PENNSYLVANIA STATE ATHLETIC CONFERENCE · 2025 SEASON BASELINE · 2026 OUTLOOK
Lock Haven University
Rank #417
Team Mood Card — Offseason Mode
Lock Haven University fan conversation is quiet right now.
The Mood Card lights up during the season, when live fan, national, and rival chatter clears the publish gate. In the offseason we hold the frame open rather than print fake precision. Live signal returns once weekly conversation volume rebuilds.
Cohort Signal
Not enough fan conversation has cleared this week's publish threshold yet (we wait for ≥30 weighted posts before showing a number). How we set the bar ›
Fanbase Archetype
How this fanbase sorts in the Fan Intelligence taxonomy (N° 04 on the Hub).
Fanbase Archetype
Sleeper
Primary: 64% confidence
Quiet program outperforming expectations without attention.
SIGNATURE PHRASE
“Wait, they’re 9-2?”
MODIFIERS
· Emerging
5-Season Migration
Performance Narrative
Season Rating Journey
One line tells the story. Hover or tap any marker to see the exact game and how many power points it moved the rating. Larger markers mean bigger swings.
Rating rose
Rating fell
Little movement
Ring shows opponent level
Result
--
Power Swing
--
Rating Path
--
Week 6 · @ Bloomsburg
Week 10 · @ Millersville
Week 8 · vs West Chester
Betting Lens
Market context is a second read on the season: how often this team rewarded believers, disappointed them, or played into totals differently than expected.
Efficiency Dashboard
Opponent-adjusted efficiency cards organized as a premium team dashboard.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Offense
0th pct
Defense
0th pct
Adjusted values: +0.00 offense, +0.00 defense
Sample: 0 opponent-adjusted games in the current build.
Why The Model Has Them Here
A team page should explain the ranking, not just print it.
Power -4.8
Currently -4.8 versus the all-level average team on a neutral field. Offensive Efficiency currently grades around the 0th percentile.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
Resume 35
Body of work: best signal beat Bloomsburg 38-17. Closest call lost to Shepherd 19-35. 35th percentile season.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
3-1 over the last 4 (W9 W10 L11 W12)
Last four games: 3-1 over the last 4 (W9 W10 L11 W12). Power is 3 points ahead of resume through the most recent season — the underlying strength rating outpaces what the body of work says.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
2025 Season
Biggest slice of the season so far: Regular Season at 6-5. Even if a bowl or playoff game lands in early 2026, it still belongs to this season page.
Open the compare board or matchup studio to pressure-test this profile against the teams around it.
Placement Context
This is where the team sits inside the all-level board, its own subdivision, and its own conference ecosystem.
Overall Board#417
Inside DII#139 of 163
Inside Pennsylvania State Athletic#11 of 15
Power-4.8pts vs avg NCAA team
Resume3535th percentile season
Cross-Level NeighborWashington and Lee
Use these shortcuts to jump from this team to the neighbors that best explain its place on the board, including the closest cross-level comparison.
Closest Neighbors
The quickest way to explain a ranking is often to show the teams immediately around it.
Overall Ahead
Power +0.0 | Resume +29
#416 Washington and Lee
DIII | Old Dominion
Overall Behind
Power -0.0 | Resume -21
#418 Lake Erie
DII | Great Midwest Athletic
DII Ahead
Power +0.0 | Resume -4
#415 Emporia State University
DII | Mid America
Pennsylvania State Athletic Ahead
Power +0.1 | Resume +16
#414 Clarion
DII | Pennsylvania State Athletic
Cross-Level Neighbor
Power +0.0 | Resume +29
#416 Washington and Lee
DIII | Old Dominion
Historical Snapshot
Fans should be able to see the short version immediately: how big the loaded sample is, what this program's standard looks like, and where the current season sits inside that arc.
Program Arc
Bars track win rate. The line tracks end-of-season power, so users can see whether the program is actually getting stronger or just stacking wins.
Season Phase Split
How this season breaks apart inside the same year-defined competitive cycle.
Regular Season 6-5 in 11 games
| Phase | Record | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Regular Season | 6-5 | 11 |
Loaded History Signals
This is the fastest way to explain what the last few seasons say about the program, and why prior success should matter in the next preseason cycle.
