Nicholls

3-6

Key stats

Key stats · 2026 · FBS rank

Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.

Points/game137th of 138
14.7
Pts allowed/game133rd of 138
36.9
All 17 stats
Other
Pass rate, 1st downs3rd of 12
52.4%52.4%
1st-half EPA/play allowed9th of 10
0.50.1/gm

FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs

Player stats

Player stats · 2026 season

No player stats logged for this program yet — stats appear once the season is underway.

Biggest plays from Nicholls’s games

Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Nicholls’s games this season, whoever made them.

  1. Q1, 12:36 · Kansas State tiedAvery Johnson finds Jaron Tibbs for a 7-yard touchdownNicholls at Kansas State, week 1Q1, 12:36 · Kansas State 7, Nicholls 0Kansas State opened the scoringKansas State opened the scoringA.Johnson pass complete short middle to J.Tibbs caught at NICH00, for 7 yards to the NICH00 touchdown, kick goodWatch from this playESPN College Football
  2. Q1, 6:59 · Kansas State up 7Avery Johnson runs 10 yards for a touchdownNicholls at Kansas State, week 1Q1, 6:59 · Kansas State 15, Nicholls 015-0score after the play15-0score after the playA.Johnson rush left for 10 yards gain to the NICH00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN L.Cure rush attempt SuccessfulWatch from this playESPN College Football
  3. Q1, 0:29 · Kansas State up 15B. White returns the punt 65 yards for a touchdownNicholls at Kansas State, week 1Q1, 0:29 · Kansas State 22, Nicholls 0First punt return touchdown for Kansas State since 2024First punt return touchdown for Kansas State since 2024P.Harewood punt 50 yards to the KSTATE35 B.White return 65 yards to the NICH00 touchdown, kick goodWatch from this playESPN College Football
  4. Q2, 10:09 · Kansas State up 22Rodney Fields Jr. runs 26 yards for a touchdownNicholls at Kansas State, week 1Q2, 10:09 · Kansas State 29, Nicholls 029-0score after the play29-0score after the playR.Fields Jr. rush right for 26 yards gain to the NICH00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick goodWatch from this playESPN College Football
  5. Q2, 1:58 · Kansas State up 26Avery Johnson finds Joe Jackson for a 43-yard touchdownNicholls at Kansas State, week 1Q2, 1:58 · Kansas State 36, Nicholls 3Avery Johnson's 50th career touchdown passAvery Johnson's 50th career touchdown passA.Johnson pass complete short left to J.Jackson caught at NICH32, for 43 yards to the NICH00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick goodWatch from this playESPN College Football
  6. Q3, 8:28 · Kansas State up 33Avery Johnson finds Joshua Manning for an 11-yard touchdownNicholls at Kansas State, week 1Q3, 8:28 · Kansas State 43, Nicholls 3Avery Johnson's third touchdown pass of the gameAvery Johnson's third touchdown pass of the gameA.Johnson pass complete short left to J.Manning caught at NICH00, for 11 yards to the NICH00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick goodWatch from this playESPN College Football

All 9 plays from Nicholls’s games

How scary each game got

Nicholls lost to Lamar after being 61% to win; the closest win was at Northwestern State, down to 21%

50%L1W2L3L4L5L7W8L9

Tap a game for its score and win chances.

Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Nicholls during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.

Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Nicholls is worth +9.4 points more at home than on the road.

Top tenth of FBS, 99th percentile of 133 programs

33% at home, 5% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (1-2 home, 1-18 away). Interval ±12.6.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest
95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest
The stadium and how the home edge is measured

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Nicholls has beaten the number by +5.2 more at home than away over 57 games. That is inside the ±9.2 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Manning Field at John L. Guidry Stadium seats 10,500 and has averaged 57% full (6,021, 11 games reported). Visitors cover a median 261 miles to get here (2018-present).

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 41 home games since 2018. No national trip rank shown: the ranked field is FBS venues only and leaves out the service academies and venues with too few measured games.

Home1-2Away1-18Edge+9.4 ±12.6Visitor trip261 mi

More in this tab

Scheme claimsFive specific, testable claims about how this team plays.

How much of Nicholls’s number is the schedule?

Raw EPA/play through week 10 is −0.13; adjusted for opponent strength, it's −0.07. The widest gap came in week 1: 0.15 raw vs. 0.01 adjusted.

0.200.01-0.18Wk 1Wk 6Wk 10Raw EPA/playOpponent-adjusted
0.200.01-0.18Wk 1Wk 6Wk 10RawAdjusted
Source CFB Zeitgeist · season-to-date, opponent-adjusted model
Havoc & trenchesDefense havoc rate 0.127, 12th percentile

Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.

Havoc rate (D) 0.127
12th
Havoc allowed (O) 0.197
3rd
Front-seven havoc (D) 0.071
8th
Secondary havoc (D) 0.056
41st
Stuff rate (D) 0.153
12th
Stuff rate allowed (O) 0.220
13th
Line yards (O) 2.618
8th
Line yards allowed (D) 3.166
13th
Standard-downs success (O) 0.362
1st
Standard-downs success allowed (D) 0.467
38th
Passing-downs success (O) 0.218
3rd
Passing-downs success allowed (D) 0.377
7th
Screened 12 claims, 12 survived · 2026 season, FBS only, min. 3 games with data this season
Turnover luckHow much of the margin was skill vs. the bounce.
Fumble luck

Recovering 60% of their own fumbles — running hot vs. the ~52% league rate.

3 of 5 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2026 only.

CFB Zeitgeist “Go Colonels.”
This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. Text written by our model says so in a line beneath it, and it can get facts wrong. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site