CFB Zeitgeist QB Score
Awaiting
Jake Rubley
Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.
QB · KANSAS STATE · BIG 12
CFB Zeitgeist QB Score
Awaiting
Heisman Heat
#708
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 1 · 2-deepBackup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2022–2023Sharp dropoff (-88%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 4-star | 0.9204 | No. 204 recruit | HighSchool | Kansas State |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Kansas State -> Illinois State | 3-star | Immediate |
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 19Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Kansas State
Composite
0.9204
#204 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Scenario Explorer
Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Jake Rubley's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Kansas State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2023 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Highly efficient | Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2023 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
Passing Production
Game Log
Week-by-week box
No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Kansas State | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 0 | 142.0 | -- | -- |
| 2022 | Kansas State | 4 | 5 | 80.0% | 42 | 8.4 | 0 | 1 | 110.6 | -- | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 5 | 6 | 83.3% | 47 | 7.8 | 0 | 1 | 115.8 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Kansas State | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 2022 | Kansas State | 6 | 2 | 0.3 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 6 | 2 | 0.3 | 0 | -- |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 5 | #379/382 | 1st pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 0 | #285/407 | 30th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 100.0% | #1/383 | 100th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 1 | #355/383 | 8th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 5.0 | #312/382 | 19th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 1 | #378/407 | 7th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 0 | #1/407 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits
Per-game splits
Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2023
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Chris Klieman
Pass share
46.4%
342 pass / 395 run
Plays / game
61.4
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
4.5%
288 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2023
1 coachPlayed his entire career under Chris Klieman.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Kansas State | QB2 | #708 | #547 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2022 | Kansas State | QB2 | #203 | #133 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2021 | Kansas State | QB2 | #1386 | #1142 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big 12 |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Kansas State | Big 12 | QB | 2 | No. 2 | 6-3 | 217 lb | Highlands Ranch, CO |
| 2022 | Kansas State | Big 12 | QB | 2 | No. 2 | 6-3 | 217 lb | Highlands Ranch, CO |
| 2021 | Kansas State | Big 12 | QB | 2 | No. 2 | 6-3 | 217 lb | Highlands Ranch, CO |