Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 17 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
Player stats
No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.
Biggest plays from Nicholls’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Nicholls’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q1, 12:36 · Kansas State tiedAvery Johnson finds Jaron Tibbs for a 7-yard touchdownNicholls at Kansas State, week 1Q1, 12:36 · Kansas State 7, Nicholls 0Kansas State opened the scoringKansas State opened the scoringA.Johnson pass complete short middle to J.Tibbs caught at NICH00, for 7 yards to the NICH00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q1, 6:59 · Kansas State up 7Avery Johnson runs 10 yards for a touchdownNicholls at Kansas State, week 1Q1, 6:59 · Kansas State 15, Nicholls 015-0score after the play15-0score after the playA.Johnson rush left for 10 yards gain to the NICH00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN L.Cure rush attempt Successful▶Watch from this play
Q1, 0:29 · Kansas State up 15B. White returns the punt 65 yards for a touchdownNicholls at Kansas State, week 1Q1, 0:29 · Kansas State 22, Nicholls 0First punt return touchdown for Kansas State since 2024First punt return touchdown for Kansas State since 2024P.Harewood punt 50 yards to the KSTATE35 B.White return 65 yards to the NICH00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q2, 10:09 · Kansas State up 22Rodney Fields Jr. runs 26 yards for a touchdownNicholls at Kansas State, week 1Q2, 10:09 · Kansas State 29, Nicholls 029-0score after the play29-0score after the playR.Fields Jr. rush right for 26 yards gain to the NICH00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q2, 1:58 · Kansas State up 26Avery Johnson finds Joe Jackson for a 43-yard touchdownNicholls at Kansas State, week 1Q2, 1:58 · Kansas State 36, Nicholls 3Avery Johnson's 50th career touchdown passAvery Johnson's 50th career touchdown passA.Johnson pass complete short left to J.Jackson caught at NICH32, for 43 yards to the NICH00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q3, 8:28 · Kansas State up 33Avery Johnson finds Joshua Manning for an 11-yard touchdownNicholls at Kansas State, week 1Q3, 8:28 · Kansas State 43, Nicholls 3Avery Johnson's third touchdown pass of the gameAvery Johnson's third touchdown pass of the gameA.Johnson pass complete short left to J.Manning caught at NICH00, for 11 yards to the NICH00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
Nicholls lost to Lamar after being 61% to win; the closest win was at Northwestern State, down to 21%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Nicholls during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Nicholls is worth +9.4 points more at home than on the road.
Top tenth of FBS, 99th percentile of 133 programs
33% at home, 5% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (1-2 home, 1-18 away). Interval ±12.6.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Nicholls has beaten the number by +5.2 more at home than away over 57 games. That is inside the ±9.2 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Manning Field at John L. Guidry Stadium seats 10,500 and has averaged 57% full (6,021, 11 games reported). Visitors cover a median 261 miles to get here (2018-present).
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 41 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.
More in this tab
Scheme claims
How much of Nicholls’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is −0.13; adjusted for opponent strength, it's −0.07. The widest gap came in week 1: 0.15 raw vs. 0.01 adjusted.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
Recovering 60% of their own fumbles — running hot vs. the ~52% league rate.
3 of 5 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2026 only.