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Current season Vegas win totals and transfer-portal swing right now, plus what fans are actually saying — not history, this year.
Win total
7.5
Vegas over/under
Transfer portal
+2
portal net points (weighted) · raw ledger: -14
What fans are saying · player performance
fans believe Louisville's running backs are faster than average
I’m imagining an all-time Louisville team with Lamar at QB and Isaac at RB. Would be the most unstoppable running backfield of all time. Verified verbatim
Win total
7.5
Vegas over/under
Transfer portal
+4
portal net points (weighted) · raw ledger: +21
What fans are saying · player performance
One fan thinks the team failed to convert crucial touchdowns near the goal line
There was a red zone drive earlier in the game where Kentucky was about on the 5 and had an empty set and the alignment by the defense was the same. Verified verbatim
Stature & the series, 1915–2025 Both programs’ standing over time, each line named at its end, with every meeting beneath — read down to see who was bigger and who won. (Stature is each program’s season-by-season standing on the Zeitgeist List, 1936–present — one score blending on-field performance, program achievement, and roster talent.)
program stature over time Louisville Kentucky every meeting (bar height = margin; dark: Louisville won, gray: Kentucky won) 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020
more pass more run Louisville Kentucky 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2018 Louisville 13.8 pts Kentucky won 56-10 2004 Kentucky 10.0 pts Louisville won 28-0 2023 Kentucky 9.2 pts Kentucky won 38-31 Source team_season_stats (CFBD season totals) · pass rate = passAttempts ÷ (passAttempts + rushingAttempts)
The biggest win was Kentucky by 73 in 1922. The biggest crowd, 70,857, was in 2007.
The coaching duels
The draft ledger Every NFL Draft pick either program has produced since the modern era began, decade by decade.
Draft picks
97-98
Kentucky leads
Since
1967
First CFBD-carried draft class
Louisville Kentucky
1960s 4-2
1970s 7-16
1980s 7-10
1990s 11-15
2000s 29-14
2010s 25-16
2020s 14-25
Best picks, either side 1999 Tim Couch Quarterback · Cleveland Browns Rd 1, pick 1 #1 overall 1978 Art Still Defensive End · Kansas City Chiefs Rd 1, pick 2 #2 overall 2003 Dewayne Robertson Defensive Tackle · New York Jets Rd 1, pick 4 #4 overall 1977 Warren Bryant Offensive Tackle · Atlanta Falcons Rd 1, pick 6 #6 overall 2019 Josh Allen Outside Linebacker · Jacksonville Jaguars Rd 1, pick 7 #7 overall 2007 Amobi Okoye Defensive Tackle · Houston Texans Rd 1, pick 10 #10 overall 2020 Mekhi Becton Offensive Tackle · New York Jets Rd 1, pick 11 #11 overall 2016 Sheldon Rankins Defensive Tackle · New Orleans Saints Rd 1, pick 12 #12 overall
Recent meetings Gate premium Louisville 1.19× its own average home crowd
2025 LOU Louisville 41-0 UK Kentucky — Kentucky routed by 41 2024 LOU Louisville 41-14 UK 2023 UK Kentucky 38-31 LOU 2022 UK Kentucky 26-13 LOU 2021 UK Kentucky 52-21 LOU Louisville — Louisville routed by 31 2019 UK Kentucky 45-13 LOU 2018 UK Kentucky 56-10 LOU 2017 LOU Louisville 44-17 UK 2016 UK Kentucky 41-38 LOU Louisville — Louisville favored by 26.0 2015 LOU Louisville 38-24 UK 2014 LOU Louisville 44-40 UK 2013 LOU Louisville 27-13 UK 2012 LOU Louisville 32-14 UK 2011 LOU Louisville 24-17 UK
Every meeting since 2018, play by play Each line is Louisville’s chance to win through that meeting.
2025 Louisville 41-0Louisville won 41-0 vs Kentucky. Chance to win started at 53%, low 46%, high better than 99%. Steady 2024 Louisville 41-14Louisville won 41-14 at Kentucky. Chance to win started at 61%, low 55%, high better than 99%. 2023 Kentucky 38-31Louisville lost 31-38 vs Kentucky. Chance to win started at 64%, low 9%, high 90%. 2021 Kentucky 52-21Louisville lost 21-52 vs Kentucky. Chance to win started at 47%, low under 1%, high 54%. 2019 Kentucky 45-13Louisville lost 13-45 at Kentucky. Chance to win started at 48%, low under 1%, high 56%. 2018 Kentucky 56-10Louisville lost 10-56 vs Kentucky. Chance to win started at 11%, low under 1%, high 17%. Read a quote from each meeting 2025 “Moss is mostly pretty bad but he is legitimately incredible at QB sneaks. What a bizarre skillset” A Louisville fan
Meetings with their own story page 10 meetings in our archive, 2015 to 2025.
How to read this. Head-to-head from every recorded meeting; stature is each program’s season-by-season standing on the Zeitgeist List (1936–present). Facts only — the framing is ours, the games are theirs.