MID AMERICA CONFERENCE · 2025 SEASON BASELINE · 2026 OUTLOOK
Emporia State University
Rank #415
Team Mood Card — Offseason Mode
Emporia State University fan conversation is quiet right now.
The Mood Card lights up during the season, when live fan, national, and rival chatter clears the publish gate. In the offseason we hold the frame open rather than print fake precision. Live signal returns once weekly conversation volume rebuilds.
Cohort Signal
Not enough fan conversation has cleared this week's publish threshold yet (we wait for ≥30 weighted posts before showing a number). How we set the bar ›
Fanbase Archetype
How this fanbase sorts in the Fan Intelligence taxonomy (N° 04 on the Hub).
Fanbase Archetype
Sleeper
Primary: 64% confidence
Quiet program outperforming expectations without attention.
SIGNATURE PHRASE
“Wait, they’re 9-2?”
MODIFIERS
· Emerging
5-Season Migration
Performance Narrative
Season Rating Journey
One line tells the story. Hover or tap any marker to see the exact game and how many power points it moved the rating. Larger markers mean bigger swings.
Rating rose
Rating fell
Little movement
Ring shows opponent level
Result
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Power Swing
--
Rating Path
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Week 1 · vs Minot State
Week 11 · @ Washburn
Week 6 · @ Missouri Western
Betting Lens
Market context is a second read on the season: how often this team rewarded believers, disappointed them, or played into totals differently than expected.
Efficiency Dashboard
Opponent-adjusted efficiency cards organized as a premium team dashboard.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Why The Model Has Them Here
A team page should explain the ranking, not just print it.
Power -4.8
Currently -4.8 versus the all-level average team on a neutral field. Offensive Efficiency currently grades around the 0th percentile.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
Resume 30
Body of work: best signal beat Minot State 27-7. Closest call lost to Angelo State 20-41. 30th percentile season.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
2-2 over the last 4 (W9 L10 W11 L12)
Last four games: 2-2 over the last 4 (W9 L10 W11 L12). Power is 8 points ahead of resume through the most recent season — the underlying strength rating outpaces what the body of work says.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
2025 Season
Biggest slice of the season so far: Regular Season at 5-6. Even if a bowl or playoff game lands in early 2026, it still belongs to this season page.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
Placement Context
This is where the team sits inside the all-level board, its own subdivision, and its own conference ecosystem.
Overall Board#415
Inside DII#138 of 163
Inside Mid America#8 of 10
Power-4.8pts vs avg NCAA team
Resume3030th percentile season
Cross-Level NeighborWashington and Lee
Use these shortcuts to jump from this team to the neighbors that best explain its place on the board, including the closest cross-level comparison.
Closest Neighbors
The quickest way to explain a ranking is often to show the teams immediately around it.
Overall Ahead
Power +0.1 | Resume +21
#414 Clarion
DII | Pennsylvania State Athletic
Overall Behind
Power -0.0 | Resume +33
#416 Washington and Lee
DIII | Old Dominion
DII Ahead
Power +0.1 | Resume +21
#414 Clarion
DII | Pennsylvania State Athletic
Mid America Ahead
Power +0.1 | Resume -9
#412 Washburn
DII | Mid America
Cross-Level Neighbor
Power -0.0 | Resume +33
#416 Washington and Lee
DIII | Old Dominion
Historical Snapshot
Fans should be able to see the short version immediately: how big the loaded sample is, what this program's standard looks like, and where the current season sits inside that arc.
Program Arc
Bars track win rate. The line tracks end-of-season power, so users can see whether the program is actually getting stronger or just stacking wins.
Season Phase Split
How this season breaks apart inside the same year-defined competitive cycle.
Regular Season 5-6 in 11 games
| Phase | Record | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Regular Season | 5-6 | 11 |
Loaded History Signals
This is the fastest way to explain what the last few seasons say about the program, and why prior success should matter in the next preseason cycle.
Impact Cards
A card-based alternate view of the same rating swings for fans who want the season game by game.
