cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Makari Bodiford /Memphis

Makari Bodiford

RB · Memphis · So · #21

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

64 RUSH YDS · 3 RUSH TD · 22 CARRIES

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Memphis → Kansas State for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Kansas State

2025Memphis
2026Kansas State

RB · MEMPHIS · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Makari Bodiford

  • 2
  • #21
  • 5-11 | 222 lb
  • Marietta, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

8

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 38th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#986

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2024–2025
1062024
64.02025

-40%

Sharp dropoff (-40%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1503 national
CFB
College
Memphis
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class2
Jersey21
Measurements5-11 | 222 lb
HometownMarietta, GA
Primary teamMemphis

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1503 recruit
Composite rating 0.8522 HighSchool
Signed with Memphis 2024
Origin Walton Marietta, GA, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8522 No. 1503 recruit | HighSchool | Memphis

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Kansas State 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 21, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Memphis -> Kansas State 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#986Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1001Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Memphis

Composite

0.8522

#1503 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Makari Bodiford

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Makari Bodiford

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 4g
64Rush yards
22Carries
3Rush TDs
Per game
16Rush yards
6Carries
1Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
208Rush yards
72Carries
10Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 64): needs 76.2/game over remaining 9.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 64): needs 104/game over remaining 9.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 64): needs 159.6/game over remaining 9.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 0.8/game over remaining 9.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 1.3/game over remaining 9.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 1.9/game over remaining 9.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Makari Bodiford's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Memphis, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #986 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 6.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 64 64 rush | -- rec | #486/735 (34th pct)
Rush TD 3 22 carries | #204/739 (73rd pct)
Yards/carry 2.9 Per-rush efficiency | #643/735 (13th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
22 41st
YDS
64 34th
YPC
2.9 13th
TD
3 73rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 4 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 45-10vs Chattanooga331.006
Wk 2W 38-16@ Georgia State12423.529Season-high 42 yds
Wk 3W 28-7@ Troy6183.018
Wk 4W 32-31vs Arkansas111.001
Total22642.139
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Memphis11-2HC: Ryan Silverfield · Balanced, fast tempo
2025Memphis8-5HC: Ryan Silverfield · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Memphis22642.93--
2024Memphis151067.11--
Career2 loaded seasons371704.64--
SeasonTeam
2025Memphis----------
2024Memphis133.00--
Career2 loaded seasons133.00--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work -- -- rec yds
Usage 6.4% 11.2% rush share | #471/738 (36th pct)
Rushing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 64 #486/735 34th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 3 #204/739 73rd pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 2.9 #643/735 13th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 6.4% #471/738 36th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 22 #434/739 41st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 9 #583/733 21st pct Metricvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 11.2% #441/738 40th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 10.9% #173/738 77th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 8.5% #404/738 45th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 6.2% #493/738 33rd pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 3.5% #637/738 14th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 1.3% #636/738 14th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 0.0% #564/738 24th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 4 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home2g2.01.00.0
Road2g30.03.21.5

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins4g16.02.10.8

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-74g16.02.10.8

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

8Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: carries (0th).

Rush TDs#200 / 349 · 38th pct
3rush
Yards / carry#346 / 349 · 1st pct
2.9rush
Rush yards#350 / 349 · 0th pct
64rush
Long run#350 / 349 · 0th pct
9rush
Carries#350 / 349 · 0th pct
22rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Makari BodifordMemphisSeth McGowanKentucky· 42% simTae MeadowsTroy· 41% simAl-Jay HendersonBuffalo· 41% sim
Rush TDs
38
Bodiford
94
McGowan
72
Meadows
72
Henderson
Yards / carry
1
Bodiford
29
McGowan
29
Meadows
18
Henderson
Rush yards
0
Bodiford
76
McGowan
74
Meadows
79
Henderson
Long run
0
Bodiford
11
McGowan
53
Meadows
43
Henderson
Carries
0
Bodiford
85
McGowan
84
Meadows
90
Henderson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Ryan Silverfield

Pass share

46.9%

412 pass / 466 run

Plays / game

67.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

11.2%

285 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Ryan Silverfield
Memphis
2025
Ryan Silverfield
Memphis

Played his entire career under Ryan Silverfield.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMarietta, GA
Height5'11"
Weight222 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey21

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Memphis RB2 #986 #1001 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Memphis American Athletic RB 2 No. 21 | 5-11 | 222 lb | Marietta, GA
2024 Memphis American Athletic RB 2 No. 21 | 5-11 | 222 lb | Marietta, GA