pittsburgh · 2024

72%
#5

Xavian Sorey Jr.

Arkansas · 2025

70%

Matches Cody on

Tackle volume
TFL rate
Sack rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Scott Satterfield

Pass share

47.8%

363 pass / 396 run

Plays / game

58.4

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

2.6%

266 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Scott Satterfield
Cincinnati
2025
Scott Satterfield
Cincinnati

Played his entire career under Scott Satterfield.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownArlington, TN
Height6'4"
Weight240 lb
Class4
PositionLB
Jersey11

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Cincinnati LB4 #9121 #9456 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Cincinnati Big 12 LB 4 No. 11 | 6-4 | 240 lb | Arlington, TN
2024 Cincinnati Big 12 LB 4 No. 11 | 6-4 | 240 lb | Arlington, TN