Week 12
Regular Season
vs Fort Hays State
Result
Loss
Pregame
-18.30
Power
-0.03
Resume
-0.01
Postgame
-18.34
Week 11
Regular Season
@ Washburn
Result
Win
Pregame
-19.04
Power
+0.73
Resume
+0.11
Postgame
-18.30
Week 10
Regular Season
vs Northwest Missouri St
Result
Loss
Pregame
-18.79
Power
-0.25
Resume
-0.08
Postgame
-19.04
Week 9
Regular Season
@ Central Missouri
Result
Win
Pregame
-19.05
Power
+0.26
Resume
+0.06
Postgame
-18.79
Week 8
Regular Season
@ Central Oklahoma
Result
Loss
Pregame
-19.06
Power
+0.01
Resume
-0.13
Postgame
-19.05
Week 7
Regular Season
vs Missouri Southern State
Result
Win
Pregame
-19.43
Power
+0.37
Resume
+0.05
Postgame
-19.06
Week 6
Regular Season
@ Missouri Western
Result
Win
Pregame
-20.13
Power
+0.70
Resume
+0.19
Postgame
-19.43
Week 5
Regular Season
vs Pittsburg St
Result
Loss
Pregame
-20.07
Power
-0.06
Resume
-0.06
Postgame
-20.13
Week 4
Regular Season
@ Nebraska-Kearney
Result
Loss
Pregame
-20.14
Power
+0.07
Resume
-0.07
Postgame
-20.07
Week 2
Regular Season
@ Angelo State
Result
Loss
Pregame
-19.74
Power
-0.50
Resume
-0.90
Postgame
-20.24
Week 1
Regular Season
vs Minot State
Result
Win
Pregame
-21.04
Power
+1.30
Resume
+0.00
Postgame
-19.74
2025 Season Schedule And Rating Movement
Every result, every phase, and how the rating changed because of it.
| Week | Date | Game | Phase | Result | Close | ATS | Total | Pregame | Power Change | Resume Change | Postgame |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29, 2025 | vs Minot State DII | Regular Season | W 27-7 | -- | -- | -- | -21.04 | +1.30 | +0.00 | -19.74 |
| 2 | Sep 6, 2025 | @ Angelo State DII | Regular Season | L 20-41 | -- | -- | -- | -19.74 | -0.50 | -0.90 | -20.24 |
| 4 | Sep 20, 2025 | @ Nebraska-Kearney DII | Regular Season | L 20-34 | -- | -- | -- | -20.14 | +0.07 | -0.07 | -20.07 |
| 5 | Sep 27, 2025 | vs Pittsburg St DII | Regular Season | L 29-42 | -- | -- | -- | -20.07 | -0.06 | -0.06 | -20.13 |
| 6 | Oct 4, 2025 | @ Missouri Western DII | Regular Season | W 50-14 | -- | -- | -- | -20.13 | +0.70 | +0.19 | -19.43 |
| 7 | Oct 11, 2025 | vs Missouri Southern State DII | Regular Season | W 31-24 | -- | -- | -- | -19.43 | +0.37 | +0.05 | -19.06 |
| 8 | Oct 19, 2025 | @ Central Oklahoma DII | Regular Season | L 22-56 | -- | -- | -- | -19.06 | +0.01 | -0.13 | -19.05 |
| 9 | Oct 25, 2025 | @ Central Missouri DII | Regular Season | W 31-27 | -- | -- | -- | -19.05 | +0.26 | +0.06 | -18.79 |
| 10 | Nov 1, 2025 | vs Northwest Missouri St DII | Regular Season | L 14-41 | -- | -- | -- | -18.79 | -0.25 | -0.08 | -19.04 |
| 11 | Nov 8, 2025 | @ Washburn DII | Regular Season | W 45-17 | -- | -- | -- | -19.04 | +0.73 | +0.11 | -18.30 |
| 12 | Nov 15, 2025 | vs Fort Hays State DII | Regular Season | L 7-13 | -- | -- | -- | -18.30 | -0.03 | -0.01 | -18.34 |
Year-By-Year Results
The competitive story by season, kept cleanly tied to the year each season began.
| Season | Lens | Record | Final Rank | End Power | End Resume | Games | Points For | Points Against | Margin |
|---|