Impact Cards
A card-based alternate view of the same rating swings for fans who want the season game by game.
Week 12
Regular Season
vs Gannon
Result
Win
Pregame
-18.75
Power
+0.35
Resume
+0.08
Postgame
-18.40
Week 11
Regular Season
vs Shepherd
Result
Loss
Pregame
-18.61
Power
-0.14
Resume
-0.06
Postgame
-18.75
Week 10
Regular Season
@ Millersville
Result
Win
Pregame
-19.14
Power
+0.53
Resume
+0.11
Postgame
-18.61
Week 9
Regular Season
@ Shippensburg
Result
Win
Pregame
-19.53
Power
+0.39
Resume
+0.13
Postgame
-19.14
Week 8
Regular Season
vs West Chester
Result
Win
Pregame
-19.92
Power
+0.39
Resume
+0.09
Postgame
-19.53
Week 7
Regular Season
vs Kutztown University
Result
Loss
Pregame
-20.04
Power
+0.13
Resume
-0.09
Postgame
-19.92
Week 6
Regular Season
@ Bloomsburg
Result
Win
Pregame
-20.79
Power
+0.75
Resume
+0.37
Postgame
-20.04
Week 5
Regular Season
vs East Stroudsburg University
Result
Loss
Pregame
-21.05
Power
+0.26
Resume
+0.17
Postgame
-20.79
Week 4
Regular Season
@ PennWest California
Result
Loss
Pregame
-21.03
Power
-0.02
Resume
+0.00
Postgame
-21.05
Week 3
Regular Season
@ Indiana-Pennsylvania
Result
Loss
Pregame
-21.07
Power
+0.04
Resume
-1.08
Postgame
-21.03
Week 2
Regular Season
vs Glenville State
Result
Win
Pregame
--
Power
--
Resume
--
Postgame
--
2025 Season Schedule And Rating Movement
Every result, every phase, and how the rating changed because of it.
| Week | Date | Game | Phase | Result | Close | ATS | Total | Pregame | Power Change | Resume Change | Postgame |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sep 6, 2025 | vs Glenville State DII | Regular Season | W 16-13 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 3 | Sep 13, 2025 | @ Indiana-Pennsylvania DII | Regular Season | L 10-42 | -- | -- | -- | -21.07 | +0.04 | -1.08 | -21.03 |
| 4 | Sep 20, 2025 | @ PennWest California DII | Regular Season | L 6-42 | -- | -- | -- | -21.03 | -0.02 | +0.00 | -21.05 |
| 5 | Sep 27, 2025 | vs East Stroudsburg University DII | Regular Season | L 21-24 | -- | -- | -- | -21.05 | +0.26 | +0.17 | -20.79 |
| 6 | Oct 4, 2025 | @ Bloomsburg DII | Regular Season | W 38-17 | -- | -- | -- | -20.79 | +0.75 | +0.37 | -20.04 |
| 7 | Oct 11, 2025 | vs Kutztown University DII | Regular Season | L 7-34 | -- | -- | -- | -20.04 | +0.13 | -0.09 | -19.92 |
| 8 | Oct 18, 2025 | vs West Chester DII | Regular Season | W 28-21 | -- | -- | -- | -19.92 | +0.39 | +0.09 | -19.53 |
| 9 | Oct 25, 2025 | @ Shippensburg DII | Regular Season | W 35-21 | -- | -- | -- | -19.53 | +0.39 | +0.13 | -19.14 |
| 10 | Nov 1, 2025 | @ Millersville DII | Regular Season | W 42-7 | -- | -- | -- | -19.14 | +0.53 | +0.11 | -18.61 |
| 11 | Nov 8, 2025 | vs Shepherd DII | Regular Season | L 19-35 | -- | -- | -- | -18.61 | -0.14 | -0.06 | -18.75 |
| 12 | Nov 15, 2025 | vs Gannon DII | Regular Season | W 49-28 | -- | -- | -- | -18.75 | +0.35 | +0.08 | -18.40 |
Year-By-Year Results
The competitive story by season, kept cleanly tied to the year each season began.
| Season | Lens | Record | Final Rank | End Power | End Resume | Games | Points For | Points Against | Margin |
|---|