cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Stanley McKenzie /California

Stanley McKenzie

DL · California · Sr · #94

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

12 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to California for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to California for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive line · California

Returning around him

  • 22% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 1 California player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -4 net (32 in / 36 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

California · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #36 · 2026 recruiting class #69

DL · CALIFORNIA · ACC

Stanley McKenzie

  • 4
  • #94
  • 6-2 | 335 lb
  • Honolulu, HI

CFB Zeitgeist Score

20

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by qb hurries at the 55th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#10729

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1103 national
CFB
College
California
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class4
Jersey94
Measurements6-2 | 335 lb
HometownHonolulu, HI
Primary teamCalifornia

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1103 recruit
Composite rating 0.8533 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2020
Origin St. Louis School Honolulu, HI, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8533 No. 1103 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#10729Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#10739Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8533

#1103 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Stanley McKenzie

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Stanley McKenzie

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
12Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
1Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
16Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 12): needs 22.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 12): needs 29.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 2/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 3.3/game over remaining 3.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Stanley McKenzie is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on California's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 0.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #10729 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 0.0 sacks | 0.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 12 2 solo | #2651/4942 (46th pct)
TFL 0.0 Backfield disruption | #3020/4972 (39th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
12 46th
SOLO
2 22nd
TFL
0.0 39th
SACK
0.0 65th
QBH
1 44th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 34-15@ Oregon State200.00.00Season-high 2 tackles
Wk 2W 35-3vs Texas Southern000.00.00
Wk 3W 27-14vs Minnesota210.00.00
Wk 4L 0-34@ San Diego State100.00.00
Wk 5W 28-24@ Boston College100.00.00
Wk 9L 34-42@ Virginia Tech200.00.00
Wk 10L 21-31vs Virginia100.00.00
Wk 11W 29-26@ Louisville110.00.00
Wk 13L 10-31@ Stanford100.00.00
BowlL 31-35@ Hawai'i100.00.00
Total1220.00.00
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021California5-7HC: Justin Wilcox · Balanced
2023California6-7HC: Justin Wilcox · Run-leaning
2024California6-7HC: Justin Wilcox · Balanced
2025California7-6HC: Justin Wilcox · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025California1220.00.0------
2024California1450.00.01----
2023California940.00.0------
2021California2--0.00.0------
Career4 loaded seasons37110.00.01----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 1 Quarterback hurries | #1051/1878 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 12 #2651/4942 46th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 0.0 #3020/4972 39th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 1 #1051/1878 44th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 2 #3597/4584 22nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home3g1.00.00.00.0
Road7g1.30.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins5g1.20.00.00.0
Losses5g1.20.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g1.20.00.00.0
Weeks 8+4g1.20.00.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

20Below cohort
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: solo tackles (0th).

QB hurries#1007 / 2975 · 55th pct
1defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe
Tackles#2651 / 2975 · 9th pct
12defe
Tackles for loss#2548 / 2975 · 7th pct
0.0defe
Solo tackles#2951 / 2975 · 1st pct
2defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Stanley McKenzieCaliforniaBlake FletcherAir Force· 41% simTyler MartinMassachusetts· 40% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 33% sim
QB hurries
55
McKenzie
92
Fletcher
22
Martin
22
Ra-El
Sacks
24
McKenzie
24
Fletcher
24
Martin
24
Ra-El
Passes defended
18
McKenzie
67
Fletcher
67
Martin
91
Ra-El
Tackles
9
McKenzie
99
Fletcher
98
Martin
99
Ra-El
Tackles for loss
7
McKenzie
28
Fletcher
63
Martin
56
Ra-El
Solo tackles
1
McKenzie
91
Fletcher
87
Martin
100
Ra-El

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Nose Anchor

Two-gap space-eater who occupies blockers and frees the linebackers.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Logan Sagapolu’s 2024 season.

Logan Sagapolu

94%match

Washington · 2024

#2

Kobe Pepe

USC · 2024

92%
#3

Tyrone Truesdell

Florida · 2021

90%
#4

Ben Roberts

Michigan State · 2025

88%
#5

Dontay Corleone

Cincinnati · 2025

All-Big 12
88%

Matches Logan on

TFL rate
Sack rate
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Dontay Corleone's senior season at Cincinnati (2025).

Dontay Corleone

91%match

Cincinnati · 2025

All-Big 12
#2

Devin Phillips

Kansas · 2023

90%
#3

Sio Nofoagatoto'a

Arizona · 2023

89%
#4

Joshua Harris

Ole Miss · 2023

79%
#5

Tymon Mitchell

TCU · 2023

77%

Matches Dontay on

Class year
Sack rate
TFL rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Justin Wilcox

Pass share

57.0%

502 pass / 379 run

Plays / game

67.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.2%

353 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

1 coach
2021
Justin Wilcox
California
2023
Justin Wilcox
California
2024
Justin Wilcox
California
2025
Justin Wilcox
California

Played his entire career under Justin Wilcox.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownHonolulu, HI
Height6'2"
Weight335 lb
Class4
PositionDL
Jersey94

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 California DL4 #10729 #10739 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 California DL4 #12915 #12861 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12
2021 California DL4 #11935 #11903 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 California ACC DL 4 No. 94 | 6-2 | 335 lb | Honolulu, HI
2024 California ACC DL 4 No. 94 | 6-2 | 335 lb | Honolulu, HI
2023 California Pac-12 DL 4 No. 94 | 6-2 | 335 lb | Honolulu, HI
2021 California Pac-12 DL 4 No. 94 | 6-2 | 335 lb | Honolulu, HI