CFB Zeitgeist Score
18
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 24th percentile.
Terrance Shelton Jr.
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
244 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD · 57 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Buffalo for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Buffalo
Returning around him
- 66% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 1 Buffalo player drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: +0 net (16 in / 16 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Buffalo · Last season: 5-7 · Talent rank #112 · 2026 recruiting class #92
RB · BUFFALO · MID-AMERICAN
Terrance Shelton Jr.
- 2
- #25
- 6-0 | 213 lb
- Franklin, WI
Heisman Heat
#2346
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2024–2025+177%
Up 177% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Buffalo
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3-star | 0.8467 | No. 1672 recruit | HighSchool | Buffalo |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Buffalo
Composite
0.8467
#1672 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Terrance Shelton Jr.
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Terrance Shelton Jr.
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 9g
244Rush yards
57Carries
1Rush TDs
Per game
27.1Rush yards
6Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
352.4Rush yards
82Carries
1Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 244): needs 126.5/game over remaining 4.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 244): needs 189/game over remaining 4.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 244): needs 314/game over remaining 4.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.2/game over remaining 4.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 3.5/game over remaining 4.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 4.8/game over remaining 4.
Why this is more than a rushing profile
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Terrance Shelton Jr. is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 244 rushing yards, 8 catches, and 357 return yards for Buffalo. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
57 61st
YDS
244 59th
YPC
4.3 41st
TD
1 56th
Receiving
REC
8 55th
YDS
42 44th
YPR
5.3 29th
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 9 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 10-23@ Minnesota | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | 0 | 15 | |
| Wk 2 | W 45-6vs St. Francis (PA) | 6 | 33 | 5.5 | 0 | 20 | |
| Wk 6 | W 31-30vs Eastern Michigan | 4 | 6 | 1.5 | 0 | 2 | |
| Wk 8 | W 28-21@ Massachusetts | 3 | 11 | 3.7 | 1 | 8 | |
| Wk 9 | L 16-24vs Akron | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 10 | W 28-3@ Bowling Green | 6 | 24 | 4.0 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 12 | L 19-38@ Central Michigan | 11 | 59 | 5.4 | 0 | 13 | Season-high 59 yds |
| Wk 13 | L 20-37vs Miami (OH) | 8 | 27 | 3.4 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 14 | L 26-31vs Ohio | 15 | 57 | 3.8 | 0 | 7 | |
| Total | 57 | 244 | 4.5 | 1 | 20 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2024Buffalo9-4HC: Maurice Linguist · Run-heavy
2025Buffalo5-7HC: Pete Lembo · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 244 | #306/735 | 59th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #323/739 | 56th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.3 | #435/735 | 41st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 8 | #248/552 | 55th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 42 | #306/548 | 44th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 5.0% | #539/738 | 27th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 57 | #288/739 | 61st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 20 | #400/733 | 46th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 11 | #395/540 | 27th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 5.3 | #389/548 | 29th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 357 | #14/200 | 94th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 22.3 | #50/199 | 75th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick returns | 16 | #10/206 | 96th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 8.6% | #528/738 | 29th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 6.0% | #514/738 | 30th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 5.8% | #410/738 | 45th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 4.4% | #587/738 | 21st pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 4.1% | #591/738 | 20th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 2.9% | #574/738 | 22nd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 1.2% | #480/738 | 35th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 9 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 26.8 | 3.9 | 0.0 |
| Road4g | 27.5 | 5.3 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins4g | 18.5 | 3.7 | 0.2 |
| Losses5g | 34.0 | 5.2 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-73g | 18.3 | 5.0 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 31.5 | 4.3 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
18Below cohort
Concern: long run (11th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Terrance Shelton Jr.BuffaloTae MeadowsTroy· 56% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 54% simJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 52% sim
Receptions
Yards / carry
Rec yards
Carries
Rush TDs
Rush yards
Long run
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Balanced Back
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Fame Ijeboi’s 2025 season.
Fame Ijeboi
82%match
#2
Ari Broussard
78%
#3
Nolan Ray
79%
#4
Parker Jenkins
78%
#5
Victor Rosa
78%
Matches Fame on
Weight
Receiving share
Yards / carry
Differs from Fame on
Class year (higher)
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Gerrid Doaks’s path through Cincinnati.
Gerrid Doaks
98%match
All-AACNFL Rd 7
#2
Coleman Bennett
All-Conference USA
95%
#3
Antonio Harris
95%
#4
Omar Fattah
91%
#5
DeCarlos Brooks
91%
Matches Gerrid on
Yards per carry
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Nolan Ray's sophomore season at Maryland (2024).
Nolan Ray
85%match
#2
Fame Ijeboi
84%
#3
Trey Cornist
78%
#4
Kirby Vorhees
80%
#5
Jalen Dupree
80%
Matches Nolan on
Yards / carry
EPA / carry (adj)
Rush TD rate
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Pete Lembo
Pass share
49.8%
409 pass / 413 run
Plays / game
68.5
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.4%
338 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025
2 coaches2024
Maurice Linguist
Buffalo
2025era →
Pete Lembo
Buffalo
Coaching transition mid-career: Maurice Linguist → Pete Lembo. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownFranklin, WI
Height6'0"
Weight213 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey25
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamBuffalo
ConferenceMid-American
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Buffalo | RB2 | #2346 | #2736 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mid-American |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.